mempho Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I just got a report from a friend of 200(estimated) trucks carrying power polls south along I77 in SC. Dunno their destination though. It's typical for them to stage at this point. They are probably going to temporary inland location they will be able to access all potential landfall points pretty easily after the storm has moved through. Jackson, MS is as decent a bet as any given what we know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Nola.com is a good site for the latest up to date happenings for south Louisiana with states of emergency being declared as indicated in the post above and a mandatory evacuation for Grand Isle. Contraflow plans out of NOLA are also being advertised at present if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 OK, thanks-- I appreciate it. So, neither solution at this point is seeming more credible than-- or edging out-- the other? Josh, I like the idea of Pascagoula to Keesler AFB, this being a blend of GFS and EURO and respecting Scott's guess. The 12Z EURO did not buy the strong west trend of the GFS so therefore, a blend makes sense. Route 10 HWY is your staging ground; I have 2 suggestions. a. try to find out how you can get advance word of contraflow/road closure/mandatory evac. before the general public finds out. b. rent an ugly 4 wheel drive like a JEEP with high road clearance. When you rent, take photos so you do not charged for pre-existing dents. Buy a $5 can of Fix-Flat. Go to Home Depot and buy a $10 saw with big teeth to cut through branches. Water and canned food for 3 days. Bug spray. Sun block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 WHats a meet me call? MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1816 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0328 PM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...S FL AND KEYS CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 589... VALID 262028Z - 262130Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 589 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SOME THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE EVENING OVER SRN FL...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. OVERALL TORNADO THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY ROBUST AT THIS TIME...BUT CONDITIONS MAY REMAIN AT LEAST MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE PRIOR TO EXPIRATION OF WW 589 AT 21Z. A MEET ME CALL WILL INITIATED SOON TO DISCUSS WHETHER OR NOT WW 589 WILL NEED TO BE REPLACED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Conference call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Conference call. Thanks. Just sounded weird when I read it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 If anyone here have the power to be.... Any discussion on maybe a radio show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Shocked at the headline on the Drudge Report re: Katrina. Actually, not shocked at Drudge. Shocked Forbes Magazine published it. Seems a bit irresponsible based on what is known at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeauDodson Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 And so it begins http://www.forbes.co...ricane-katrina/ By Michael Barak, Joseph Bastardi and Alan Lammey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 The article itself isn't all that sensational but the attention grabbing, misleading headline certainly is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 New Orleans mayor has already declared a State of Emergency. http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2012/08/new_orleans_mayor_mitch_landri.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Cantore is in New Orleans... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Don't see the wording, but the graphic on the Hurricane Center site indicates Hurricane Warnings have just been hoisted for New Orleans, most of the La and Miss shorelines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I'm blown away by NHC's 5pm update...not expecting it to become a hurricane for another 36 hours ? I'd expect it to be one by the 5am advisory. (12 hours) call me a weenie if i'm wrong.. It's moving over very warm waters, near-perfect upper air environment, classic strengthening on satellite . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 The article itself isn't all that sensational but the attention grabbing, misleading headline certainly is. the article is bad enough as well. There are plenty of other storms that can be mentioned without immediately jumping to Katrina. Georges, Gustav. I understand the need to go there but I think it any Katrina comparison be should clearly defined as "worst case" instead of saying Isaac "should rival" or even "could rival". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 New Orleans mayor has already declared a State of Emergency. http://www.nola.com/...tch_landri.html His press conference was very weak and talked about preparing to ride out the storm at home. He only has a matter of hours left before mandatory evacuation order will be too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 One noticable change is the NHC now keep it a TS for another 24-30 hours. It that occurs I believe it will not get beyond a cat 2. Once it gets to N Gulf it is forecast to slow down/upwelling etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 His press conference was very weak and talked about preparing to ride out the storm at home. He only has a matter of hours left before mandatory evacuation order will be too late. I'm glad I'm not the only one who thought it was weak. He started it off by referring to it as Hurricane Isaac then attempted to clarify, threw in a quote along the lines of "We don't know if this will be a rain event, a weather event, or an electrical event" (???), and then proceeded to say we are "H-34" from the event, explaining that if the storm continued on its current motion, "it would arrive in 34 hours, or approximately Wednesday morning.". What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I'm blown away by NHC's 5pm update...not expecting it to become a hurricane for another 36 hours ? I'd expect it to be one by the 5am advisory. (12 hours) call me a weenie if i'm wrong.. It's moving over very warm waters, near-perfect upper air environment, classic strengthening on satellite . Feeder bands are increasing nicely so I say near hurricane 70 in 12 and at least 80 in 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I'm glad I'm not the only one who thought it was weak. He started it off by referring to it as Hurricane Isaac then attempted to clarify, threw in a quote along the lines of "We don't know if this will be a rain event, a weather event, or an electrical event" (???), and then proceeded to say we are "H-34" from the event, explaining that if the storm continued on its current motion, "it would arrive in 34 hours, or approximately Wednesday morning.". What? Well, Ray Nagin really had no idea what he was doing either. Sounds like they need some better politicians down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 And so it begins http://www.forbes.co...ricane-katrina/ By Michael Barak, Joseph Bastardi and Alan Lammey What a quack bastardi is, just the other day he was calling for a NC landfall, what a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Well, Ray Nagin really had no idea what he was doing either. Sounds like they need some better politicians down there. OT: Finding a good politician anywhere is akin to the chances of finding a gold mine in your back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I'm blown away by NHC's 5pm update...not expecting it to become a hurricane for another 36 hours ? I'd expect it to be one by the 5am advisory. (12 hours) call me a weenie if i'm wrong.. It's moving over very warm waters, near-perfect upper air environment, classic strengthening on satellite . The inner core is very poorly organized... the strongest winds are hundreds of miles away from the center. I don't expect any rapid intensification for a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I'm well aware of the NAM haterz, yet the 18Z very much likes the extreme western FL panhandle with a brief stall and then a drift into eastern Mississippi after landfall. Could happen. NAM shows the western Atlantic ridge building west in an unconvincing manner while the midwest ridge holds its ground; I doubt that the NAM 500 mb pattern is total trash. Simply put, the NAM 500 mb evolution allows Isaac to continue poleward since the Atlantic ridge is not extending west as much as was previously thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Has to get better organized soon . Next 12 hours are key. If its stil stuck as a ts, it's a launch fail. Gfdl wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geoffs Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 is the NHC being over cautious with their latest forecast wind intensity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 What a quack bastardi is, just the other day he was calling for a NC landfall, what a joke This was a great call too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I hope it is not one of those cases where the people on the coast think NHC 105 landfall intensity is right and it ends up reaching like 140. Hopefully once Isaac starts getting stronger and the models still are showing Cat3/4 they pull the trigger so people can get out of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 And so it begins http://www.forbes.co...ricane-katrina/ By Michael Barak, Joseph Bastardi and Alan Lammey Total disgrace. Disgusting media whores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Has to get better organized soon . Next 12 hours are key. If its stil stuck as a ts, it's a launch fail. Gfdl wins There's no one formula for RI, so no one wins or fails until we're within 12 hours of landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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