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E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD: Banter/Non Storm OBS thread


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  On 10/24/2012 at 5:54 PM, Rib said:

I think PHL sees snow. It won't stick but it will be fun to see us get some early snow for the 2nd year in a row. A track into SNE would give us the best shot as we could get into that cold sector and change over.

great more oct snow means terrible winter, thanks ribbey

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General question regarding sustained winds, since I've only lived in this area since 05'.

I'm curious to what some of the strongest sustained winds (over a period of several hours) have been from major storms in eastern PA? In my 7 years here, I don't remember winds sustained much higher than 35-40 mph from any storm. I'd have to think sustained winds in the 40-50 mph range is tops? Am I wrong?

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  On 10/25/2012 at 12:44 PM, Parsley said:

General question regarding sustained winds, since I've only lived in this area since 05'.

I'm curious to what some of the strongest sustained winds (over a period of several hours) have been from major storms in eastern PA? In my 7 years here, I don't remember winds sustained much higher than 35-40 mph from any storm. I'd have to think sustained winds in the 40-50 mph range is tops? Am I wrong?

That sounds right. Sustained winds higher than 40+ are almost always extremely brief at inland stations... only a hurricane could probably produce something more extended and as we know, well developed and intact hurricane cores virtually never get to SE PA.

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  On 10/25/2012 at 3:27 PM, famartin said:

That sounds right. Sustained winds higher than 40+ are almost always extremely brief at inland stations... only a hurricane could probably produce something more extended and as we know, well developed and intact hurricane cores virtually never get to SE PA.

Thanks Ray. That's what I figured. Growing up 2 miles from the Atlantic Ocean it was obviously a different story on many occasions. Just want to keep some realistic wind speeds in my head in case the worst case scenario track plays our around here. I'm already getting texts asking me about "Hurricane Winds/Rains?". :bag:

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yeah the common reply i am getting out there is "what another hurricane doom and gloom scare these happen every couple years and we get some breezy showers"

I still dont have a good feel on what conditions and effects of frankenstorm will be like locally on mon-tue,, give it another 24 hours to narrow down the ultimate storm track

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  On 10/25/2012 at 5:49 PM, RedSky said:

yeah the common reply i am getting out there is "what another hurricane doom and gloom scare these happen every couple years and we get some breezy showers"

Because *usually* the inland wind gusts are overforecast. I think that happened with Irene, for example. Some sources had gust of 60, even 70 mph inland and many areas barely cracked 50. This could be different. At least, the gusts could certainly be closer to 70 than at any time in memory.

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  On 10/25/2012 at 5:52 PM, famartin said:

Because *usually* the inland wind gusts are overforecast. I think that happened with Irene, for example. Some sources had gust of 60, even 70 mph inland and many areas barely cracked 50. This could be different. At least, the gusts could certainly be closer to 70 than at any time in memory.

you are right Ray they have been exaggerated in the past, they might just transpire this time but that is dependent on a delmarva/south jersey approach to the area vs one further north

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  On 10/25/2012 at 5:52 PM, famartin said:

Because *usually* the inland wind gusts are overforecast. I think that happened with Irene, for example. Some sources had gust of 60, even 70 mph inland and many areas barely cracked 50. This could be different. At least, the gusts could certainly be closer to 70 than at any time in memory.

back in C-Pa west of Harrisburg, we had Sustained at 35 gusts to 57 our area saw a lot of damage from that

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  On 10/25/2012 at 5:57 PM, RedSky said:

you are right Ray they have been exaggerated in the past, they might just transpire this time but that is dependent on a delmarva/south jersey approach to the area vs one further north

Exactly. Either it rains a ton or you get a ton of wind, rarely both. This is the northeast, where hurricanes are always lopsided.

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