Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 I'm going to be a weenie here for a minute... but this is the sort of stuff that scares me as we continue to move towards winter: an overall dry pattern continuing. We've certainly had some wet weather this summer, but by and large, since last October, we've been in a drier than normal streak. That makes sense though because in recent years we've had some of the wettest years on record for some New England climo locations...so that can't continue and climo strikes back with some long, boring periods. I know this will change every single run and a 12z GFS can't be used for much, but looking at total 16 day QPF, we are in for a boring couple weeks. I hate looking at this in the winter and seeing only 1/4" QPF total over two weeks, but that's what we saw pretty much all last winter, haha. As we go through the fall, I'd love to start to see some Nino moisture pumped up out of the southern stream into New England... I don't know why but I'm skeptical of snowfall this winter primarily due to what I think will be below normal precipitation. 16 day total (of course depends on what tropical systems do during that time period, but if we miss those, its another boring 2 weeks coming up): South of Pike winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 I lived at my parents house for two months this summer, and for that I am a fraud. Somebody please tell me they saw that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Wish Pete was here to report on frost in the glen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Pete and I both got down to 44 in that last cold snap. No frost yet, but it felt great. Pleasant 58 out here now. Wish Pete was here to report on frost in the glen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 52 crisp, mornng, headed for the low 80's. My favorite summer weather. Cool nights, warm dry days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 A muggy low of 63 here with a dew of 62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 A muggy low of 63 here with a dew of 62 Holy crap 55 at my house and cool crisp this AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 A muggy low of 63 here with a dew of 62 You aren't supposed to site your thermometer next to your dryer vent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 You aren't supposed to site your thermometer next to your dryer vent. See ORH obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Dew has spiked a bit in the last few hours 57 now (td) Not muggy (yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 The Glen: 52/52 See ORH obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Pete and I both got down to 44 in that last cold snap. No frost yet, but it felt great. Pleasant 58 out here now. Not bad at all. I only got to 47 for the lowest (which I will take anytime). Our kids and a couple of their friends were in our pool last night. I might be done with it now One more warmup before the door slams shut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 South of Pike winter LOL...I think you do well relative to average this winter. And I guess precip over the next two weeks all depends on where the tropical system goes and how far NW it tracks. When I was down in CT last week/end we picked up like 2-4" of rain in two nights so those precip anomalies probably looked a lot different a week ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 See ORH obs I'm just messin with ya...I really don't doubt your obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Hah ...that would depressing for us west of ALB if that map foreshadowed the winter storm tracks. LOL...I think you do well relative to average this winter. And I guess precip over the next two weeks all depends on where the tropical system goes and how far NW it tracks. When I was down in CT last week/end we picked up like 2-4" of rain in two nights so those precip anomalies probably looked a lot different a week ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 The Glen: 52/52 Are you channeling your inner MRG? We got 48F last night and the lowest so far this month is 44F. Ironically July was colder with a low of 43F, and we still had more 40s in July than in August so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Hah ...straight from the 'horses mouth' over yonder -> Are you channeling your inner MRG? We got 48F last night and the lowest so far this month is 44F. Ironically July was colder with a low of 43F, and we still had more 40s in July than in August so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 53 has been the magic number at UMass. Haven't been able to break it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Hah ...straight from the 'horses mouth' over yonder -> And can you be allergic to Queen Anne's Lace (i think it is called that) - holy crap. I want to drill my eyes out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 lost in all the tropical jibber jab. Euro showing first "blue' 850s of the season (-16s) woot woot, time is on our side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Back up to VT on Saturday to move into my place. Pretty pumped! 78F here in Westbrook off a low of 63F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Back up to VT on Saturday to move into my place. Pretty pumped! 78F here in Westbrook off a low of 63F Finally leaving the tropics of CT and coming back to a fallish NNE?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Back up to VT on Saturday to move into my place. Pretty pumped! 78F here in Westbrook off a low of 63F Nice! Will you be back to posting more regularly? It was really sweet last winter to have another NNE regular and forecaster up this way. Much larger diurnal range up here... Low of 48F and a high of 83F so far... another 35F difference between high/low. Got pretty warm this afternoon: BTV...85F (300ft) MVL...83F (700ft) MPV...80F (1200ft) Pretty good inversion this morning, too. I was just looking at the ski resort data and although it was upper 40s in the 700-900ft band in the valley, the low was 61F at 1,550ft base of the ski resort, 56F at 2,200ft, 54F at 3,950ft. Somewhere between 1,500ft and 800ft there was a big gradient though, from 61F to 48F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 All of a sudden it's gotten sneaky dry again..Soils really dried out this week..And no hopes of any rains for the next 7 other than a few showers maybe Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 All of a sudden it's gotten sneaky dry again..Soils really dried out this week..And no hopes of any rains for the next 7 other than a few showers maybe Tuesday Yea it's been a whole 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Getting dark early, peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 He's baaa-aack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Man...the last few days of the euro are hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 59/55. Almost 10 degrees warmer than this time yesterday. Another sweet summer day incoming. Weather sure looks mild, dry and boring for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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