tmagan Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Just upgraded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 18, 2012 Author Share Posted August 18, 2012 This should be a decent strike on the central/eastern Azores. If only it could hold out Epsilon/Vinceish and not become extratropical until after it hits Portugal.... still, I wish Josh would chase this, for kicks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Rapidly improving. Could make cat2 at 5pm. It's window is limited though, you can see the area of faster winds aloft aproaching from the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Gordon is up to a C2 per ATCF 105 mph AL, 08, 2012081818, , BEST, 0, 340N, 375W, 90, 969, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 30, 30, 0, 1013, 175, 25, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, GORDON, D, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Gordon is up to a C2 per ATCF 105 mph AL, 08, 2012081818, , BEST, 0, 340N, 375W, 90, 969, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 30, 30, 0, 1013, 175, 25, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, GORDON, D, The real question now is if there is enough gas in the tank to get to Cat 3. There is an outside shot now given the recent rapid intensification. However, it would have to be in the next 6 hours or so as the shear is already starting to increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Not perfect, but it's the the best storm of 2012 by far. 969mb 105mph Shear isn't really effecting the core yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 So is Charley considered the strongest hurricane in that part of the Atlantic? This is getting very close to that intensity now. http://www.wundergro...ane/at19924.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Almost to a major, up to 95kt with the newest advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 So is Charley considered the strongest hurricane in that part of the Atlantic? This is getting very close to that intensity now. http://www.wundergro...ane/at19924.asp Hurricane Claudette in 1991 was cat 4 hurricane in that area, maybe a little south of that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Hurricane Claudette in 1991 was cat 4 hurricane in that area, maybe a little south of that area Nope, she was a 4 at around 61W, well west of where Gordon is. Charley was indeed the strongest hurricane around where Gordon is...and now Gordon has tied that...no majors have been recorded east of 32W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Nope, she was a 4 at around 61W, well west of where Gordon is. Charley was indeed the strongest hurricane around where Gordon is...and now Gordon has tied that...no majors have been recorded east of 32W. I was going off of memory, just looked it up and my memory must be off because you're right, the track of that show it was a cat 1 hurricane so yes Gordon may become the strongest system this area has seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Anyone have a good loop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 double post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Anyone have a good loop? Best I could do. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/satellite/goes_sigwx_1070_m_2012@08@18_14h45m.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Anyone have a good loop? Here's a few: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/08L/08L_floater.html You can save the animated gifs if you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 http://www.meteo.psu...tlrecentir.html Not lookin' as good w/ eye as earlier...still gonna be a pretty nasty ride in the Azores tonight. Here's the UKie Sat Page...it's just starting to come into view: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/satpics/latest_IR.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Down to 85kt/100mph at 8 AM. Definitely getting some shear impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 000 WTNT63 KNHC 200635 TCUAT3 HURRICANE GORDON TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012 230 AM AST MON AUG 20 2012 ...GORDON MAKES LANDFALL ON SANTA MARIA ISLAND IN THE EASTERN AZORES... AT AROUND 130 AM AST...0530 UTC...SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON MADE LANDFALL ON SANTA MARIA ISLAND IN THE EASTERN AZORES. SUMMARY OF 0200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION -------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.1N 25.0W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF SANTA MARIA ISLAND IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES $$ FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 15...20 years ago, I doubt there would have been an 'update' statement on a tropical cyclone moving through the Azores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 Kinda cool that it's an actual hurricane landfall with a string of widely-spaced islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 Considering it was a direct hit, the wind reports from the Azores have been kinda so-so. The highest mentioned in the advisories is Santa Maria Island's 41 kt gusting to 61 kt. Even when making an allowance for the fact that the sustained wind is a 10-min value-- and therefore closer to ~47 kt if you convert to 1-min-- that's still kinda blah given that they got the core. I wonder if they'll keep this a hurricane landfall in the Azores in postanalysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 Considering it was a direct hit, the wind reports from the Azores have been kinda so-so. The highest mentioned in the advisories is Santa Maria Island's 41 kt gusting to 61 kt. Even when making an allowance for the fact that the sustained wind is a 10-min value-- and therefore closer to ~47 kt if you convert to 1-min-- that's still kinda blah given that they got the core. I wonder if they'll keep this a hurricane landfall in the Azores in postanalysis. Noting Stewarts discussion of T and Td, ("not very tropical") strongest winds may not have mixed down to the surface due to relatively stable boundary conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 The airport in Santa Maria, Azores only reported every hour and didn't report wind at 4z tonight. It's likely there were stronger sustained winds in between hours, but i doubt there were hurricane-force sustained winds given the rapid weakening seen on satellite. METAR LPAZ 200300Z /////KT 3000 RA BKN004 BKN014 21/20 Q0999 RMK WND RWY18 11041G61KT METAR LPAZ 200400Z /////KT 3000 -RA BKN004 BKN014 21/20 Q0995 METAR LPAZ 200500Z 19020KT 2000 BR BKN003 BKN014 22/21 Q0992 RMK WND RWY18 19020KT METAR LPAZ 200600Z /////KT 2000 BKN003 22/21 Q0994 RMK WND RWY18 26015KT METAR LPAZ 200700Z /////KT 2000 BR FEW001 BKN004 21/20 Q0999 RMK WND RWY18 32033G45KT METAR LPAZ 200800Z /////KT 6000 FEW003 SCT007 BKN019 21/20 Q1006 RMK WND RWY18 33031G43KT Considering it was a direct hit, the wind reports from the Azores have been kinda so-so. The highest mentioned in the advisories is Santa Maria Island's 41 kt gusting to 61 kt. Even when making an allowance for the fact that the sustained wind is a 10-min value-- and therefore closer to ~47 kt if you convert to 1-min-- that's still kinda blah given that they got the core. I wonder if they'll keep this a hurricane landfall in the Azores in postanalysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 From the 11AM discussion THE INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY IN THE AZORES PROVIDED A REPORT OF A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 980 MB ON SANTA MARIA ISLAND IN THE EASTERN AZORES AS GORDON PASSED OVER THAT ISLAND THIS MORNING. A MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND OF 53 KT WITH A GUST TO 70 KT WAS OBSERVED AT SANTA MARIA AIRPORT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 Considering that's a 10-minute and not a 2-minute wind, that strongly supports that Gordon was still a minimal hurricane at the time of landfall in the southernmost Azores. From the 11AM discussion THE INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY IN THE AZORES PROVIDED A REPORT OF A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 980 MB ON SANTA MARIA ISLAND IN THE EASTERN AZORES AS GORDON PASSED OVER THAT ISLAND THIS MORNING. A MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND OF 53 KT WITH A GUST TO 70 KT WAS OBSERVED AT SANTA MARIA AIRPORT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 Considering that's a 10-minute and not a 2-minute wind, that strongly supports that Gordon was still a minimal hurricane at the time of landfall in the southernmost Azores. Agreed. That's the first I've seen of that reading. The previous advisories had much lower values, and I assumed the strongest winds had passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 Agreed. That's the first I've seen of that reading. The previous advisories had much lower values, and I assumed the strongest winds had passed. But the reports were definitely sparse from that station, so the high winds probably occurred between observations (esp since there was no 4AM wind obs). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 But the reports were definitely sparse from that station, so the high winds probably occurred between observations (esp since there was no 4AM wind obs). Is it possible that the station was reporting the peak hourly wind-- or was it definitely just the winds at the reporting time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted August 20, 2012 Share Posted August 20, 2012 Is it possible that the station was reporting the peak hourly wind-- or was it definitely just the winds at the reporting time? idonno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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