Blizzard92 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 A few rain/snow showers here on Cornell's campus today; surface pretty warm in the mid to upper 30s though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 12z GFS puts out .50" of precip as snow for SYR, 1.12" for RME, .73" for ALB and .41" for GFL. The higher precip at RME seems to be a result of lake enhancement under northwest flow, with areas farther east changing over to rain or freezing rain. This run has some more confluence at 500 mb over Eastern Quebec than 00z which helps keep the cold air in place. The southern stream shortwave is also more vigorous than the depiction from the 00z run, with better phasing with the northern stream. This results in a much stronger surface cyclone, below 984 mb south of Long Island at 108 hrs. Assuming the 12z run of the Euro stays relatively consistent, consensus seems to be building for some type of snow or mixed rain event sometime Wednesday into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Took a drive this morning to Parish in Eastern Oswego County where there was some moderate snowfall. Ahhh....my lifelong hometown up until '07.....snow magnet for 280-295 flow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 The 12Z Euro nails Upstate with snow, the heaviest focused more out toward I-81 I think. 12z GFS puts out .50" of precip as snow for SYR, 1.12" for RME, .73" for ALB and .41" for GFL. The higher precip at RME seems to be a result of lake enhancement under northwest flow, with areas farther east changing over to rain or freezing rain. This run has some more confluence at 500 mb over Eastern Quebec than 00z which helps keep the cold air in place. The southern stream shortwave is also more vigorous than the depiction from the 00z run, with better phasing with the northern stream. This results in a much stronger surface cyclone, below 984 mb south of Long Island at 108 hrs. Assuming the 12z run of the Euro stays relatively consistent, consensus seems to be building for some type of snow or mixed rain event sometime Wednesday into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 Woke up to a coating of snow on the cars, roofs, ourdoor furniture. Woo-hoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Ahhh....my lifelong hometown up until '07.....snow magnet for 280-295 flow... It seems like they can also do pretty well with a northwest flow, given the larger fetch from that bay at the mouth of the St. Laurence. Here in Oswego, we usually get screwed by the shorter fetch from that peninsula on the north shore of the lake under northwest flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I raked leaves in moderate snowfall today! It was pretty awesome and somewhat unexpected, nothing stuck but the first snowfall always feels good. I feel like it's game on for winter now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 I raked leaves in moderate snowfall today! It was pretty awesome and somewhat unexpected, nothing stuck but the first snowfall always feels good. I feel like it's game on for winter now. sucks we may be near 60 by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 sucks we may be near 60 by next weekend. I'm actually ok with that. It will be the perfect weekend to completely secure and decomission the yard for the year. It's also indicative of an amplified pattern with big winds and arctic air to follow. Love these transitional seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 I'm actually ok with that. It will be the perfect weekend to completely secure and decomission the yard for the year. It's also indicative of an amplified pattern with big winds and arctic air to follow. Love these transitional seasons. last 2 sections of your post are so true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Fresh new coating of snow this evening. Going down into the 20's tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danno Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Good 3-5", roads covered on Rte 41, up high on the east side of Skaneatles Lake this evening. Even looked like the plows had been out. Looked like a winter wonderland:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Getting some light snow flurries here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 OSUwx i'm just down the road from you in Hannibal and we are seeing some light snow here also this morning... Small coating of snow on everyone's roofs around here and even a little dusting in some parts of the lawn's... it's a start of hopefully a great winter for around here. I ride snowmobile so i'm ready to ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 OSUwx i'm just down the road from you in Hannibal and we are seeing some light snow here also this morning... Small coating of snow on everyone's roofs around here and even a little dusting in some parts of the lawn's... it's a start of hopefully a great winter for around here. I ride snowmobile so i'm ready to ride. No accumulation here, but we've had flurries for the last few hours. Definitely the coldest air so far this season with 850 mb temperatures around -10 C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottmartin49 Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Ontario's cooling pretty fast; http://www.coastwatch.msu.edu/ontario/o2.html Compare to last year; http://www.coastwatch.msu.edu/ontario/archive/o2/Oct27/2011_Oct27_2141EDT.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Ontario's cooling pretty fast; http://www.coastwatc...ontario/o2.html Compare to last year; http://www.coastwatc...t27_2141EDT.gif It's kind of an apples to oranges comparison as the image from this year is severely limited due to cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 We now have Winter Storm Athena Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 Cold, very dry air leaves little chance for the snow to make it this far north. Looks like some light snow in the Hudson Valley well south of Albany, and my homestate of CT is getting hammered. They just can't catch a break these past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 Nothing here. Saw 0.1" reported for Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 Nothing here. Saw 0.1" reported for Albany. Nothing here either. Still have snow on the mountain tops leftover from last weekend so not all is lost - until this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottmartin49 Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 It's kind of an apples to oranges comparison as the image from this year is severely limited due to cloud cover. ...yeah, sorry- my fault. Just wanted to get the website links in and didn't get the right ones.This is the site I catch lake temps at to watch the rate of temperature fall. It still looks like we may see a cool lake before snow season starts. Not very promising for snow lovers. Today- http://www.coastwatc...v08_1408EDT.gif 2011- http://www.coastwatc...v08_1616EDT.gif 2010- http://www.coastwatc...v08_1412EST.gif 2009- http://www.coastwatc...v08_1316EST.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woolymammoth Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 A very respectable accumulating snow on the Coastal Plain, at sea level, in the first week of November. Before there has been any accumulating snow in most of upstate NY and no LES to speak of.....not a good way to start the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woolymammoth Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 6+ inches of snow on the beach on Long Island on November 7. And a "trace" thus far at BGM. I know it's VERY early, but the weather (perhaps the climate) REALLY is changing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 6+ inches of snow on the beach on Long Island on November 7. And a "trace" thus far at BGM. I know it's VERY early, but the weather (perhaps the climate) REALLY is changing. Check back in 3 months...lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 6+ inches of snow on the beach on Long Island on November 7. And a "trace" thus far at BGM. I know it's VERY early, but the weather (perhaps the climate) REALLY is changing. You should try living here in the Mid-Hudson Valley the past 3 yrs.. Non-stop fringe city! Something is up with all these sharp gradient events.. Never in my life have I seen soo many in such a short span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 11, 2012 Share Posted November 11, 2012 Gorgeous weather today, currently 60 degrees, possibly getting close to 70 later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2012 Share Posted November 11, 2012 Gorgeous weather today, currently 60 degrees, possibly getting close to 70 later. Absolutely beautiful. 70 and sunny out right now! Loving every second of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 11, 2012 Author Share Posted November 11, 2012 Absolutely beautiful. 70 and sunny out right now! Loving every second of this. can't disagree here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catskills Posted November 11, 2012 Share Posted November 11, 2012 Near Thanksgiving and beyond on the 16-day GFS (http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KMSV), there's a heck of a lot of precip and reasonably cold temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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