lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Huge Flakes mixed in with heavy sleet here currently. same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Got a coating on the ground including the sidewalks ect... Coming down heavy right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Visiting family in Springville-- snow up the 219 past Hamburg was heavy, low visibility with wind. Maybe 1.5 inches on the ground here in town. Some power outages. We saw a flash around Boston off the 219, not sure if it was lightning or a transformer blowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Visiting family in Springville-- snow up the 219 past Hamburg was heavy, low visibility with wind. Maybe 1.5 inches on the ground here in town. Some power outages. We saw a flash around Boston off the 219, not sure if it was lightning or a transformer blowing. send pics if ya can! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kulaginman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Looks like we're done here, though we may get a quick squall with the actual trough passage. I'd estimate about 1/4" on non-paved surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Looks like we're done here, though we may get a quick squall with the actual trough passage. I'd estimate about 1/4" on non-paved surfaces. just a coating on non paved surfaces here. I think Sunday may be better for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Looks like we're done here, though we may get a quick squall with the actual trough passage. I'd estimate about 1/4" on non-paved surfaces. funny you only have 1/4" though as someone in Boston (near Emerling Chevy) at only 1000 ft has 2" and experienced a good amount of thunder and lightning. Cole road at 1600ft must have about 3-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 funny you only have 1/4" though as someone in Boston (near Emerling Chevy) at only 1000 ft has 2" and experienced a good amount of thunder and lightning. Cole road at 1600ft must have about 3-4". It wasn't really elevation driven, it was location driven. I just drove down to that dealership in Boston after going to the gym in the Town, they had around 2 inches of slush. I used to clean that dealership a few years ago. Its about 6 miles south of North Boston. (CVS/Brunners Intersection) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 It wasn't really elevation driven, it was location driven. I just drove down to that dealership in Boston after going to the gym in the Town, they had around 2 inches of slush. I used to clean that dealership a few years ago. Its about 6 miles south of North Boston. (CVS/Brunners Intersection) Springville looks to be getting hit pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 We left Springville at about 9:30-- not much additional accumulation around Genesee Road, somewhere under two inches with light snow falling, so I assume that band is trending south. The 219 had been plowed by the time we headed back. But that drive up there around 8PM had some pretty impressive snow coming down. Good to hear that our lightning had corroboration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 send pics if ya can! Ok! Springville, near Genesee Rd. at 9:30pm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Not really a detailed picture, just a quick snap on the way into the car Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Not really a detailed picture, just a quick snap on the way into the car hey better than nothing. Looks alot more wintery there than here. Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Ha, well now we're back in Parkside where it's 37 and mostly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Its 33 here with some flurries and the wind is still ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kulaginman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 It wasn't really elevation driven, it was location driven. I just drove down to that dealership in Boston after going to the gym in the Town, they had around 2 inches of slush. I used to clean that dealership a few years ago. Its about 6 miles south of North Boston. (CVS/Brunners Intersection) Elevation certainly was a factor, though, as my temperature never dipped lower than 34F. In fact we're still holding at 34F, though the dewpoint has slipped back into the 20s. Hopefully some of those SHSN's crossing through Southern Ontario can add a little to my paltry total after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Genesee Rd. just north of Springville is like a whole other world...what a snowy place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Elevation certainly was a factor, though, as my temperature never dipped lower than 34F. In fact we're still holding at 34F, though the dewpoint has slipped back into the 20s. Hopefully some of those SHSN's crossing through Southern Ontario can add a little to my paltry total after midnight. nothing here this morning. Nada. That band sure is cranking just south of us :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 Genesee Rd. just north of Springville is like a whole other world...what a snowy place. yep just like the southern end of Cole road in Boston/Colden. The northern part of Cole road is in OP at about 1000 ft and sometimes they can have no snow but when you drive just 5 or 6 miles south on Cole road your elevation increases to 1600ft and there can be a foot. Crazy gradients. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kulaginman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 One of the more impressive Lake Huron streamers to affect southern Erie County recently, IMO: Mostly cloudy, cold and windy here on Cole Road. The winds apparently ramped up even further overnight; our Davis anemometer registered a gust to 50 mph at 1:37 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 0.8" here in Westmoreland. Looks like just a little more on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 The new HRW-ARW which the Rapid Percision model is based off of that is awesome at nailing lake effect shows a solid shot for us in the southtowns Sunday. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/hrw-arw/00/hrw-arw_eus_048_precip_p12.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kulaginman Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Yes, I'm still very interesting in snow possibilities from the south towns all the way up to the north towns at some point during the day tomorrow into tomorrow night. I'm about to head out the door to attend to family business for most of the day so I can't really comment at the moment, but right now I'm envisioning a band organizing near the Chautauqua/Cattaraugus/Erie County line around 7AM then quickly lifting across the south towns, through the city, and into the north towns by early afternoon. It may become temporarily disrupted with the passage of a s/w later in the day, then reorganize over the north towns and slowly settle southward again during the evening. My flight back to BOS departs at 6:42 tomorrow evening so hopefully things don't get that crazy ha! More comments late today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 The new HRW-ARW which the Rapid Percision model is based off of that is awesome at nailing lake effect shows a solid shot for us in the southtowns Sunday. http://mag.ncep.noaa..._precip_p12.gif wow that really nails the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 When we did our LES research with NWS BUF in Oswego...we found the ARW core to have a bit less error than the NMM. But there was a resistance in the NWS to go with the ARW. The regular NAM-WRF is a NMM-core. UCAR preferred the ARW core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 I'd definitely be considering advisories for tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 I'd definitely be considering advisories for tomorrow afternoon. im thinking so too. Possibly 3-5". 12z run of the ARW will be intresting to see if it holds strong with the 00z run, if it did id say they may issue advisories this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 im thinking so too. Possibly 3-5". 12z run of the ARW will be intresting to see if it holds strong with the 00z run, if it did id say they may issue advisories this afternoon. I'd be concerned in OP about being too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2012 Author Share Posted November 24, 2012 I'd be concerned in OP about being too far south. probably especally with a bit of thermal troughing. Thinking from the city through West Seneca may be the target. Just my luck lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 The 12z NAM has a pretty snowy period for areas east of Lake Ontario from Sunday into Tuesday morning. There will probably be some kind of single band throughout most of that time with a pretty moist layer up to at least 800 mb, although the activity looks weaker for Monday morning with warmer mid levels and drier air. Whatever band that does develop will be oscillating to the north and south with multiple surface shortwaves moving through the region. The most intense activity right now looks like it will be Sunday afternoon into the late evening, with another period of more organized lake effect Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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