NortheastPAWx Posted August 11, 2012 Share Posted August 11, 2012 Fall will be here before you know it. Meanwhile, for us Penn Staters and other students, classes near... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 11, 2012 Share Posted August 11, 2012 Fall will be here before you know it. Meanwhile, for us Penn Staters and other students, classes near... I definitely know that i'm looking forward to that 74 degree high temperature in my point and click tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 11, 2012 Author Share Posted August 11, 2012 I'm also finally going to get this username changed...no more Hazy for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 11, 2012 Share Posted August 11, 2012 Yup; we can see Autumn on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Hopefully we get an average winter. I hope it's not another 04/05 or 06/07 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 30-40" shall do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Hey guys, back with HWPC. Check it out Facebook: https://www.facebook...50348485049772# Website: wix.com/briskozak/hwpc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 I'm also finally going to get this username changed...no more Hazy for me Now that you'll be a resident of Happy Valley, I won't want to hear any complaining about the Allegheny Front eating 90% of our LES action, alright? At least we shouldn't have to endure another winter like the past one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Hopefully we get an average winter. I hope it's not another 04/05 or 06/07 redux. I'm optimistic about this coming winter just from the simple fact that they don't get much worse than what got thrown at us last year. And if you thought it was bad here, the folks in upstate New York specifically the lake effect areas really got slaughtered on seasonal totals. We had been due to get a 94-95 or 01-02 type winter so hopefully it's out of our system. I do like the early returns on this coming winter with the CFS looking pretty decent and what looks to be possibly a weaker El Nino. I think we'll do okay as long as we don't see the lengthy stretches of highly +NAO/AO (as well as bad Pacific pattern) that plagued last year. And I doubt we see the perfect storm of bad teleconnections for practically the whole winter again this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 According to Accuwx's Brett Anderson; the Euro Weeklies look seasonable through the first week of Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 64.2 right now. Pretty cool for 9:30 on a mid-August night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 64.2 right now. Pretty cool for 9:30 on a mid-August night. Yeah. 68.8° here at the moment. It was nice to be back in the full, vibrant greenery of Central PA after two days of driving across the Desert Midwest and a day in parched Norman, OK. Today will mark the 67th consecutive day without recording even 0.10" of precip there. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Today I also noticed how green everything is. We were dry for a while, hot too, but this spring/summer have overall been great for growing season here in the valley (not including the early blooms of course). Sun is visibly lower, fall is quickly approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Agreed with PennMan -- the weather here in central PA is much more agreeable and the vegetation much greener than what the Midwest and Plains have been facing this summer. Temperatures in northern Illinois, where I was until a few days ago, were running on a record-warm pace for the spring-, summer-, and year-to-date, with 45 days AOA 90 and eight AOA 100 this year so far at my particular location, and precipitation was often scant from mid-May onward. Of course, it seems like it's been on the warmer side of normal here fairly often this year, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 I'll pull a slight. The Hazardous Weather Prediction Center has issued a slight risk of severe thunderstorms for Tuesday the 14th. Areas affected will be southern NY, PA, NJ, MD, much of WV and Northern VA. A low pressure system will work its way up near Lake Erie by afternoon and spawn storms ahead of the trailing cold front. The most likely storm modes look to be multicell and supercells. Damaging wind threat looks to be the highest at this time but, some weak tornadoes can not be ruled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 SPC agrees on slight. Looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Sun is visibly lower, fall is quickly approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 I would say that we are past the crux of summer, temperature wise. No more 100 degree readings, but definitely some 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 I would say that we are past the crux of summer, temperature wise. No more 100 degree readings, but definitely some 90s. I'd think so, for sure. It was downright cool this morning, no humidity and hovering around 60 I think. So nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Tuesday looks moderately good, especially across the northeast 1/4 of PA. I see tornado potential...near veering on the skew-Ts. I'll probably be heading west on 84... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormDude81 Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Keep and eye ahead of the surface low, for enhanced shear, and the threat of supercells and a few tornadoes, where that set ups, the 12z NAM has the surface low in SE OH at 18z, and by 00z it's on the New York/Pennsylvania Border, i would say Western and Central PA could have the better severe potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 The only thing there that may limit the potential is clouds and low level moisture. Lapse rates and CAPE values are marginal, although they get better as you head east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 The only thing there that may limit the potential is clouds and low level moisture. Lapse rates and CAPE values are marginal, although they get better as you head east. Models have cape from 2-3K would say that is really marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Models have cape from 2-3K would say that is really marginal. They did nudge up a bit with 12z, seeing a lot of 2-2.5K in the vicinity of north-central and northeast PA. Makes me feel a bit more confident, even though I think the biggest thing to be worried about is wind shear and other kinematics. Those do support isolated tornadoes tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Well guys, anything look interesting??? I LOVE Severe weather, I might track some around tmrw...where should i go?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Well guys, anything look interesting??? I LOVE Severe weather, I might track some around tmrw...where should i go?? I keep hearing NE PA as a good place but a red tagger can tell you better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I think the target I'm seeing right now is central PA. LL moisture could be an issue further north and northeast, but we'll see. I'll be heading into the area tomorrow, so will keep you guys posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 0Z NAM screw T is pretty wicked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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