blizzardof09 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 When does the 12z gfs start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 When does the 12z gfs start? initializes around this time the timeframe we're looking for in about 15-20 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 can we not talk about model trends in here anymore? why were the last few posts deleted? Sure, absolutely. I deleted them because the discussion was going to go off track from the current storm to the merits of the different models. I want to keep this thread on topic about the current threat, at least while the models are running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 out to 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 GFS looks way better at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 GFS looks way better at 48 trough seems a tad deeper, but I certainly wouldn't say "way" better I am encouraged by the larger RH field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 57 the sw energy is trying to go negative...the pv is north of the great lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 As oppose to yesterday, it's much stronger with the S/W energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 The southern stream doesn't look a lot different, but the polar vortex is about 150 mi farther west at T+54 (vs. T+66 at 0z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 At 54 hours, the GFS is ever so slightly more amplified and the center of the PV is slightly west of where it was on the 00Z run. Not sure it will be enough to change the ultimate outcome, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 66 broad area of low pressure just off the se coast....light snow for northern NC and se VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 it's much closer. I'm seeing hour 81... but it's still wide right and just missed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 As oppose to yesterday, it's much stronger with the S/W energy How? The shortwave is still barely visible on the 500hPa map. I have no idea what you're looking at... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Looks like it's going to be a better solution based on the 54 hr maps. Precip is west of 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 81 is prob 200 miles east of acy...its realy close guys....path of low looks alot like the 00z euro.....seems the wholke evoloution of the system take alot longer, which is prob better for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 .01 area wide at 84.. except eastern Long Island gets into the tenth to a quarter inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Closer to who? NYC only or is PHL getting more in the game? it's much closer. I'm seeing hour 81... but it's still wide right and just missed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Hour 84 is about 50 miles away from a major NYC hit. Not time to give up on this one yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hour 87.. an additional hundreth area wide except eastern long island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 It's going to miss PHL and NYC, but shortwave is way more amplified on Sunday compared to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 big hit for southeastern new england on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 87 light snow back into nyc...but the real show in eastern LI and sne..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Just like last year - by Oz it will be coming furthur west!!! Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 the low pretty much stalls east of the cape.....in destroys sne.....it would only be fitting if this happen, being how they took it off the chin in febuary.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 wow.. Boston to Cape Cod get clocked.. Nice!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 big hit for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I stand corrected. Souds like good news. Hopefully this continues as we get closer. Euro leads the way again? Looking forward to the 12Z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 This is getting pushed back on the models, still very early to write it off for NYC or PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 a nice positive run... hopefully the euro stays on board... sunday football in NE should be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 If a met could chime in...is there time for this to improve for our area? It has come 300 miles further west in one run from both the euro and gfs....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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