SP Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Looks like scud clouds where nearly total saturation takes place around upward moving air. I have seen this at times, especially across the higher terrain. Thanks! Funny after I posted my thought was.....scud. That's pimple hill in the background....a bit higher then 2000ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Macungie and eastern Berks County getting pounded . With this event coupled with this afternoons storm and another round heading our way now 2.5 inches or more of rain is possible. in the gauge by morning. gusty winds prevalent throughout the storm event, expect a lot of tree limbs down in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Macungie and eastern Berks County getting pounded . With this event coupled with this afternoons storm and another round heading our way now 2.5 inches or more of rain is possible. in the gauge by morning. gusty winds prevalent throughout the storm event, expect a lot of tree limbs down in the morning Drought cancel? lol Jk man. You guys out there look to get hit all night too. More down around BWI and LanCo moving NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 been thundering here for like an hour, even though the storm's like 20 miles out. awkward setup tomorrow..almost looks like a winter block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 busy day tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 busy day tomorrow 0z hi res nam supports this notion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Macungie and eastern Berks County getting pounded . With this event coupled with this afternoons storm and another round heading our way now 2.5 inches or more of rain is possible. in the gauge by morning. gusty winds prevalent throughout the storm event, expect a lot of tree limbs down in the morning It's amazing. In my travels, I run 3 round trips from Trexlertown to Hazleton, which is 50 miles each direction. In those travels I saw the distant storms, and the associated lightning with them. Somehow, they all missed the 309/100 corridor, and I was left with intermittant rain showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Doesn't anyone think that the cloud cover in place will limit instability for later today? The rain and storms occurring now i would also think would limit the severe probabilities? I mean while we will have greater shear we are looking at meager CAPE and temperatures held down do to limited sunshine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Doesn't anyone think that the cloud cover in place will limit instability for later today? The rain and storms occurring now i would also think would limit the severe probabilities? I mean while we will have greater shear we are looking at meager CAPE and temperatures held down do to limited sunshine? That's been a recognized problem for a few days already, and once touched on in the new Day 1 from SPC as well. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND WEAK LAPSE RATES ARE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THE EVOLVING SVR POTENTIAL IN THE ERN U.S. DURING THE DAY FRI. NEVERTHELESS...AS HEIGHT FALLS OVERSPREAD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...EXPECT TSTMS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS FORCING FOR ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE WARM SECTOR. INSTABILITY WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE RANGE OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG DUE TO THE WEAK LAPSE RATES/ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER. SOME BREAKS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER...RESULTING IN POCKETS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY. The only way we could actually get an A+ severe weather day tomorrow would be if we got a decent duration of unexpected sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 10, 2012 Author Share Posted August 10, 2012 FWIW, the hi res NAM at 0z suggests a window of inactivity in the afternoon and early evening. This could provide enough pop to get a line of severe to fire up in WV and SW PA late afternoon. Might not stay severe here given it would getting in after dark but there is a decent break pegged in the NAM for late this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Cells already starting to fire from Havre de Grace northward. Hopefully that's a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 its gonna rain, a lot, thats my forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 It is raining HARD right now, some pretty good wind too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 its gonna rain, a lot, thats my forecast Not that it will be ANYTHING like last September, but that radar shot reminds me of the training storms that pummeled the Susquehanna Valley last year, with the exception that the training heavy band is set up farther east toward the Lehigh Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 MD for our area: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1731 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0721 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS ERN MD...ERN PA...NJ...DE...EXTREME ERN VA...SWRN NEW ENGLAND...SERN NY. CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 101221Z - 101445Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...CONVECTIVE BAND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED FROM NERN PA SWD TO CENTRAL/NRN CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION...AND WILL MOVE INTO FAVORABLY BUOYANT AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA. BOW/LEWP FORMATIONS AND EMBEDDED MESOCIRCULATIONS MAY DEVELOP...IN TURN OFFERING LOCALLY ENHANCED RISK FOR DAMAGING GUSTS...AS WELL AS POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF TORNADO. DISCUSSION...NET MOTION OF THIS BAND IS ENEWD 15-20 KT...THOUGH SMALL-SCALE ACCELERATIONS ARE QUITE POSSIBLE. ACTIVITY IS BEING SUPPORTED BY LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND ENHANCED DEEP SHEAR...AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ENEWD ACROSS WRN PA AND WV. EVEN WITH SUCH SUPPORT...LAPSE RATES ALOFT ARE WEAK...SUCH THAT VERY MOIST/HIGH-THETAE AIR MASS NOW OVER DELMARVA AND COASTAL MID-ATLC REGIONS IS NEEDED TO YIELD APPRECIABLE BUOYANCY. FOREGOING AIR MASS WILL UNDERGO ONLY WEAK/GRADUAL DIABATIC SFC HEATING BECAUSE OF THICKENING CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER...MODIFICATIONS TO AVAILABLE RAOBS...AS WELL AS MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS...SUGGEST SFC TEMPS AND DEW POINTS EACH IN 70S F ALREADY YIELD LITTLE OR NO MLCINH. MLCAPE SHOULD INCREASE WITH EWD EXTENT AND WITH TIME...REACHING 1000-2000 J/KG RANGE. VWP ON EITHER SIDE OF CONVECTION INDICATES 40-45 KT 500-MB FLOW ALIGNED NEARLY PARALLEL TO THIS ACTIVITY...CONTRIBUTING TO SIMILAR VALUES OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDE. THIS REGIME SUGGESTS CONTINUED DOMINANCE OF QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE...AND DEVELOPMENT OF OCNL EMBEDDED INFLECTIONS AND CIRCULATIONS WITH ACCOMPANYING LEWP/BOW REFLECTIVITY CHARACTERISTICS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Raining here in Spring Mount...no lightning or thunder. Skies were ominous around 7:45 to 8:00 AM, but that nasty cell went north of here. After yesterday, I'd be fine with no severe weather for a while. At least I was able to get a new TV last night for my living room, to replace the one that got zapped by yesterday afternoon's storm (in spite of being plugged into a surge protector...I'm theorizing that the lightning surge came in through the cable wire). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I'm with you and could care less really about severe as long as we get some nice rains Raining here in Spring Mount...no lightning or thunder. Skies were ominous around 7:45 to 8:00 AM, but that nasty cell went north of here. After yesterday, I'd be fine with no severe weather for a while. At least I was able to get a new TV last night for my living room, to replace the one that got zapped by yesterday afternoon's storm (in spite of being plugged into a surge protector...I'm theorizing that the lightning surge came in through the cable wire). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I got the shore points covered down in Avalon. Waterspout guaranteed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 quick 1-2" coming for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Surprised at the amount of shear in the area: As well as cape; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 up to 1.11 here in wayne at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Very nice storm here in Ardmore. Next batch might move east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Looks like the line in jersey and the line in pa are keeping each other from moving any further east or west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Temp 78 dp 74 Rumblings now, feels like it's about to go nuts here soon...I hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShoreWXgal Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Coming down in buckets here .. No thunder/ lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Incoming in Avalon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 By the way, Happy Birthday to bluehens. It must be his/her birthday since it's raining so much in Northern Delaware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 A lot of street flooding here in OCNJ after that heavy batch moved thru. Can only imagine how bad it is in NNJ shore communities right now based on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 a pair of embedded supercells in central NJ showing rotation now..especially the one entering Middlesex county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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