Parsley Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 1.45" was the total here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I am at the mint downtown and it is absolutely pouring here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Wow, the 12Z NAM hi-res has a pretty large, strong storm in PA at around 10pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 The hi-res models nailed this morning line (HRRR excepted), timing, shape, and the fact that it's completely dying out right over Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 The hi-res models nailed this morning line (HRRR excepted), timing, shape, and the fact that it's completely dying out right over Philly. On my iPhone here at work limited time to view it how does it look for the rest of the day and tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 On my iPhone here at work limited time to view it how does it look for the rest of the day and tonight? The only piece of the 12z suite out yet is the NAM, whose sim radar shows a blob of mainly showers with maybe embedded thunderstorms moving through around 3z. Best tornado potential (per the NAM, anyway) in north-central MD, where 0-3 km HLCYs are 150-200 over a small area. Really comes down to how much clearing we see behind this batch, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 The only piece of the 12z suite out yet is the NAM, whose sim radar shows a blob of mainly showers with maybe embedded thunderstorms moving through around 3z. Best tornado potential (per the NAM, anyway) in north-central MD, where 0-3 km HLCYs are 150-200 over a small area. Really comes down to how much clearing we see behind this batch, though. Thank you might be good enough timing for me to complete work and head out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Sun is working its way out here in Ardmore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 whoa... Just checked the gage at my house and it reads 2.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 1.22 so far here in wayne for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 will be interesting to see how fast we can burn off the llc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 The only piece of the 12z suite out yet is the NAM, whose sim radar shows a blob of mainly showers with maybe embedded thunderstorms moving through around 3z. Best tornado potential (per the NAM, anyway) in north-central MD, where 0-3 km HLCYs are 150-200 over a small area. Really comes down to how much clearing we see behind this batch, though. Road trip to Columbia, Maryland? My friend who lives there always seem to be cleaning up from storm damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 From the 1630z SPC outlook. STORM SCALE GUIDANCE FROM THE 00Z WRF-ARW-NSSL AND THE NAM-KF CONTROL MEMBER OF THE 09Z SREF DO SUGGEST LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILES RESULTING IN ENLARGED HODOGRAPHS SUPPORTIVE OF LOW LEVEL STORM ROTATION DURING THE EVENING. THE CHANCE FOR A TORNADO EXISTS IF DISCRETE CONVECTION CAN EVOLVE IN THIS FORECAST KINEMATIC REGIME. HOWEVER...LATEST NAM-WRF GUIDANCE SHOWS MUCH WEAKER LOW LEVEL SHEAR WITH LITTLE OR NO TORNADO POTENTIAL INDICATED. GIVEN RELATIVELY HIGH CONVECTIVE QPF SIGNAL NEAR A FAVORABLE CYCLOGENESIS REGION IT SEEMS PRUDENT TO MAINTAIN A SMALL RELATIVELY HIGHER 5 PERCENT PROBABILITY TORNADO FORECAST FOR THE TIME BEING FROM NRN DELMARVA INTO SRN PA/CAPE MAY AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Got 0.70 of rain this morning here in Ne Philadelphia. Remains to be seen weather or not I will be adding to that seams to be a lot of wild cards floating around 1 would be the storms in jersey are moving no where fast so flash flood threat IMO will continue there for sometime. Then back west of Lancaster already signs of pop ups starting up. As for instability it is very close by and we have penty of moisture to go with it. Going to be an interesting afternoon that is for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Hmm.. Debating whether or not to head down to my house in Avalon and set up shop there. However, best clearing seems to be near MD-DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Hmm.. Debating whether or not to head down to my house in Avalon and set up shop there. However, best clearing seems to be near MD-DE. Might want to figure that out soon. I am plotting my moves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Might want to figure that out soon. I am plotting my moves. Chances are I'm prob gonna go golf instead.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Chances are I'm prob gonna go golf instead.... Go visit Toms work place, lol. I have my cameras today so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Northern Maryland is clearing out nicely right now. Already > 1000 J/Kg of MLCAPE down there. A bit of sun is breaking through now up here as well but we still need some work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Northern Maryland is clearing out nicely right now. Already > 1000 J/Kg of MLCAPE down there. A bit of sun is breaking through now up here as well but we still need some work. I was just gonna say, just west of Balt looks like a solid spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I was just gonna say, just west of Balt looks like a solid spot. You wanna join or go out on a chase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 You wanna join or go out on a chase? I'm alright. Not excited to chase. If I was, I would have left already. In the meantime, that little cell west of Harrisburg def has some super cellular characteristics. Even a little hook on the back. Encouraging to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 This might be a bigger pic* sorry for the post loading. My iPhone posts bigger pix than my iPad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 That cell would be taking a run at me, but it is basically stationary... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I like those cells in MD near DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Never a good thing to see watch unlikely statements in a slight risk. http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md1759.html For what its worth the sun is now out here!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I like those cells in MD near DE. Ahh yes, the heavy rain cells with almost no lightning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Ahh yes, the heavy rain cells with almost no lightning? Eh, the one north of Dover isn't bad, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Cell in Delaware is rapidly strengthening, possibly severe shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Yea, not too shabby! I f-*in hate TWC. I don't want a scroller across my tv for a severe cell south of DOver!! Some embedded rotation in that cell too. Very very broad and weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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