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NE Tropical Thread


free_man

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I mentioned this in the main ATL thread in the other forum yesterday morning, didn't hear any comments. Possible home-brew next week? That U/L seems to hang around off the SE coast and I see a little sfc/mid reflection going on by 168hr on the Euro. Maybe something to watch?

wx is sooo boring right about now..

Interesting thought. GFS/Euro keep it lingering around near the Bahamas. Will have to watch to see what happens.

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Kevin must have wood (ha ha) the longer leslie stays weak the further west she will ride on the low level westerlies.

Interesting.

VISIBLE FIXES GIVE A MOTION OF ABOUT 295/16. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO

THE SYNOPTIC REASONING AS LESLIE SHOULD TURN TO THE NORTHWEST BY

LATE TOMORROW AS IT MOVES AROUND A WEAKENING RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL

ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE GLOBAL MOTION ARE THEN CONSISTENT ABOUT THE

CYCLONE TURNING BY EARLY TUESDAY DUE TO A BREAK IN THE RIDGE. THE

NEW NHC FORECAST CONTINUES TO SHIFT THE TRACK A BIT FASTER AND LEFT

OF THE PREVIOUS ONE THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS. THE LONG RANGE

FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN BECAUSE IT INVOLVES THE INTERACTION OF MANY

FEATURES...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC...A CUTOFF LOW OFFSHORE

OF FLORIDA...AND A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. GIVEN THE

UNCERTAINTY...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS TRENDED TOWARD THE MODEL

CONSENSUS...WHICH ENDS UP BEING A BIT SLOWER AND WEST OF THE

PREVIOUS FORECA

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Oct can be interesting, too.

The KFS may show a Carol redux, but yeah, it's probably ovah.

Yeah October is good for remnants or a good ET storm. I wouldn't be surprised if we eventually got a legit cane in here during the first week of October though. Gloria was a couple days away from doing it.

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Yep and Birvings Bob is an extremely long shot.. First noreaster of the season, week 3?

Well yeah, any TC is a long shot up here. I do like seeing stalled fronts over the GS with mid-upper disturbances cutting off/separating.

Better than tracking a f'ing 7 day Cape Verde recurve, no? :)

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Yeah October is good for remnants or a good ET storm. I wouldn't be surprised if we eventually got a legit cane in here during the first week of October though. Gloria was a couple days away from doing it.

If we can get an Oct. snowstorm of 20-30" here, we can get a Saxbys Gale. Maybe in 2112. :)

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