CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Maybe we agree with one another because we use meteorology to back up our claims. It's easy to disagree with someone who posts fantasy to just get a rise out of people. I mean, we sometimes offer different opinions in the winter, but it's not like someone is going for 12" and another met is going for 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 It's sort of getting annoying. The system should have worked. The message was out and evacuations were ordered. Should people chauffeur you out of a storm surge zone next time? Agreed. Sorry Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I mean, we sometimes offer different opinions in the winter, but it's not like someone is going for 12" and another met is going for 3". Except in October last year (re: TV mets 24 hours out), lol. Feb 2010 also was really conservative out here on a lot of forecasts. But I think most of us who post on the board are usually not that far apart. When we differ, its usually by one notch...not several. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Except in October last year (re: TV mets 24 hours out), lol. Feb 2010 also was really conservative out here on a lot of forecasts. But I think most of us who post on the board are usually not that far apart. When we differ, its usually by one notch...not several. In general... if I'm chucking... big things are a lock. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Except in October last year (re: TV mets 24 hours out), lol. Feb 2010 also was really conservative out here on a lot of forecasts. But I think most of us who post on the board are usually not that far apart. When we differ, its usually by one notch...not several. Yeah I mean more on this board. Those examples you brought up were probably some of the biggest examples of regional met differences that I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 In general... if I'm chucking... big things are a lock. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 In general... if I'm chucking... big things are a lock. lol Arrogant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Arrogant? Realist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Realist Haney? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Arrogant? I will say a widespread issue on this board is that only positive posts are encouraged. You post something about how a storm looks like crap on satellite and you don't think it will strengthen much....it's followed by 8 weenie posts about how it will strengthen. It's a weather board. There will always be as many negatives as there are positives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I will say a widespread issue on this board is that only positive posts are encouraged. You post something about how a storm looks like crap on satellite and you don't think it will strengthen much....it's followed by 8 weenie posts about how it will strengthen. It's a weather board. There will always be as many negatives as there are positives. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Bong bong bong bong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 It's sort of getting annoying. The system should have worked. The message was out and evacuations were ordered. Should people chauffeur you out of a storm surge zone next time? If I'm on the coast and someone says there maybe a hurricane coming, I'm paying attention. Cat 1 or not, it's a hurricane. Anyone who pays attention should know that hurricanes can be dangerous, just as tropical storms can be dangerous. Perhaps the SS scale should be avoided when making public forecasts? Try this forecast...There's a hurricane coming, winds are expected to be 80mph (or whatever) with higher gusts. Storm surge could be deadly, particularly in low-lying coastal areas. We don't know the exact track of the worst conditions, but if you're in the bullseye, you're going to wish you had left. You may get lucky this time, but sooner or later one of these tropical systems is going to get you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I will say a widespread issue on this board is that only positive posts are encouraged. You post something about how a storm looks like crap on satellite and you don't think it will strengthen much....it's followed by 8 weenie posts about how it will strengthen. It's a weather board. There will always be as many negatives as there are positives. I'll counteract that with there's too much caution and pessimism . A huge Landphoon, or damaging tstorm could be moving in and there's posts such as ..those trees were rotten that came down..or..we see 58 mph winds all the time in the winter..or 4-8 inches of snow isn't a big deal and I'm not excited...things like that really turn folks stomachs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I'll counteract that with there's too much caution and pessimism . A huge Landphoon, or damaging tstorm could be moving in and there's posts such as ..those trees were rotten that came down..or..we see 58 mph winds all the time in the winter..or 4-8 inches of snow isn't a big deal and I'm not excited...things like that really turn folks stomachs Sometimes reality hurts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 31, 2012 Author Share Posted August 31, 2012 I'll counteract that with there's too much caution and pessimism . A huge Landphoon, or damaging tstorm could be moving in and there's posts such as ..those trees were rotten that came down..or..we see 58 mph winds all the time in the winter..or 4-8 inches of snow isn't a big deal and I'm not excited...things like that really turn folks stomachs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Sometimes reality hurts. That's no way to go thru life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I remain Glass 5/64th full optimistic on a significant impact from Leslie on SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I remain Glass 5/64th full optimistic on a significant impact from Leslie on SNE Odds increase significantly for a Novie landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Odds increase significantly for a Novie landfall A Juan/Bill hybrid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 A Juan/Bill hybrid Looks more like that would be the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Odds increase significantly for a Novie landfall 12z gfs shows a near miss for Maine and a strong left-side hit for Cape Breton, then on to the Newfies. Impressive storm, though, with pressure in the 950s (Cat 3?) at 50N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 12z gfs shows a near miss for Maine and a strong left-side hit for Cape Breton, then on to the Newfies. Impressive storm, though, with pressure in the 950s (Cat 3?) at 50N. Even deep storms with strong winds aloft have trouble mixing down those winds when the waters get too cool and the overlying airmass is stable. Although water temps off NS aren't mondo-chilly... http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44137 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 12z Euro says fish food for leslie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 12z Euro says fish food for leslie Good. Last thing anyone around here wants to see is another Jaun. Nice swells is all I'm looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Sleeps with the fishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Now that Leslie's center has opened up and weakened a little and is now moving on a 290* heading, what are the chances of her moving up the EC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted September 1, 2012 Author Share Posted September 1, 2012 I mentioned this in the main ATL thread in the other forum yesterday morning, didn't hear any comments. Possible home-brew next week? That U/L seems to hang around off the SE coast and I see a little sfc/mid reflection going on by 168hr on the Euro. Maybe something to watch? wx is sooo boring right about now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 I'll counteract that with there's too much caution and pessimism . A huge Landphoon, or damaging tstorm could be moving in and there's posts such as ..those trees were rotten that came down..or..we see 58 mph winds all the time in the winter..or 4-8 inches of snow isn't a big deal and I'm not excited...things like that really turn folks stomachs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Big time Sultan surf for Misquamicut upcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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