CT Rain Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 I treat it like the gfs 300+hr blizzard. I never even look at the opGFS past 240hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 I never even look at the opGFS past 240hrs. I usually treat anything past 7 days as for entertainment/information purposes only. If something is out there by then, then you can start to hone a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Bob hit 21 years ago today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 We were one of the last ones to get off the Cape after vacationing there with family from Canada. I wish I stayed though..lol. Wasn't a big deal where I was in Brockton. Lost power for half a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 We were one of the last ones to get off the Cape after vacationing there with family from Canada. I wish I stayed though..lol. Wasn't a big deal where I was in Brockton. Lost power for half a day. I wonder why it wasn't more impressive where you were in Brockton. The storm was pretty intense at landfall and on the south coast. Nice 65-70 knot gusts in SE CT from that one. 50 knot gusts as far west as HVN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Raleighwx says chances of recurve lessening...Folks need to start paying attn to this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Raleighwx says chances of recurve lessening...Folks need to start paying attn to this.. Do we know when recon is flying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Raleighwx says chances of recurve lessening...Folks need to start paying attn to this.. Planning a trip to the Caribbean? This is a "NE" thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 I wonder why it wasn't more impressive where you were in Brockton. The storm was pretty intense at landfall and on the south coast. Nice 65-70 knot gusts in SE CT from that one. 50 knot gusts as far west as HVN. The winds on the west side of it weren't all that crazy. I mean even Logan had its strongest wind when winds turned NW. There was tree damage and all that, but overall it wasn't as bad as it was even 20 miles to my E and SE. Usually E-NE winds on an accelerating hurricane aren't that strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Raleighwx says chances of recurve lessening...Folks need to start paying attn to this.. Will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Will do. You've been calling for no storm developing/miss for days..Sooner or later it's time to jump on the cane train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 You've been calling for no storm developing/miss for days..Sooner or later it's time to jump on the cane train No, I'm just thinking this isn't really a threat for SNE specifically. Unless, you like indirect Sultan rains. Besides, it's way too early to even care. Nothing is ever 0% threat..but I don't foresee this as a high threat for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 No, I'm just thinking this isn't really a threat for SNE specifically. Unless, you like indirect Sultan rains. Besides, it's way too early to even care. Nothing is ever 0% threat..but I don't foresee this as a high threat for us. Fair enough..but most of the tropical mets see it as a serious East coast threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Fair enough..but most of the tropical mets see it as a serious East coast threat Read my post again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 The winds on the west side of it weren't all that crazy. I mean even Logan had its strongest wind when winds turned NW. There was tree damage and all that, but overall it wasn't as bad as it was even 20 miles to my E and SE. Usually E-NE winds on an accelerating hurricane aren't that strong. Yeah Logan gusted over 65mph out of the NW on the backside. I guess Logan's gusts/sustained out of the E/NE prior to the eye may be a bit unrepresentative of areas along the track given the fact that fetch is straight off the water for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Fair enough..but most of the tropical mets see it as a serious East coast threat Who cares if it hits Florida? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Imagine if Bob was moving due north when it made landfall near Pt. Judith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Who cares if it hits Florida? Up the coast ..not FLA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Imagine if Bob was moving due north when it made landfall near Pt. Judith. Who cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Yeah Logan gusted over 65mph out of the NW on the backside. I guess Logan's gusts/sustained out of the E/NE prior to the eye may be a bit unrepresentative of areas along the track given the fact that fetch is straight off the water for them. We did have the eye sort of pass overhead, but it was so broad by that point. I think we had gusts 70 to possibly 80 where I was...but I thought there would be more tree damage. It reminded me of Irene stuff. I couldn't scout the area then like I can now, so it's possible there were pockets around town that were worse. I know where my folks are now..they had no power for almost a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 I went to the Cape 2 weeks later and they got hit really hard. Lots of damage and no leaves on the trees because the salt spray burned them off. Was extremely weird to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 We did have the eye sort of pass overhead, but it was so broad by that point. I think we had gusts 70 to possibly 80 where I was...but I thought there would be more tree damage. It reminded me of Irene stuff. I couldn't scout the area then like I can now, so it's possible there were pockets around town that were worse. I know where my folks are now..they had no power for almost a week. FMH gusted to 82 knots... and EWB 96 knots in the eastern eyewall. Had the storm not been going NE it probably would have been much more impressive for your area I guess. Little rain along/east of track hurts tree damage potential too lol. 38 had inches and inches prior to the storm making trees ripe for uprooting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 We were one of the last ones to get off the Cape after vacationing there with family from Canada. I wish I stayed though..lol. Wasn't a big deal where I was in Brockton. Lost power for half a day. Agreed. Not memorable at all in Foxboro. Also, stick a fork in the CV system. Looks like **** on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 I went to the Cape 2 weeks later and they got hit really hard. Lots of damage and no leaves on the trees because the salt spray burned them off. Was extremely weird to see that. Yeah my grandparent's neighborhood in w hyannisport was hit really hard. Lots of trees down and some structural damage to homes down the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Agreed. Not memorable at all in Foxboro. Also, stick a fork in the CV system. Looks like **** on models. Don't you hear Kevin's footsteps? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Agreed. Not memorable at all in Foxboro. Also, stick a fork in the CV system. Looks like **** on models. Meteorology, not modelology..I'll stick with the tropical experts on this one thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 FMH gusted to 82 knots... and EWB 96 knots in the eastern eyewall. Had the storm not been going NE it probably would have been much more impressive for your area I guess. Little rain along/east of track hurts tree damage potential too lol. 38 had inches and inches prior to the storm making trees ripe for uprooting. We had like 2-3" of rain prior to the winds really increasing. A few squalls near the eye as it passed overhead. I was hoping it would be further west, but it was fun. The smell of fresh cut trees was another thing I remember. Pine and oak/maple. I didn't realize EWB gusted to 96kts. Where did you see that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 We had like 2-3" of rain prior to the winds really increasing. A few squalls near the eye as it passed overhead. I was hoping it would be further west, but it was fun. The smell of fresh cut trees was another thing I remember. Pine and oak/maple. I didn't realize EWB gusted to 96kts. Where did you see that? It's in the NHC report Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Agreed. Not memorable at all in Foxboro. Also, stick a fork in the CV system. Looks like **** on models. It should have been a little better where I was...but maybe I was in a little screw zone as the eye widened and the wind field expanded. I'm also going by memory of my local area and these storms are notorious for having pockets of heavier damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Can you hear it? Allan Huffman @RaleighWx Global models weaker with Invest94 and thus a further west track. At day 8, 6z GFS Ensemble members clusterin western Bahamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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