CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 The west movement is better than NW. That would have really caused a nail biter for NO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 We shall see how it plays out, as you well know the surge from Irene was much worse well displaced from the actual center. Yeah but the areas that are under levee protection around New Orleans will be fine. This isn't Irene. We're looking at an increasingly tight core of strong winds that will continue as it looks right now. Irene, OTOH, had an increasingly large and spread out wind field. So the distance from NO will help the City. Bayou country, however, will see siggy surge but that's something that they're used to down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 just gusted to 76 in Galliano Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 The west movement is better than NW. That would have really caused a nail biter for NO. Exactly. Had it really moved NNW from the Delta up it would have been problematic but I think the levee system would have been more than able to handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 And now we have Kirk which looks to be no threat land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 just gusted to 76 in Galliano Yeah, Pretty heavy band just moving thru there now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 10.6 shell beach 6.9 bay st louis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Yeah but the areas that are under levee protection around New Orleans will be fine. This isn't Irene. We're looking at an increasingly tight core of strong winds that will continue as it looks right now. Irene, OTOH, had an increasingly large and spread out wind field. So the distance from NO will help the City. Bayou country, however, will see siggy surge but that's something that they're used to down there. We shall see, the levees will be fine but not everyone is in NO, we will see how Slidell, and other populated areas make out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 A drift W and then modeled to track SW on the ARW and RAP. The same area over and over....and over. With no apparent intensity loss. Thats nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Mississippi is 11.5 at New Orleans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 We shall see, the levees will be fine but not everyone is in NO, we will see how Slidell, and other populated areas make out. If they are in trouble from sustained 40-50 knot winds with gusts to 60 knots there then something is terribly wrong. I really think NBD in most placed... the trouble will be in swampland.... but places like that that are 2-4 ft ASL are always in trouble in any kind of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 You stall a 968 cat 1 for 24 hours and I think any coastal areas east of the center would be in trouble, especially in a place like se la and Miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 NOLA will have enough wind and more than enough rain to have real power issues. Also, would anybody be surprised to start hearing stories of structure fires breaking out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 As the eye has drifted west the area around the mouth of the mississippi is once again seeing water levels rise as winds are se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 You stall a 968 cat 1 for 24 hours and I think any coastal areas east of the center would be in trouble, especially in a place like se la and Miss But nobody lives there. The total emphasis on NO is like the emphasis on Boston when Misquamicut is over washed, no body lives there either. 10 s of thousands of folks live south of NO, out of levee protection, but it's media and it's money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 But nobody lives there. The total emphasis on NO is like the emphasis on Boston when Misquamicut is over washed, no body lives there either. 10 s of thousands of folks live south of NO, out of levee protection, but it's media and it's money. With the tide slowly rolling in I wonder how high some of the surges will get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 last few frames are due west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 NO about to get raked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 shell beach 70 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 NO about to get raked OMG no one knows!!!!! Tell us again!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Impressive. 84 mph gust at boothville la Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 But nobody lives there. The total emphasis on NO is like the emphasis on Boston when Misquamicut is over washed, no body lives there either. 10 s of thousands of folks live south of NO, out of levee protection, but it's media and it's money. It's EXCEPTIONALLY sparsely populated. The warning was out, people there are accustomed to these storms. Yes they are out of levee protection but many homes are raised and a direct hit from more powerful storms is something that happens with a relative amount of frequency there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 10.9 feet shell beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Wobble SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 It's EXCEPTIONALLY sparsely populated. The warning was out, people there are accustomed to these storms. Yes they are out of levee protection but many homes are raised and a direct hit from more powerful storms is something that happens with a relative amount of frequency there. We shall see. Surge still increasing on low tide way up to Miss. 300 K out of power so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Recon has found the center due south of Grand Isle, drifting west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 The 38 K people in Huoma are about to feel the brunt. Swamp people land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Lol Josh Four solid hours of getting pounded. I'm numb. Get it off of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 NO gusting to 76 http://www.weatherhq.com/weather-station/new-orleans-lakefront-airport SN+ ha http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KNEW.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 NO getting pounded by 70mph winds and +RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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