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NE Tropical Thread


free_man

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Well you know there is a big difference between 73 mph and 74 mph............. :lol:

Right, now they can show their reporter's wind pants whipping around and claim is the start of hurricane Isaac.

My guess is very few, if any, land stations sustain hurricane force wind speeds. So then we can have the stories go the other way, "Hurricane Isaac Overblown!"

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It's a huge problem for the NHC, as everybody, and I mean everybody, is focusing on the wind speed. When in reality it was never going to be the number one issue. Surge and rain/inland flooding are going to dominate the story in the end.

Yeah agree. I'm with you on the fact that they are told to be prepared for hurricane conditions and that's what they should be doing. It's still offshore and is forecasted to make landfall as a cane. But on the other hand... the data pretty much was on the verge of a hurricane and 80 minutes later..it was called one. So what do you do? I really don't have a strong feeling either way, but I see both sides.

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Yeah agree. I'm with you on the fact that they are told to be prepared for hurricane conditions and that's what they should be doing. It's still offshore and is forecasted to make landfall as a cane. But on the other hand... the data pretty much was on the verge of a hurricane and 80 minutes later..it was called one. So what do you do? I really don't have a strong feeling either way, but I see both sides.

The point is that people should have been preparing for a hurricane prior to 12:20 eastern today. This special advisory should change nothing, though I realize that it unfortunately does for many people.

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The point is that people should have been preparing for a hurricane prior to 12:20 eastern today. This special advisory should change nothing, though I realize that it unfortunately does for many people.

Pretty sure people were preparing for a major hurricane since last week. Media hype took care of that

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It's a huge problem for the NHC, as everybody, and I mean everybody, is focusing on the wind speed. When in reality it was never going to be the number one issue. Surge and rain/inland flooding are going to dominate the story in the end.

The problem is quantifying surge risk is quite difficult because localized effects and slight changes in timing and wind direction can result in huge differences.

Had the levees in NO worked as designed in Katrina the impacts would have been much less even if the storm was exactly the same.

It's a challenge to communicate risks that can vary significantly spatially and have an even higher degree of uncertainty when you're forecasting a storms impact over a huge (multi state) region.

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Right, now they can show their reporter's wind pants whipping around and claim is the start of hurricane Isaac.

My guess is very few, if any, land stations sustain hurricane force wind speeds. So then we can have the stories go the other way, "Hurricane Isaac Overblown!"

Yes exactly because now its "Officially" a Hurricane, Not that anything really has changed except the classification, The public seems to react more to hurricane then a mentioned tropical system even though there is not much difference wind wise as it is a minimal hurricane, Like most have said the wind is not the driving factor but that's what the public relates to in these storms, The surge and the rainfall is what this one will be remembered for.

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At least it's finally a hurricane so I don't have to read CT Blizz b**ch about how he knows more than the NHC does on what qualifies as a hurricane.

but ... that was the most entertaining part of this whole event!

Hopefully the damage in Louisiana isn't as catastrophic as it was in Florida

post-128-0-46064700-1346178921_thumb.jpg

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