Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 surge reports of 2-4 feet in the florida panhandle well to the east of isaac, as well as water rises of 3-4 feet in shell beach as ne winds begin to pile water south of NO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 NO going to be in the RFQ of an intensifying storm. That is the worst possible place to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 NO going to be in the RFQ of an intensifying storm. Well it might not be bad if the storm heads more west instead of NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 101 mph fl level wind out of the sse just over 8k, looks like the nhc will upgrade at 11am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Tidal surges beginning all along the Northern Gulf 2-3 feet above normal so far http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/quicklook/data/ISAAC.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Wow..ramping up quickly. Cat 2 at LF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 70kt drop looks like 80mph surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I like this graphical page better, nice sharp rise occurring, high water condition http://tidesonline.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I would think cat 1 at the least maybe low end cat 2, Its not really going nuts as of yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Anyone have a link to decent radar loop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 My guess is still Cat I at landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 My guess is still Cat I at landfall. Yep, Troy and Lizbeth gon get smoked, wonder is there is a gator season this year, gator season filming starts next Wed. Choot um Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 My guess is still Cat I at landfall. Agree here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I would think cat 1 at the least maybe low end cat 2, Its not really going nuts as of yet It probably is a hurricane now, but with the dry air it is still entraining off the continent I am struggling to see how quickly it can continue to strengthen. Slow, steady increase in winds is possible, but presentation is going to have to improve rapidly for me to believe otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Anyone have a link to decent radar loop? http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southmissvly_lite_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Time: 13:17:00Z Coordinates: 28.6333N 87.6833W Acft. Static Air Press: 842.9 mb (~ 24.89 inHg) Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 1,410 meters (~ 4,626 feet) Extrap. Sfc. Press: 991.6 mb (~ 29.28 inHg) D-value: - Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 139° at 85 knots (From the SE at ~ 97.7 mph) Air Temp: 16.0°C* (~ 60.8°F*) Dew Pt: 16.0°C* (~ 60.8°F*) Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 89 knots (~ 102.3 mph) SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 56 knots (~ 64.4 mph) SFMR Rain Rate: 6 mm/hr (~ 0.24 in/hr) (*) Denotes suspect data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 All the very worst winds and weather are NE of the center by quite a bit according to the planes. I am sure the levees will be fine but anyone outside them and that's a lot of folks down there are in for a rough time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 The KFS cat 5 is barraling towards NO!!!! Prepare the superdome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 It probably is a hurricane now, but with the dry air it is still entraining off the continent I am struggling to see how quickly it can continue to strengthen. Slow, steady increase in winds is possible, but presentation is going to have to improve rapidly for me to believe otherwise. Looks like its going thru another cycle as tops are warming and cooling, There is a lot of dry air on the north flank so i agree here, There is not going to be a rapid intensification so cat 1 may be all that it ends up, On water vapor, It also looks like its taking more of a WNW movement but that may be just a jog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Looks like its going thru another cycle as tops are warming and cooling, There is a lot of dry air on the north flank so i agree here, There is not going to be a rapid intensification so cat 1 may be all that it ends up, On water vapor, It also looks like its taking more of a WNW movement but that may be just a jog The weenies are probably going to riot when they see the next advisory... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Looks like its going thru another cycle as tops are warming and cooling, There is a lot of dry air on the north flank so i agree here, There is not going to be a rapid intensification so cat 1 may be all that it ends up, On water vapor, It also looks like its taking more of a WNW movement but that may be just a jog Radar showing more of a n component probably comes in Grand Isle area. Where it stalls is going to make a huge diff. No 8 hours and out for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Latest RB at first glance that looks almost "great" but when you realize that "eye" that looks closed seems more like the NNW extent of an elongated slightly tilted egg shaped center w what looks to me like two main gyre's rotating around each other, the other can be seen in the image LL linked about 35 miles SSE and less defined, one reason i say that is about 2-3 hours ago (945 -1145 utc time) the SSE ward extent of the egg shaped center had the more defined "eye" and it appeared the center was about 40 miles SSE....then 2 frames later another "eye" appears close to closing 40 miles NNW...as you can see at time stamp 1245. looking closer it looks like again there are two embedded gyre's (prolly there is a better met term) at the end's of a egg shaped center that are rotating around a center point. The battle with the dry air continues especially with this weird egg shaped ....double gyre isaac. i could be way off but that's what i see http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-rgb-long.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 at first glance that looks almost "great" but when you realize that "eye" that looks closed seems more like the NNW extent of an elongated slightly tilted egg shaped center w what looks to me like two main gyre's rotating around each other, one reason i say that is about 2-3 hours ago (945 -1145 utc time) the SSE ward extent of the egg shaped center had the more defined "eye" and it appeared the center was about 40 miles SSE....then 2 frames later another "eye" appears close to closing 40 miles NNW...as you can see at time stamp 1245. looking closer it looks like again there are two embedded gyre's (prolly there is a better met term) at the end's of a egg shaped center that are rotating around a center point. The battle with the dry air continues especially with this weird egg shaped ....double gyre isaac. i could be way off but that's what i see Radar time bro, check long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Tidal surges beginning all along the Northern Gulf 2-3 feet above normal so far http://tidesandcurre...data/ISAAC.html That's a pretty good quick look. I like how they include the tide and wind data. I wish I could find a map that included the land a buoy data. It's giving me some thoughts on creating one but that will take a while. The Pilottown station should be interesting as the day progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 The weenies are probably going to riot when they see the next advisory... Yup, As soon as NHC puts an "H" on the advisory, They will be calling for a cat 3 and with JB hyping it, That it will be worse then Katrina, A lot will fall for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Radar time bro, check long range. ya i kinda see the same thing on radar N side of eye is defined and S is either very elongated or just open....and it matches on WV where dry air is being entrained. still sloppy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 That's a pretty good quick look. I like how they include the tide and wind data. I wish I could find a map that included the land a buoy data. It's giving me some thoughts on creating one but that will take a while. The Pilottown station should be interesting as the day progresses. The lack of operational buoys down there is rather astounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 My guess is still Cat I at landfall. Yep. My 80mph may end up a bit low, but I doubt cat 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Radar showing more of a n component probably comes in Grand Isle area. Where it stalls is going to make a huge diff. No 8 hours and out for this one. Yeah Steve, Its not leaving anytime soon, It looks like it may be even slower or the same forward speed on the next advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Yup, As soon as NHC puts an "H" on the advisory, They will be calling for a cat 3 and with JB hyping it, That it will be worse then Katrina, A lot will fall for it Apparently doesn't need the H to get hyped. The coverage so far has been ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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