CT Rain Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 ryan what is the criteria for winds/mb to establish RI wiki has 42mb or greater in 24 hrs? seems high I'm actually not sure of the exact number. That could be it though. Joe bastardi is probably the worst thing to happen to the online weather community. He's a disgraceful hack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 And TBH Kevin's posts have been about as awful as JB's. Not funny and kinda lame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Not Katrina but geez, I am surprised at these values, angle of attack and fetch. Wow http://w1.weather.gov/tcig/php/tcig_index.php?sid=lix&threat=coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Not Katrina but geez, I am surprised at these values, angle of attack and fetch. Wow http://w1.weather.go...&threat=coastal Thankfully the impact is low in New Orleans and it's mostly extreme in low lying swampy areas. The concern there is salt water intrusion, I think . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Does anyone have a link to a site where you can see buoy reports on a map? I'm looking similar to the MesoWest maps but only for wind speed. I tried to pass the parameters in the URL but it looks like they are not being processed. I was looking for somethink that I could leave up and automatically updates and all I can find is tabular data. Thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Been following George for years, never a hypster. Not Katrina but by all outlooks not good. The Trop purists may have issues with structure but sensible weather and impact wise, this ranks up there. LakeEffectKing, on 27 August 2012 - 05:37 PM, said: The period of intensification tonight should be stout. Also of concern is the slowing of the system, which not only prolongs the sensible effects, but would better maximize the frictional tightening of the wind field as the core approaches the quasi-concave coastline. While I feel we most definitely won't have an intensity,nor the size of the beast from 7 years ago, the different angle of approach, the progged slower movement, and the potential for this to be strengthening up to LF, certainly creates a bit of deja vu, wrt anticipation of something "not-so-good". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I'm having deja-vu harkening back to Irene that should be fresh in our minds here in NE... poor structure / concentric eyewall / very large TC all leading to significantly weaker winds at the core than one would expect from its minimum central pressure. With Isaac, 980 mb and still just a high-end Tropical Storm. Obviously no concentric eyewall issues with Isaac, but wonder if the size of the TC (along with residual dry air and structural issues) will diffuse out any RI that could happen overnight. Not a forecast, but a concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 At the very least, Isaac is going to make a dent in the drought conditions in the MS valley. I know a number of farmers out there, especially in IL that could benefit from the rain. Just something to think about in the coming days as he moves north after landfall. First, we need to get past the landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Regardless of strength........this storm is going to have a nasty wall of water with it, I think storm surge is going to be a major major issue. I hope folks in low lying and coastal areas are taking this seriously and not caught up on strength of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Regardless of strength........this storm is going to have a nasty wall of water with it, I think storm surge is going to be a major major issue. I hope folks in low lying and coastal areas are taking this seriously and not caught up on strength of storm. The folks who downplay are as bad as the hypesters. Sort of like the political forum here, there is no middle road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 The folks who downplay are as bad as the hypesters. Sort of like the political forum here, there is no middle road. Angle of attack, and speed are going to play a major role, wave action on top of 6-12 foot surge along with astronomical tides are going to be pretty bad. I understand the purist mentality, but sensible weather is paramount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Interesting looking storm on vis. Almost looks more like a winter coastal than a TC...unless you include the towers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 RB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Still not very healthy looking right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Still not very healthy looking right now. Looks terrible. I think this storm will be an underperformer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Still not very healthy looking right now. nope. Nothing wants to develop past few years, that is for sure. Would be surprised if this ends up more than a minimal hurricane...maybe 85 tops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Still not very healthy looking right now. Especially when you look at the water vapor imagery. The next 24 hours should be interesting though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 nope. Nothing wants to develop past few years, that is for sure. Would be surprised if this ends up more than a minimal hurricane...maybe 85 tops? Yeah I'm starting to think that. There have been a couple moments where it has looked like it was ready to go to town then fell apart a few hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 ULL still to blame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Interesting looking storm on vis. Almost looks more like a winter coastal than a TC...unless you include the towers If you shifted all the convection and precip to the NNW side it would, This system as a whole has never really been very impressive, Best thing that could happen for the folks in LA and Mississippi is that it stays as a TC, It will be devastating enough as is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Sadly the main thread is starting to fall apart. I think folks are getting desperate for this thing to blow up. I counted 8 different posts in the last little bit about people seeing an "eye". Has a TS ever had a visible eye before? I'm thinking no but perhaps i'm wrong. Either way Isaac don't look too impressive to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 In its present state there will be more rainfall in SW LA and SE Texas when it makes landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 In its present state there will be more rainfall in SW LA and SE Texas when it makes landfall Seems pretty consistent for what the Euro showed for this time frame. Modeling did not blow this up until tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 What's with these horrible HRRR posts in main thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 What's with these horrible HRRR posts in main thread? I've watched it actually since this morning, but it seems a bit overzealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Seems pretty consistent for what the Euro showed for this time frame. Modeling did not blow this up until tomorrow. Hopefully for this storm its wrong for the folks down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 28, 2012 Author Share Posted August 28, 2012 The model banter is excruciating, especially concerning cyclone intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 So much for those models that went Cat 2 or higher...a minimal hurricane maybe not even that at Landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 So much for those models that went Cat 2 or higher...a minimal hurricane maybe not even that at Landfall. It will be a cane. Perhaps just Cat I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 So much for those models that went Cat 2 or higher...a minimal hurricane maybe not even that at Landfall. It's been a cane for 12-18 hours now..They just haven't wanted to classify it for some reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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