Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Looks like the East shift is continuing in the models..I still think it could ride into Miami and up the east coast of Florida into the CArolinas..then curve OTS south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Looks like the East shift is continuing in the models..I still think it could ride into Miami and up the east coast of Florida into the CArolinas..then curve OTS south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Watch each model run today pick up the strength of that midwest trough..and weakening that ridge in the south..You'll start to see a definitive trend back east oer the next 48 hours..Maybe not the east coast of Fla..but there will be one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 If anything the introduction of landmass may help the development of this TC. Slow it down some. Disruption of the LLC is not at any time a positive development. Ideally minimal interaction and time spent over land will not disrupt the core. That being said Isaac is now in a classic maturation stage, forward speed is a non issue, many intense hurricanes have developed while moving at a pretty good clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 KFS model landfall CHS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 KFS model landfall CHS? No I'm sticking with the keys..and then up across Florida and then up in the Carolinas..When it comes back out over the Atlantic..with that powderkeg water..it's gonna ramp right back up to a cane south and east of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Watch each model run today pick up the strength of that midwest trough..and weakening that ridge in the south..You'll start to see a definitive trend back east oer the next 48 hours..Maybe not the east coast of Fla..but there will be one I don't disagree. Personally, I think the East coast of FL is off the radar. I'm on the E side of the NHC official track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 we'll be lucky to get a sprinkle lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 No I'm sticking with the keys..and then up across Florida and then up in the Carolinas..When it comes back out over the Atlantic..with that powderkeg water..it's gonna ramp right back up to a cane south and east of us interestingly Euro Ens were actually further west overnight. Lets see what 12Z models reveal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 If anything the introduction of landmass may help the development of this TC. Slow it down some. it has slowed down, nhc uses 15mph for continuity purposes, this thing is getting better stacked as i type and winds are ramping up , (not saying it's undergoing RI) which it could soon, but i respectfully disagree that the landmass as this thing organizes will behelping his development , not in the least now IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 it has slowed down, nhc uses 15mph for continuity purposes, this thing is getting better stacked as i type and winds are ramping up , (not saying it's undergoing RI) which it could soon, but i respectfully disagree that the landmass as this thing organizes will behelping his development , not in the least now IMO Exactly, should be a top end TS soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 next air force plane takes off at 1230 and should get reading on isaac between 130-2pm i beleive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Can I just say Isaac from The Love Boat was more interesting than this uncentered unstacked thunderstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 LOL that's awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 ginx i mean would it suprise you if this latest intensification trend is just a head fake and the 2pm recon shows a 850 mb low at 15.3 N and LLC at 16.7 lol. i wouldn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 latest visible show's isaac close to wrapping around the convection for first time in his life, if so it's bombs away for a few hours i think, as kev would say http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-vis-long.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Ruh roh. 12z GFS hits S FL just S of MIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Ruh roh. 12z GFS hits S FL just S of MIA. Kind of rips the whole state a new one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 LOL to the Love Boat Isaac cone ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 ginx i mean would it suprise you if this latest intensification trend is just a head fake and the 2pm recon shows a 850 mb low at 15.3 N and LLC at 16.7 lol. i wouldn't No I thinks its game on, no shear, dry air, LLC alignment looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Kind of rips the whole state a new one As a Tropical storm, at landfall in the bend 65-75 according to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 I just saw this, really? TS Isaac Banter ThreadPlease refer to the other Isaac thread for serious discussion and forecasts based on real facts and professionals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 JB going with a Miami Landfall. Humping the GFS today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 GFS is close to my track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 GFS is close to my track I am just curious as to how you can compare the September 1938 hurricane season to the 2012 hurricane season. What the reasoning behind this statement in your signature? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 I am just curious as to how you can compare the 1938 hurricane season to the 2012 hurricane season. What the reasoning behind this statement in your signature? I'm simply hoping and hyping that we have a 1938 redux in SNE this year. It's simple . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 I'm simply hoping and hyping that we have a 1938 redux in SNE this year. It's simple . Okay because the two season's so far are very different from one another. Personally I hope we never have a 1938 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Okay because the two season's so far are very different from one another. Personally I hope we never have a 1938 redux. He has a power-outage fetish. It is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 Models are picking up on something in the 12z runs thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2012 Share Posted August 24, 2012 As some of us thought everything shifting east today at 12z . Ukie curves it NE very near Fort Walton Beach and GGEM us now back to east coast of Florida. That Midwest trough has gotten stronger and is doing the dirty work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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