Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 Heh, almost looks via sat like this thing wants to split into two distinct vort maxes. It kind of looks as though the overnight mid lvl center bifurcated from the low llvs and drifted through the Islands this morning, leaving the low llv center and its currently newly attending convection behind. The next confusion is that elongated "bar" shaped cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 Totally a crap shoot, although I slightly leaning towards a gulf coast impact (FL most likely) over a E FL landfall. Still plenty of time for shifts. Yea 80 knots or even TS with a boatload of rain, pretty meh iit would appear today but its the tropics, intensity is all guess work until it gets close despite what anyone says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 This should be in effect all the time (storm Mode) 1. Cross thread trolling will not be permitted on the weather side. If you are in a region other than your own with the sole purpose of starting trouble, you will be suspended without question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 Interesting from where it is now to the analogs. I don't even recall hearing about Cane Able in 1950 or 1952..2 Able's hit SNE within 2 yrs of each other??lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 man... 2 distinct vort maxes indeed, and last recon had northerly winds on the west side of the prior LLC... watch this thing Fujiwhara around itself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 Not until tomorrow night's 0z run, unfortunately. OK thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 at least 3 possible centers (I kept the rainbow sat underneath to compare to the image posted above): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 Interesting from where it is now to the analogs. I don't even recall hearing about Cane Able in 1950 or 1952..2 Able's hit SNE within 2 yrs of each other??lol You should look again. That was only one Able. The other 2 are Irene and Chris. The other Able was well offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 This should be in effect all the time (storm Mode) 1. Cross thread trolling will not be permitted on the weather side. If you are in a region other than your own with the sole purpose of starting trouble, you will be suspended without question. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 this Meh...its fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Meh...its fun But dude you're like the ultimate peace monkey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 But dude you're like the ultimate peace monkey. STFU (jk) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Meh...its fun For some apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 For some apparently lol...I don't do it, but I don't mind when folks from other regions post in NE or elsewhere. As long as they are polite, or show a sense of humor. Life is too short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 lol...I don't do it, but I don't mind when folks from other regions post in NE or elsewhere. As long as they are polite, or show a sense of humor. Life is too short I have seen more that come in throwing jabs then polite, Joyce has my attention more so then Isaac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 5am NHC still feels this makes hurricane before land interaction as dry air mixes out... Hunters still having a tough time locating any clear center after the apparent southwest jump earlier in the night: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Looks like models are converging on a Gulf Coast track somewhere in the AL/FL panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 I am amazed how really hyped up some pros get. I literally LOld at a Twitter post I saw last night that said the Dominican Republic would see a huge surge with Isaac, uh a 40 knot tropical storm with East NE winds will not send 20 ft waves on the southern shores of the Dominica. We are not talking IKE values here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Will it even become a hurricane? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Will it even become a hurricane? that is a great question. I see two competing centers when I look at it, would not post that on the main page though, castration is not my thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Will it even become a hurricane? In the Caribbean, I doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 that is a great question. I see two competing centers when I look at it, would not post that on the main page though, castration is not my thing. Not sure what you're talking about? The whole overnight thread was about two competing centers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 I'm still holding out hope for Texas... I've already given up hope for a transitioning monster with 90 mph gusts and a foot or more of rain up the Connecticut River valley. Makes me a little sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Not sure what you're talking about? The whole overnight thread was about two competing centers Did not read it, good to know I saw the same. I am happy here in our little world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 I've already given up hope for a transitioning monster with 90 mph gusts and a foot or more of rain up the Connecticut River valley. Makes me a little sad. I was hoping for a straight westward shot through the GOM transforming into a Galveston 5, that way we all pay 15 dollars a gallon and your power would be out for months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 I will say, as an enternal optimist, SNE has had major tropical events at the Equinox. In Texas, the Equinox is unofficially game over. Texas mod Steve will point out a half cane in 1989 in October, and there was a legitimate major in 1949, but 3rd week of September, it is over. Now, New England, where amplifying troughs can be a good thing, and Westerlies reaching lower locations, if it isn't 10/Joyce, you guys still have an AEW or three to go, plus a Hazel-ish October Caribbean system that could bring joy to the forum. Glass half full. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 I will say, as an enternal optimist, SNE has had major tropical events at the Equinox. In Texas, the Equinox is unofficially game over. Texas mod Steve will point out a half cane in 1989 in October, and there was a legitimate major in 1949, but 3rd week of September, it is over. Now, New England, where amplifying troughs can be a good thing, and Westerlies reaching lower locations, if it isn't 10/Joyce, you guys still have an AEW or three to go, plus a Hazel-ish October Caribbean system that could bring joy to the forum. Glass half full. synoptically the K storm is what i will be watching. surfs up the next couple of weeks, great news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Rant: I can't bring myself to follow every little change as this crappy TS plows through the Caribbean. Someone call me when this thing starts rocking. Its remnants better stay the hell away from us next week. I need a break after this ridiculous month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Rant: I can't bring myself to follow every little change as this crappy TS plows through the Caribbean. Someone call me when this thing starts rocking. Its remnants better stay the hell away from us next week. I need a break after this ridiculous month! Word. We can start microanalyzing stuff on Monday. Everything between now and then is model watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Word. We can start microanalyzing stuff on Monday. Everything between now and then is model watching. Yep, right when I come back from vacation and it threatens terminals. Good timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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