CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Maybe if it moves due west into more water, it can try to strengthen more...but it still looks pretty meh on satellite for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 7:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Maybe if it moves due west into more water, it can try to strengthen more...but it still looks pretty meh on satellite for now. agree still looks like crap on satellite, with a primarily spiral-band structure and not a clear eye but the 12Z Euro holding off landfall for another 12-15 hours and trending significantly deeper has me wondering if all this talk of frictional convergence will play out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 8:01 PM, wxsniss said: agree still looks like crap on satellite, with a primarily spiral-band structure and not a clear eye but the 12Z Euro holding off landfall for another 12-15 hours and trending significantly deeper has me wondering if all this talk of frictional convergence will play out... This phenomenon is real, but I don't know if it will do much. I frankly don't see this being much more than it already is...unless perhaps it spends more time on water. It's been getting more and more time over water so maybe it will, but IMO....I just don't see this really improving a lot more. Probably a little bit stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Interesting to see meso models keeping isaac offshore for another 10-15 hours. Surge at Shell Beach south of NO already at 6 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 8:06 PM, CoastalWx said: This phenomenon is real, but I don't know if it will do much. I frankly don't see this being much more than it already is...unless perhaps it spends more time on water. It's been getting more and more time over water so maybe it will, but IMO....I just don't see this really improving a lot more. Probably a little bit stronger. Thanks I get the sense (from the lack of posts) that there's alot of uncertainty on how to interpret this trend (Euro, and now HRRR too) showing a west, even slightly southwest motion in the next 12-15 hours, keeping the eye off land, and ongoing strengthening. For the time being, vis sat took a step back in last frames as far as eye clearing out. Next VDM will be very informative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Starting to get some gusts up near 100mph now with a 91...looks like it's crank time. Man I wish I was down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 28, 2012 Author Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 7:04 PM, Dryslot said: It is all about the devastating destruction 24/7.........lol lol In all seriousness, it's going to be pretty bad. My father is the head mgr of trans. at the power co. They're stationed in Jackson, MS at a conference. He's not too happy about this, retiring in June, so hoping it's the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Up to 80mph and slow strengthening likely overnight..Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Local gas station I use jumped $0.12 since this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Kevin wants attention I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Downplaying the effects of surge and flooding is just as annoying as hyping JB style. The water continues to pile up along the coast and radar will continue to improve over the next 12 hours as the circulation continues to interact with land and the core tightens. Wind damage will be minimal to moderate but as with most canes the story will be the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 9:00 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Downplaying the effects of surge and flooding is just as annoying as hyping JB style. The water continues to pile up along the coast and radar will continue to improve over the next 12 hours as the circulation continues to interact with land and the core tightens. Wind damage will be minimal to moderate but as with most canes the story will be the water. I think most areas are prepared as good as they will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Tops beginning to cool on the south and east side of Isaac which may cause a wobble westward, I expect convection to explode this evening during the DM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 9:05 PM, CoastalWx said: I think most areas are prepared as good as they will be. The city is as prepared as possible, what the army corps of engineers have done is amazing with the levee systems. Communication between local, state and Federal agencies has been top notch. I just hate to see the possibility of Isaac stalling sw of NO, with hours and hours and hours of se winds piling up water along se la and miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 8:44 PM, CT Blizz said: Starting to get some gusts up near 100mph now with a 91...looks like it's crank time. Man I wish I was down there Actually, 98mph on the platform on the eastern edge of this map: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/gmap.php?zoom=9&extents=28.381735,-91.043701,30.059586,-88.764038&density=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Isaac continues to improve, this evening is going to be interesting to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 9:35 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Isaac continues to improve, this evening is going to be interesting to say the least. I don't really see any surprises with this to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 9:37 PM, CoastalWx said: I don't really see any surprises with this to be honest. Surprises? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Using oil platforms to get excited about a storm is like using Blue Hill to think Irene delivered hurricane force winds to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Purdy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Eyewall closed off on radar finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Surge at shell beach is over 8ft now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 How soon until the RI to category 5 occurs? I read it here that the storm would be a category 5 with massive destruction. If it's posted on the internet then it must be true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 9:49 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Eyewall closed off on radar finally. See the main thread... unclear to me that the larger outer ring/spiral that is contacting land is actually a closed eye. There's a smaller circle I indicated in the main thread (and that's in your radar post above) that looks like a closed inner eye, with echoes rotating around it if you loop it. Maybe that's what you meant too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 8:54 PM, CoastalWx said: Kevin wants attention I guess. Bobby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 10:10 PM, CT Blizz said: Bobby? Bob Dobalina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 10:18 PM, CoastalWx said: Bob Dobalina? Boob? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 On 8/28/2012 at 10:05 PM, wxsniss said: See the main thread... unclear to me that the larger outer ring/spiral that is contacting land is actually a closed eye. There's a smaller circle I indicated in the main thread (and that's in your radar post above) that looks like a closed inner eye, with echoes rotating around it if you loop it. Maybe that's what you meant too... Thats what I meant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Wonder if Josh will get into any of the 100mph winds tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 971 drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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