snowfan Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Hot, but a nice breeze today. I imagine our storms may hold off til around dinner time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 It will storm today. This time I will be right You should pick insufferably hot and stifling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Moved practice time to this morning just because of storms. It was hot as all hell by the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Slight from SPC - not exactly bullish text ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE MID SOUTH NEWD TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND WRN NEW ENGLAND... ...UPPER OH/SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEYS TO WRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY... A PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING WILL EJECT ENEWD AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN...IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF AN UPSTREAM TROUGH FROM THE NRN PRAIRIE PROVINCES. THE EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE CYCLONE THAT WILL DEVELOP ENEWD OVER QUEBEC...WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE AND OH VALLEYS THROUGH TONIGHT. A SWATH OF CLOUDS AND LINGERING CONVECTION COVERS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THIS MORNING...AND THE THICKER CLOUDS ARE SPREAD EWD/NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/WRN PA AND NY...WITH JUST A FEW BREAKS. REGIONAL 12Z SOUNDINGS REVEALED RATHER MARGINAL LAPSE RATES ALOFT /GENERALLY AOB 6-6.5 C PER KM/...AND MOIST PROFILES WHICH WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO SUSTAIN CLOUD BREAKS AND STRONG SURFACE HEATING. THUS...THE BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 68-72 F...LIMITED SURFACE HEATING...AND MARGINAL LAPSE RATES WILL COMBINE TO RESULT IN MLCAPE OF 500-1500 J/KG FROM CENTRAL PA NEWD ACROSS INTERIOR NY AND WRN NEW ENGLAND. STRONGER SURFACE HEATING WILL OCCUR FROM SE NY SWWD TO NRN VA...WHERE MLCAPE SHOULD REACH 1500-2000 J/KG. THE SERN FRINGE OF THE 40-50 KT MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL BRUSH WRN/NRN NY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH WEAKENING FLOW/SHEAR EXPECTED WITH SEWD EXTENT ACROSS PA/NY. DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE RATHER WEAK SE OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...WITH MOST OF THE SHEAR LIMITED TO THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE. ADDITIONALLY...ASCENT WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY FOCUSED ALONG THE COLD FRONT...SUCH THAT THE AFOREMENTIONED WIND/THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL FAVOR A MESSY CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION WITH A MIX OF CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS EXPECTED ALONG AND WELL E OF THE COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MOST PROBABLE THREAT...LIKELY EVOLVING FROM THE ONGOING CONVECTION SPREADING NEWD ACROSS LAKE ERIE AND NW PA. THE POOR LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT THE HAIL RISK...AND VERTICAL SHEAR FOCUSED IN THE LOW LEVELS DOES NOT FAVOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Vis sat suggests the best chance at widespread storms in a long time. Instability, CWA wide trigger, good ml lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Humid and quite breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 It better rain today, or I am blaming H20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Should have no trouble with another 95+ today at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 storm about to roll in. That line slid to my south. Nice lightning though. Next one looks to be lifting to my NW. Great skies today and a lot of wind. 91 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Hoping that line holds out to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 It better rain today, or I am blaming H20 Whenever our storm drought ends, we're going to get railed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Ian would say meh but some rain over none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Dark skies coming in fast. Hearing rumbles of thunder now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Looking forward to that line coming my way........hope it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Looking forward to that line coming my way........hope it holds. Held for me. Getting a great storm right now. Wind driven rain, thunder and lightning. I cannot see the corn field behind my house it is raining so hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Nice wind. Only a little thunder. Best storm in weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Nice wind. Only a little thunder. Best storm in weeks It is pretty interesting the difference in the storm between the both of us. Lot of thunder and lightning. Actually got a small power outage it is back on now. Rain has slowed down but the thunder and lightning are still going on. 0.20" of rain. Had to wait to post this as my router had to reset from the power flicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 It's not a derecho!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 It's not a derecho!!! Killjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Thinnest line of storms ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodbineWX Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Southern Pa/Harrisburg wins again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Starting to get more organized back into southern Ohio. Hope we can get into that later after this line passes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 stw lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 stw lol Def lulz imo too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 It's not a derecho!!! No kidding. I've had 3 people text me about how bad today's derecho is/was for them. Jeepers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 5, 2012 Author Share Posted August 5, 2012 Nothing special in Gaithersburg at the moment... just some gusts. No lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 My power just flickered for no reason. I guess the lines are shuddering at the thought of a thunderstorm. I hate our third-world infrastructure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 looks like an OFB is getting going so maybe it can salvage the need for the watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 looks like an OFB is getting going so maybe it can salvage the need for the watch We are the overwarned capital of the free world -- except when it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Our cloud deck is lowering rapidly and the trees are swaying, some 30+ mph gusts already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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