snowfan Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Lol. I see ians post buried in there with all of the berk worshipers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Don't worry Ian, I had to get my 2 cents in there too, though since its a solid paragraph I'd say 3 or 4 cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 "Hints of a derecho" How can anyone blame the stupid public for being stupid when mets say stupid sh!t? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 How can anyone blame the stupid public for being stupid when mets say stupid sh!t? Point exactly, its like amwx weenies calling an annular hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 I hope that stuff over Indiana and Illinois holds together tonight...could use the rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 What Berk is doing is incredibly irresponsible for someone with a degree in Meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 What Berk is doing is incredibly irresponsible for someone with a degree in Meteorology. im willing to give him the benefit of the doubt that he just doesn't know what he's talking about... plus the line behind his derecho is pretty uber now maybe that can salvage the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 im willing to give him the benefit of the doubt that he just doesn't know what he's talking about... plus the line behind his derecho is pretty uber now maybe that can salvage the idea. maybe someone should post the Johns/Hirt article so he can read it. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/publications/johns/derechos.pdf or this later paper. I prefer the original one. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/papers/Bentley_1998.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Chase footage time lapse and photos from Tuesday's chase. I did catch another storm near Pikesville after this one but it was night and footage was dark and loud from nickel hail hitting the roof of the car along with me going "Ooooh Hail!" commentary. So here is the Westminster footage I got with Eskimo Joe. Enjoy! PS. No your speakers aren't broken, there is no sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Great vid! I love the use of time lapse, and the wall cloud at 1:20ish was really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Very nice video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 A bit off-topic, but does anyone have a recommendation for a good national radar that can be run on an iPad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 18z NAM-HIRES shows hints of a derecho at 21z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 18z NAM-HIRES shows hints of a derecho at 21z tomorrow. Some drizzle or a sunnado? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Dews are iffy tomorrow.. otherwise it looks OK. We might get a slight at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 0z runs suggest we stay pretty mixed tomorrow as well though there is a spike of instability lateish. I'd think SPC will bring the slight into this area--would favor eastern half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 0z runs suggest we stay pretty mixed tomorrow as well though there is a spike of instability lateish. I'd think SPC will bring the slight into this area--would favor eastern half. I see a conditional slight risk... prob for wind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I see a conditional slight risk... prob for wind... yeah possible.. shear is crappy.. pulsers with a fairly high temperature/dew point spread. downbursts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 15 hail DC and SW, 15 wind same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I love how the 0z models had a nice rain slug through here and now both 6z runs have pretty much gone down to basically sprinkles... par for the course...I've said it since 04....once the burg goes dry...it pretty much stays dry....here's to hoping for a soaker down the road to break this spell out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Very nice video Wxmeddler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 13z SPC has barely any portion of the LWX zone in the Slight risk...only out near the Blue Ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Sun!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Sun!! That's the artificial sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I love how the 0z models had a nice rain slug through here and now both 6z runs have pretty much gone down to basically sprinkles... par for the course...I've said it since 04....once the burg goes dry...it pretty much stays dry....here's to hoping for a soaker down the road to break this spell out here. Often quite dry up here in Frederick too in summer. Summer 2012 is different. I've registered 9.32" since June 1 which is a big difference from the 0.5" during that same time in 2011. You need a remnant 'cane to push through or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 chopped the slight risk entirely north of the southeast. ...CNTRL APPALACHIANS INTO THE HUDSON VALLEY AND WRN/CNTRL NEW ENGLAND... HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE MORE SUBSTANTIAL THAN ACROSS SLIGHT RISK AREA...AS WILL CONVERGENCE ALONG COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT POORER MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR MASS WILL PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF MEANINGFUL INSTABILITY. AS SUCH...ONLY ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH A RISK FOR GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Fail There's actually more instability right now than models were forecasting. Though we might mix out this afternoon and we don't have a ton of moisture to start with. Cu are going up along the eastern ridges so I think we'll see storms try at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Definitely no 95 today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 That front is looking pretty pathetic at this point, and already has a noticeable break in the front-running line at our lattitude. Given that and our local proclivity for missing almost everything that comes from the west, I'd be surprised if MBY sees a drop of rain this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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