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August 2012 Obs/Disc


Ellinwood

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Even if it had been a 60,000-foot anvil head in an MCS - it still would have fallen apart before it got here.

Every 'effing cell has done the same thing this summer apart from June 29 and the random morning tumblers we've been getting. I hate b****ing about stuff like that, but I'm really starting to get worn out by the whole thing.

LOL- taking out the derecho from this season is hilarious. That event in it of itself is more than many entire severe seasons. Add on some ordinary thunderstorms and what is there to whine about?

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I'm bummed I'm not closer to it but this a cell to be excited about.. I can't remember a supercell in the area that looked as good for so long. Now we need some bay breeze or something to whip up an EF2.

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Kind of intrigued as to why the Baltimore County / City cell isn't re-warned tornado. Seems to have a pretty robust signature. Keep in mind I'm not trying to bash Sterling WFO, just curious is all.

It's likely that LWX was using the Terminal Doppler at BWI to make final decisions on

warning for this storm. Even though the circulation on the WSR-88D looked stronger

than it did during the TOR, it may have not been g2g on the TDWR which is

scanning the lowest portion above the ground, hence they decided to hold back.

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LOL- taking out the derecho from this season is hilarious. That event in it of itself is more than many entire severe seasons. Add on some ordinary thunderstorms and what is there to whine about?

IMO this has been an above avg to well above avg storm season in the region. I dunno why people act like the derecho was all. June 1 was very anomalous. Then we have had perhaps a dozen other decent events for someone at least. Convection is rarely widespread.

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IMO this has been an above avg to well above avg storm season in the region. I dunno why people act like the derecho was all. June 1 was very anomalous. Then we have had perhaps a dozen other decent events for someone at least. Convection is rarely widespread.

I totally agree. It's just the nature of this forum, I guess, that each couple of years, a new phenomenon will start to be analyzed in the mid-range. Of course modeling has been improving too. But, remember when potential tropical cyclones that hadn't formed yet began to be discussed like upcoming potential snowstorms? I see that a lot more this season with our severe weather, and maybe that contributes to disappointment.

It's easier to not be disappointed when expecting potential severe weather to be isolated much, much more often than not. I was trying to emphasize (not successfully) immediately after the derecho just how uncommon it is for a sub-forum-wide event when it comes to severe weather.

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I totally agree. It's just the nature of this forum, I guess, that each couple of years, a new phenomenon will start to be analyzed in the mid-range. Of course modeling has been improving too. But, remember when potential tropical cyclones that hadn't formed yet began to be discussed like upcoming potential snowstorms? I see that a lot more this season with our severe weather, and maybe that contributes to disappointment.

It's easier to not be disappointed when expecting potential severe weather to be isolated much, much more often than not. I was trying to emphasize (not successfully) immediately after the derecho just how uncommon it is for a sub-forum-wide event when it comes to severe weather.

Yeah... we're on the same page. I was mainly just reiterating it. The derecho alone almost makes the year and if you think about who was effected it clearly makes the year if not a few years of normal "true severe" expectations.

If you're an IMBY weather person storms are probably not something to be into around here. We all might complain a little here and there but some don't seem to get the concept that getting missed is normal.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

1037 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN HARFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...

EASTERN BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...

* UNTIL 1130 PM EDT

* AT 1036 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

TORNADO WAS NEAR BOWLEYS QUARTERS...OR NEAR MIDDLE RIVER...AND WAS

MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

PERRYMAN...

ABERDEEN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A

STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS. IF OUTDOORS OR IN A MOBILE HOME OR

VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT

YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. AS A LAST

RESORT...EITHER PARK AND STAY IN YOUR VEHICLE...OR ABANDON YOUR

VEHICLE AND LAY FLAT IN A LOW SPOT.

&&

LAT...LON 3944 7605 3940 7616 3935 7621 3935 7624

3929 7628 3930 7630 3938 7631 3938 7633

3931 7632 3929 7638 3926 7640 3938 7651

3958 7615 3951 7610 3949 7610 3948 7608

TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 241DEG 16KT 3936 7637

$$

BJL

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Yeah... we're on the same page. I was mainly just reiterating it. The derecho alone almost makes the year and if you think about who was effected it clearly makes the year if not a few years of normal "true severe" expectations.

If you're an IMBY weather person storms are probably not something to be into around here. We all might complain a little here and there but some don't seem to get the concept that getting missed is normal.

Yup, that's the key statement. As much as we joke about being in the tropics, we *can* actually look forward to two 4" snowstorms a winter. Multiple tornado outbreaks? Multiple widespread wind damage storms? Nope.

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Back, Awesome chase day! Got some really cool wall cloud photos with Eskimo Joe, had a great time driving around W-MD with Ellinwood and even got some nickel sized hail near Pikesville! Would of gone around farther on the cell but the beltway was crawling and roadways were flooded. Impossible to move around anywhere.

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