Fozz Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Great, now I get a near-miss too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Luray storm looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Got some rotation on it too. Maybe a little hook type thing trying to form? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Fozz, that first storm was a little north of me, though I could hear the thunder from it when I got home around 5... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Shower popping up just to the SW of Arlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 90 at DCA. 14/14 days above normal this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Luray storm looks good. Half dollar sized hail reported with that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Half dollar sized hail reported with that storm Looks to have lost its organization a bit. Not as much rotation on the base scan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Storm to my north 45 Mins ago had impressive organization. Poofed quickly after 15 minutes though. Heard thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Well we are starting to enter that "prime" period lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Well we are starting to enter that "prime" period lol Apparently so, something better start then soon cuz mehville is underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 June 29th was our event for summer severe... elsewise it has sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Hearing thunder but nothing impressive out my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Out on the playground with the kids. Occasional breeze with overcast skies. Anything that I have seen on radar to my West does not last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Severe forecasting here is rather bizarre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 So... how does Friday look? AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 640 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2012 .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SVRL WRNGS HV BEEN ISSUED IN VCNTY I-81 AND W THIS AFTN. ATTM STORMS APPEAR TO BE WKNG WHILE PROGRESSING E OF THE MTNS - HV BEEN MONITORING THE IAD VWP ALL AFTN/EVE AND WIND FIELD IS GNRLY 10 KT OR LESS THRU 10K FT. THIS DOES NOT LEAD ITSELF TO THE STORMS INCRSG IN INTENSITY...BUT OUR RDR OPERATOR IS KEEPING BOTH EYES ON THE SCREEN. OVERALL STAYED WARM ON TEMPS DUE TO SLOW PROGRESS OF SFC FNT. <snip> FRI...SLY FLOW RETURNS AS M/ULVL TROF DEEPENS OVR GREAT LAKES AND CDFNT APPROACHES CNTRL APLCNS. 12Z GUIDANCE DELAYS FWD PROGRESS OF FRONT...ALLOWING FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT DIURNAL HEATING. MAXIMA FCST AROUND 90F...AND AT LEAST MDT INSTABILITY SHUD COMBINE WITH DECENT BULK SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED CNVCTN ALONG AND AHEAD OF CDFNT FRI AFTN/EVE. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE STRONG/SVR...THO TIMING OF FROPA AND DEGREE OF PRE-FRONTAL CLOUD-COVER WILL BE FACTORS IN EXTENT OF SVR RISK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 So... how does Friday look? AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 640 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2012 .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SVRL WRNGS HV BEEN ISSUED IN VCNTY I-81 AND W THIS AFTN. ATTM STORMS APPEAR TO BE WKNG WHILE PROGRESSING E OF THE MTNS - HV BEEN MONITORING THE IAD VWP ALL AFTN/EVE AND WIND FIELD IS GNRLY 10 KT OR LESS THRU 10K FT. THIS DOES NOT LEAD ITSELF TO THE STORMS INCRSG IN INTENSITY...BUT OUR RDR OPERATOR IS KEEPING BOTH EYES ON THE SCREEN. OVERALL STAYED WARM ON TEMPS DUE TO SLOW PROGRESS OF SFC FNT. <snip> FRI...SLY FLOW RETURNS AS M/ULVL TROF DEEPENS OVR GREAT LAKES AND CDFNT APPROACHES CNTRL APLCNS. 12Z GUIDANCE DELAYS FWD PROGRESS OF FRONT...ALLOWING FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT DIURNAL HEATING. MAXIMA FCST AROUND 90F...AND AT LEAST MDT INSTABILITY SHUD COMBINE WITH DECENT BULK SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED CNVCTN ALONG AND AHEAD OF CDFNT FRI AFTN/EVE. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE STRONG/SVR...THO TIMING OF FROPA AND DEGREE OF PRE-FRONTAL CLOUD-COVER WILL BE FACTORS IN EXTENT OF SVR RISK. Save it yoda, bunch of unlikely bs anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I'm sure LWX will nail this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Just going with the odds of what this summer has brought me in my area. Nothing much besides June"s BIg D and I was in Florida anyways. All of my storms have been on the chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Big azz base near wesminster! Lots o CG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 storm in pa west of lancaster might try to do it. not sure why they have the warning box to the northeast as it's turning right. n md stuff worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 14, 2012 Author Share Posted August 14, 2012 Big azz base near wesminster! Lots o CG! If that storm goes on to produce I'll be sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 storms well sw also have some rotation now. radar looks considerably better tho it's going to take some work locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 If that storm goes on to produce I'll be sad. it's trying to hook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 that n md cell is actually right about where the nam kept blowing up a big something past runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 storms well sw also have some rotation now. radar looks considerably better tho it's going to take some work locally. Storms finally east of I-81 with the Culpepper STW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Lwx seems negative on storms after dark. Time should be running out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 14, 2012 Author Share Posted August 14, 2012 3-D view of the Westminster split cells facing east... updrafts tilted in opposite directions: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Looks like the storms out to the W coming off the mountains are dying out as they approach PW. Going into S PW is a possibility still. I have seen this countless times this summer in my neck of the woods. It would be nice to see the odds change!! Ps nice post Ellinwood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 3-D view of the Westminster split cells facing east... updrafts tilted in opposite directions: Very cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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