Local Yokel Wx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Robert mentioned NW GA should be alert via his latest tweets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Tom Skilling is honking about how return of the Greenblock block means August cool for the East. And wet too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Looks like its starting to dry up as I type, but several showers and storms breaking out ahead of the main line.....maybe we'll get lucky but I'm not holding my breath. Its been a really long time since I've seen a MCS make it all the way across the south including N. Ga. CAE doesn't think it will make it this far .NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION WELL TO OUR WEST NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA AT THIS TIME. ACTIVITY PUSHING INTO DRIER AIR AND THIS SHOULD HELP TO WEAKEN THE STORMS AS THEY MOVE INTO CENTRAL GA. MAIN IMPACT SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AFTER 00Z. GUIDANCE AND LOCAL TEMPERATURES ARE VERY CLOSE AND WILL STAY NEAR CONSENSUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Here is GSP's explanation of said rainfall potential: Thus, who knows? You might get lucky and see it hold together long enough. Time will tell... 4:30 update from GSP .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... AS OF 430 PM...A BROAD NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER BETWEEN AL AND GA. THE LINE IS PUSHING EAST INTO WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR...WITH THE LATEST CAPE ANALYSIS INDICATING ONLY 100 J/KG OF CAPE OVER THE WESTERN NC MTNS. BASED ON THE RADAR TRENDS...LIGHTNING RATES...AND RATE OF WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...A BAND OF FADING CONVECTION WILL REACH THE WESTERN NC MTNS BEFORE TOTALLY DISSIPATING DURING THE LATE EVENING. I WILL INCREASE POPS TO CHC ACROSS THE WESTERN NC MTNS AND HIGHLIGHT GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS IN THE HWO. I WILL ALSO UPDATE THE FORECAST TO ALIGN TEMPS AND DWPTS WITH OBSERVATIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MADDOGG Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 hopefully we all get a long fall like the last few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Ha, those spoiled Atl. northward folks had to hope a system made it in from Ala., lol. I am having to hope that batch in Miss. makes it here I had rain pretty much 8 days running, and it couldn't add up to two inches, lol. Even when it rains everyday down here, it ain't much. T Sometimes is feels like JustinTown down here, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 Wake me up on Wednesday. Thats our next good chance of rain. Rained on Monday-Friday last week. Fun times. Currently 73 outside with a dew point of 68. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I lucked out and picked up .4" from the MCS. It is a comfortable 68 out no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 *****..just think...5 degrees away from the 40's. Amazing. Yeah it is pretty amazing and gets me all jacked up for fall. I was actually surprised we got that low. Thanks to .04" of rain from that MCS and the skies clearing right at sunset, I'm already down to 59.1. I lucked out and picked up .4" from the MCS. It is a comfortable 68 out no. Lucky you. That thing just died as it got to my area. Only .04". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 I lucked out and picked up .4" from the MCS. It is a comfortable 68 out no. It was raining so hard on I-75 yesterday when I got off work, I completely missed my exit. I got home and the pool was overflowing. Much better month than June/July combined in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 We had about 3 thunderstorms train us this morning in Knoxville. It was very unusual. TYS picked up about 0.77" out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 .42" combined from yesterday and this morning. 3.82" for August! I don't know what to do with so much rain! Thanks to Tony and the moles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 14, 2012 Share Posted August 14, 2012 .42" combined from yesterday and this morning. 3.82" for August! I don't knowy what to do with so much rain! Thanks to Tony and the moles .38" combined here 4.19" for the month to date I want to give a shout out to tony also. Make sure to tell the moles to save some for winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 .38" combined here 4.19" for the month to date I want to give a shout out to tony also. Make sure to tell the moles to save some for winter! Lol, that's why I pulled the mojo before they could conjure up something tropical for us. I just can't risk the potent juju being used up before Jan. and Feb. I've gotten .2 today, some early, and some more late. Pretty much a little bit every day since I put the starey eyed critter up as my avatar. Got scared and took it down, but still got a few tents today. I'm going to try for a huge, big, mega sleet storm this year. A six to ten inch dumping for the ages, and if that translates to a 14 to 20 inch snow for ya'll, all the better, lol. I've been under two light blankets these last few nights, as the fan blows right on me, and it has been great sleeping!! This has been a hot, hot summer, but the breaks make is seem less so, to me, anyway. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Someone about 50 miles to our North is getting a nice storm tonight (Louisburg area) , judging from radar returns and visible lightning in our back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Just a glorious night in Weaverville. Ate dinner out on the back porch and enjoyed every minute of it. In the lower 70s this evening with a dewpoint around 60°. In July our dewpoints were in the low to mid 70s which is so unusual for the Mnts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Pretty pathetic when you're excited to report that a storm blew up 'almost' overtop of you and you managed to snag .08" from it before it moved on and really got going over towards Selma and Kenly. *sigh*. That pushes us over the 1" mark for the month, though!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 16, 2012 Author Share Posted August 16, 2012 I was quite shocked at just how fresh the air felt this evening...better enjoy it as another front is coming for the weekend...and the trend has been to stall it overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 I was quite shocked at just how fresh the air felt this evening...better enjoy it as another front is coming for the weekend...and the trend has been to stall it overhead. It's that darn escarpment effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Nice storm rolled through this evening. Lost power for about 90 minutes. Picked up .61. That puts my 10 day total at just a smidge below 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 50s tonight...I'm cold. Starting to miss those 70+ degree overnight readings already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 16, 2012 Author Share Posted August 16, 2012 It's that darn escarpment effect. lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Been a while, but I've had lots of summer visitors. 54 this morning and just beautiful. Colors beginning to appear in the woods. Mist on the pond again. Cloudless sky at sunrise. No breeze. Love that touch of fall in August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Any thoughts on tomorrows storms? Slight risk for North Georgia and the Western Carolinas. Sounds like mainly a wind threat. 80% chance of rain according to FFC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Any thoughts on tomorrows storms? Slight risk for North Georgia and the Western Carolinas. Sounds like mainly a wind threat. 80% chance of rain according to FFC. First thought..... I hope we don't get shafted with the storms missing us to the north by 50 miles. I'll take a look tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 NWS is still carrying 70% pops today. It doesn't look that promising to me. I'd say maybe 20% is in order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Total bust in outlined slight risk area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Total bust in outlined slight risk area? That has been the rule of the summer so far. Little more energy swinging through this afternoon so I think there'll be a better chance than some of our past slight risk days, but again, not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Huge PV setting up over SE Canada over the next 3-5 days,if we had this setup in winter it would be pretty cold out.Also it looks like what's left of the tropical system in the gulf gets pulled up in about 5-6 days as well through the SE. Interesting run today on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 Huge PV setting up over SE Canada over the next 3-5 days,if we had this setup in winter it would be pretty cold out.Also it looks like what's left of the tropical system in the gulf gets pulled up in about 5-6 days as well through the SE. Interesting run today on the GFS. With high school football season starting tonight I have been away from the weather scene most of this week. Noticed GSP mentioned in the discussion about a tropical low so I took the moment to scan through the models. Both 12z GFS and Euro shows something coming from the Western GOM sometime around Wednesday/Thursday of next week. GFS has a more distinctive tropical feature just off the Texas coast and develops it somewhat. Comes ashore SE Lousiana and then travels through the deep south. A piece of the 850 vort shoots northeast into the Carolinas while another piece hangs back in Alabama Day 6... Euro is a more strung out vort feaure from the very start that hangs around the South for multiple days... All in all interesting and something to follow...however gut feeling and climo wants to be weary of any storm that forms in that general area, lot of times those tend to get caught up close enough to Texas to be more of an issue for them than it is anybody else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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