dryslot Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Footsteps are growing louder for a change in airmasses across the GL and northeast I think. Might not last long, but this is the first "cool shot" into the CONUS in quote a long time. Here in SNE, the cool air may run out of gas somewhat....but I expect somewhat of a cooler and drier shot of air. Maybe some of the 1st signs of a seasonal change, This heat can't go on forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Maybe some of the 1st signs of a seasonal change, This heat can't go on forever -NAO is expected to go below -3SD now on euro ensembles. That's gonna do some damage in parts of this country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 ORH at +4.8 before today Unending... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 -NAO is expected to go below -3SD now on euro ensembles. That's gonna do some damage in parts of this country. The west is still a furnace.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 The west is still a furnace.... The west may be screwed for a while as Nino develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Back in the swamp after spending 8 days in comfortable PEI, oh well, I hope the cool down comes soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Perseid time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 -NAO is expected to go below -3SD now on euro ensembles. That's gonna do some damage in parts of this country. What kind of damage ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 What kind of damage ? Just a reference to the nrn US...probably GL region cool down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Great night for meteor watching We saw 3 in less than 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 I really want to track snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Nice euro fropa Sat afternoon across the interior although it looks like it may get hung up a bit in sne as a wave forms. Both the op/ens offer some relief though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Heading to northern WI Friday for a family event and alredy hqve given the Ned's up off jackets. Fall appers to be making at least a cameo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 BOX says ride the GFS..no relief in sight HIGHLIGHTS... * HEAVY SHOWERS AND SCTD TSTORMS TUE THRU WED NGT...FLOODING PSBL * DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION PSBL THURS...QUIET THURS NGT * FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...A CONSTANT STREAM OF TROPICAL MOISTURE MODEL DIAGNOSTICS... EVALUATING H5 MASS FIELDS...THE GENERAL TREND CONTINUES WITH A FAVORABLE TROUGH PATTERN ACROSS THE ERN CONUS THRU WHICH A SERIES OF SHRTWV DISTURBANCES WILL BRING ROUNDS OF MUGGY WX WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF PDS OF RELIEF. REFLECTING ON THE PREV WEEK FCSTS...THE GFS HANDLED THE LONGEVITY OF THIS PAST WEEKEND SYS MORESO THAN THE ECMWF/CANADIAN. IT WAS THE GFS THAT INITIALLY PROPOSED SEVERAL DAYS IN ADVANCE A STALLING H5 CLOSED LOW SYS ACROSS THE GRT LKS DURING THE LATER HALF OF LAST WEEK INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND. WHILE THE GFS HAS EXHIBITED SHORT-TERM FAILURES...ITS LONG-TERM EVALUATION IS WORTHY OF NOTE. THERE ARE STILL CHALLENGES WITH DIFFERENCES IN THE MASS FIELDS AMONGST MDL SOLNS RESULTING IN VARIATIONS IN SFC FEATURES...BUT AS HPC HAS NOTED...A BLEND OF DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MDL SOLNS PROVIDES A FAVORABLE CONSENSUS OF THE LONG-TERM FCST. IN EVALUATING THE LATEST DETERMINISTIC FCST SUITE...THE 13/0Z GFS HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY IN PROGRESSION OF FEATURES THRU THE WEEK COMPARED TO THE 12/12Z ECMWF/CANADIAN. ALTHO NOTABLE DIFFERENCES... THE GENERAL TREND IS THERE TO WARRANT A CONSENSUS BLEND. ACTUALLY LIKE THE 13/0Z GFS FOR NEXT WEEKEND STALLING THE TROPICAL MOIST FLOW ALONG THE SE SHORELINE. THE PATTERN HASNT CHANGED MUCH THE PAST MONTH...SO WHY NOT EVALUATE MDL SOLNS WITH A LEVEL OF PERSISTENCE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 68 not so humid, feels nice out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 BOX says ride the GFS..no relief in sight No relief from what??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 70/65 at UUU this AM. some relief. not liking speculation of front getting hung up down here next weekend. would like to be able to give the AC a rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 No relief from what??? The storms/humidity..same pattern we've been stuck in for a month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 70/62 sunny windows wide open, letting the fresh summer air in, okx says 86 today for my locale I say 88-89 either way with normals back down to the low 80s its yet another above normal day. Looks damn sticky later this week, and if the the euro is advertising a front getting hung up in sne, I think we know where it will actually be, at least I hope peeps have learned there lesson. Make today the ;best day of your life, do something nice, volunteer your time, hold the door open..............shake a vets hand, make a difference! Top 2 summer day today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Enjoy the crappy weekend that comes with it on your connecticut beach As expected and forecast this prediction was a HUGE failure here. 0.00 inches of rain during daylight hours here, nothing but brilliant blue sunshine all weekend...........sorry:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 AC is off, and windows open for the first time I think since mid July. Awesome , awesome weather! Yes it is! Awesome weekend too, despite forecasts of doom and gloom.......enjoy the day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 The storms/humidity..same pattern we've been stuck in for a month lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Isn't today a bit of relief Kevin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Isn't today a bit of relief Kevin? Well yeah I suppose mid 60's are a relief over the low- mid 70's.. But it's certainly not dry or comfortable in that regard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Well yeah I suppose mid 60's are a relief over the low- mid 70's.. But it's certainly not dry or comfortable in that regard Low 60s, but it feels a hell of a lot better. I do think we'll see some relief next week. The long range is changing a bit. The 570 thickness contour which has been a permanent fixture struggles to get here. So while it may be a little above normal in the 11-15 day, the back is slowly cracking on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 BOX says ride the GFS..no relief in sight FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF PDS OF RELIEF Did you read what you copied and pasted? LOL FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF PDS OF RELIEF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Low 60s, but it feels a hell of a lot better. I do think we'll see some relief next week. The long range is changing a bit. The 570 thickness contour which has been a permanent fixture struggles to get here. So while it may be a little above normal in the 11-15 day, the back is slowly cracking on this. Oh yeah i could see sometime later next week..finally get a couple dry near normal days in here..but the next 7-10 look like what we've been seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Well yeah I suppose mid 60's are a relief over the low- mid 70's.. But it's certainly not dry or comfortable in that regard lol KBDL 131251Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/16 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP148 T02390161 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 lol KBDL 131251Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/16 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP148 T02390161 We always assume the valley readings are a few degrees too low for reasons we've discussed ad nauseum on here. Most home stations currently have 62-66 degree readings which is realistic..given the wet conditions of late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Oh yeah i could see sometime later next week..finally get a couple dry near normal days in here..but the next 7-10 look like what we've been seeing. I'm done with this airmass, it's a waste of a summertime enjoyment. After this week, it looks like we get a well deserved break in some shape or form. Might not be always refreshing, but it will be a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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