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New England Early August Discussion, banter, obs


Baroclinic Zone

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Now with that Euro cold pool entering the US we can talk about possible widespread.severe with a gusto.

This time of year is tough for severe. We've had some really big events for sure but it seems to me that strong cold fropas end of August into September more often than not are meh. They're certainly more meh than similar fropas in June or early July.

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We made it down there in 4 hours and 10 mins leaving at 6:00am. Home took longer cuz we stopped twice. That water slide park was fun but I felt like I was walking on athletes foot everywhere. We did rides 2 nights but only allowed a certain amount of tix . There were 7 kids so we limited it, are the waves always 6-7 feet like that? Everyday they were just monsters

in the pic u posted with ur farmers tan the waves were like 1-3 feet max. i would like to see u in 6-7 foot waves. a 6 foot wave generally breaks in 8 feet of water. due to the wave "feeling the bottom" of the sand slowing down increasing in size ...and a 6 foot wave does that in 8 feet of water. so in water at least 2 feet over head. since there were no nor'easters ragin or hurricane swell it was much smaller....even trade swell from say a bermuda high is maybe 3-4 feet max. sorry just waves are something i'm very fond of :) and people usually over guess there size. not tryin to be harsh not that you would be offended by this post rev

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Yeah after Saturday..severe season is about done

Once the SW monsoon season starts it's probably a bit more challenging to advect good EMLs into the Great Lakes/Northeast. My gut is (haven't seen any studies to this effect) but we're able to advect better elevated mixed layers/steep lapse rates into this area and the northern tier of the US earlier in the season prior to the start of monsoon season.

While it's not impossible to get very steep lapse rates up here this time of year it's much more difficult than it is in June, for instance.

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Once the SW monsoon season starts it's probably a bit more challenging to advect good EMLs into the Great Lakes/Northeast. My gut is (haven't seen any studies to this effect) but we're able to advect better elevated mixed layers/steep lapse rates into this area and the northern tier of the US earlier in the season prior to the start of monsoon season.

While it's not impossible to get very steep lapse rates up here this time of year it's much more difficult than it is in June, for instance.

Today ended up being a dud. Guess there just wasn't much of a trigger other than elevated areas. Thought we might be able to pop a few storms. maybe something pops this evening or overnight or something for some lucky towns

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Today ended up being a dud. Guess there just wasn't much of a trigger other than elevated areas. Thought we might be able to pop a few storms. maybe something pops this evening or overnight or something for some lucky towns

Today never looked great in CT. Saturday is still possible for a few stronger storms if we can get your breaks of sun.

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Today ended up being a dud. Guess there just wasn't much of a trigger other than elevated areas. Thought we might be able to pop a few storms. maybe something pops this evening or overnight or something for some lucky towns

Yeah looked pretty meh all along to me and scooter. You were the one expecting big storms lol.

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This time of year is tough for severe. We've had some really big events for sure but it seems to me that strong cold fropas end of August into September more often than not are meh. They're certainly more meh than similar fropas in June or early July.

Agree with all of the above. Boldface is because the biggest hailer of my experience (only saw the aftermath - it was 5-8 miles from MBY) took place 8/30/07. That day featured damaging winds in noontime storms then the main act about 5 PM. That's about the end of it, though, as I average about 1 TS/yr in Sept-Dec (16/yr total, 12 in JJA) and none the past 2 years.

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what's their record

i heard DC has been above 95 like 25-30 days this year. paradise lol

BDL's record 90+ days is 38 in 1983 followed by 35 in 2002, and 34 in 2010 and 1965. Most 90+ days in 2011 was at Yuma AZ with 181 to go along with their 125 100+ days and 33 110+ days. Imagine living in that climate? I thought Dallas had a hot summer with their 131 90+ days last year then realized that was only good for 24th place on the list of first order climate sites in the U.S.

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