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New England Early August Discussion, banter, obs


Baroclinic Zone

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you come down 395? beep hi at exit 91, about 1 mile south from there.

Yes, I went 395 south drove right by your exit yesterday, Had a 2hr meeting in Old Saybrook, Just under 8 hr ride to and from there, It was awful hard not to get off exit 79 on the way back....lol

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Sat looks OK but Sat afternoon could be dicey rain wise, we have the grand finale players party outside , well in a pavilion Sat afternoon night. That is one crazy lady party.

I'm nervous about Sat. If the ULL occludes far enough west we may be spared the brunt of the rains out here.

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What shifted?

Nothing....LL has a penchant for posting those remarks without ever referring to any actual forecast. I remember you said the south coast could get humid while the rest of SNE would take a lot longer to advect higher dews in here.

KBDR is not verification for most of SNE...thank God it isn't because all my snowfall forecats in the winter would bust too high,.

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I don't see how anything changed. Today was a transition day.

Scott, I have an incredible amount of respect for you, but this has just become a stupid game. Last week Steve was shoving euro ens maps down our throat screaming dry and coc all week, some tried to point out that using 500mb maps might not be the best idea. Powderboy was talking dews of 50s all week, (which might be true up there who knows), there was a lot of anti humidity talk.

To not admit it, or say that it happened is wrong, I am not going to go back and quote all the bs............dews were not supposed to be in the low 70s down here yet, and nobody forecasted it.

Its not hot so who cares, suns out now mid 80s with low 70s dp's are fantastic, but its certainly not COC canadian HP dry kind of weather.

May the dank be with you, now and forever, enjoy the discussion........off to the beach for another perfect day on the sand.

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Scott, I have an incredible amount of respect for you, but this has just become a stupid game. Last week Steve was shoving euro ens maps down our throat screaming dry and coc all week, some tried to point out that using 500mb maps might not be the best idea. Powderboy was talking dews of 50s all week, (which might be true up there who knows), there was a lot of anti humidity talk.

To not admit it, or say that it happened is wrong, I am not going to go back and quote all the bs............dews were not supposed to be in the low 70s down here yet, and nobody forecasted it.

Its not hot so who cares, suns out now mid 80s with low 70s dp's are fantastic, but its certainly not COC canadian HP dry kind of weather.

May the dank be with you, now and forever, enjoy the discussion........off to the beach for another perfect day on the sand.

Well if you are talking about Steve...that's for you guys. But, yesterday it looked like 70 dews were possible as the day went on down your way. So maybe it occurred 4 hrs earlier than models had...I don't see that as a bust. Sure I didn't give a number like everyone has been obsessed with lately, but I honestly think your 70 dew was certainly warranted. I don't see that as a bust...and that's my honest opinion.

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here is 12z MAV MOS yesterday. Looks dead nuts to me.

KBDR GFS MOS GUIDANCE 8/07/2012 1200 UTC

DT /AUG 7/AUG 8 /AUG 9 /AUG 10

HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12

N/X 69 85 70 85 72

TMP 79 80 76 73 71 70 73 78 82 82 79 75 72 71 73 78 82 82 78 74 74

DPT 59 61 64 67 67 67 68 70 70 70 71 71 70 69 69 70 71 71 71 70 69

CLD CL CL FW CL FW SC FW SC BK SC BK CL BK CL CL CL CL SC OV OV OV

WDR 18 18 19 19 19 21 18 14 17 16 18 19 21 28 23 20 20 19 21 21 35

WSP 08 07 06 05 03 03 04 05 07 08 06 04 02 01 03 05 06 06 06 02 02

P06 0 7 11 2 11 7 8 5 24 33 40

P12 13 11 13 27 57

Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

Q12 0 0 0 0 2

T06 0/ 3 4/ 0 4/ 1 4/ 8 27/28 17/ 7 1/ 1 13/ 7 18/22 14/ 2

T12 7/ 7 11/10 33/28 20/ 8 34/22

CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6

VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 6 4 4 7 7 7 7 6 5

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