Mr Torchey Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 COC day for sure. Truck thermo down to 83, cobalt blue skies and low dews, Ginx day no doubt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 SW CT could be in the game on the euro ens mean Closed lows have done some fun things before here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Closed lows have done some fun things before here. And a closed low in August can create more trouble than a closed low in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 COC day for sure. Truck thermo down to 83, cobalt blue skies and low dews, Ginx day no doubt! Just fantastic, Pete repete tomorrow. Heading out to IJD for playoffs, ladies on the brink of elimination for the first time in 3 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Closed lows have done some fun things before here. i like being near the triple pt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 And a closed low in August can create more trouble than a closed low in June. I prefer 502 in Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Looks like we'll get a Cat IV then. Ha, surprising how deep that warmth runs too, all kinds of tropical stuff around. Need a sustained NW wind to chop it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 And a closed low in August can create more trouble than a closed low in June. the above normal sst's are a factor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 It's the bowing segments that you have to look out for..not just the quick spin ups. The euro ensembles put a damper on that here, but might argue Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 76.6F for the high here today. Pretty cloudy, too. Went in the pool for a bit but the air was too cold...lol I'm thinking we get one more pretty hot spell after this weekend's deluge, then, sayonara Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 the above normal sst's are a factor They are a major factor maybe the biggest. We are in Un chartered waters here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Superadiabatic out there today..BDL at 84F with 850's of like 13C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 They are a major factor maybe the biggest. We are in Un chartered waters here No we aren't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Might have a little BDF action near BOS and on north Thursday. Seabreeze at the very least anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 No we aren't. I don't agree with any of your thoughts on SST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 I don't agree with any of your thoughts on SST Because I'm right. Yes it is warm to the south, but lets not get silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 I wonder what the warmest sst temps off new england are, and also in li sound and off the jersey coast. The water on saturday was almost not refreshing. **record** as in warmest they have ever been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Boston harbor is 70. I've seen it in the low 70s in 2010. South of BID is 74. Usually maybe 71-72. I expect coral reefs to form anytime now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 This sounds like some on here have been discussing..return to high humidity and severe * HUMID WEATHER RETURNS WEDNESDAY...LINGERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. * A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THRU SATURDAY. * FAIR WEATHER RETURNS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. DETAILS... WEDNESDAY... A SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE SURFACE /IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT TO THE WEST OF NEW YORK STATE/ WILL BRING A RETURN TO UNCOMFORTABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS /MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR/. THE BEST INSTABILITY REMAINS TO THE NORTH/WEST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. NEVERTHELESS...CAPES ARE PROGGED TO APPROACH 1000 J/KG BUT BULK SHEAR VALUES ARE ONLY AROUND 25 KNOTS...SO EXPECTING GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN AND DIMINISH SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. THURSDAY... A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE HUDSON VALLEY BY 00Z FRI. A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE. SPC HAS NOTED THE CHANCE OF STRONGER AND MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS IN THEIR 3-DAY OUTLOOK. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER. FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL STALL NEAR THE REGION AND EVENTUALLY MOVE NORTHWARD AGAIN AS A WARM FRONT ON FRIDAY. THE PLACEMENT OF THIS FRONT IS STILL IN QUESTION AND WILL DETERMINE THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. THERE MAY BE A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Boston harbor is 70. I've seen it in the low 70s in 2010. South of BID is 74. Usually maybe 71-72. I expect coral reefs to form anytime now. lol, I was just asking a question, I have no idea whats normal up that way, Ihave to imagine the waters of li and li sound are well above normal as well as off the jersey shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Here is the KFS point and click. Amazing. Wednesday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 101. East wind 8 to 10 mph. Wednesday Night A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. East wind 5 to 8 mph. Thursday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. East wind 7 to 11 mph. Thursday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. East wind 5 to 13 mph. Friday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Southeast wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Friday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Southeast wind 7 to 11 mph. Saturday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Saturday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Sunday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 lol, I was just asking a question, I have no idea whats normal up that way, Ihave to imagine the waters of li and li sound are well above normal as well as off the jersey shore? It's definitely above normal. It has been since last year. This winter was so warm. But lets not think for a second that somehow it fuels hurricanes coming up the coast. While it may have a slight impact, the biggest factors for us are....1) initial intensity near HSE. 2) Any strong shear that impacts the storm as it moves near HSE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 i only meant it could increase dewpoints a few degrees the real + anomalies are in nao land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Here is the KFS point and click. Amazing. Wednesday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 101. East wind 8 to 10 mph. Wednesday Night A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. East wind 5 to 8 mph. Thursday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. East wind 7 to 11 mph. Thursday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. East wind 5 to 13 mph. Friday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Southeast wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Friday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Southeast wind 7 to 11 mph. Saturday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Saturday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Sunday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Will it or will not be humid Wednesday-Sunday? That is what you have your panties bunched oiver. Most of us are thinking it's humid and are you saying it will be refreshing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 It's definitely above normal. It has been since last year. This winter was so warm. But lets not think for a second that somehow it fuels hurricanes coming up the coast. While it may have a slight impact, the biggest factors for us are....1) initial intensity near HSE. 2) Any strong shear that impacts the storm as it moves near HSE. it has to phase perfectly with a trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 It's definitely above normal. It has been since last year. This winter was so warm. But lets not think for a second that somehow it fuels hurricanes coming up the coast. While it may have a slight impact, the biggest factors for us are....1) initial intensity near HSE. 2) Any strong shear that impacts the storm as it moves near HSE. Thats not why I was asking, sst's are not that big of a factor up this way, they are usually moving so quickly anyways. Its all about the trough axis........ssts are always way over used as a reason why cyclones develop and intensity, use last year as a good example. ITs about the upper levels most of the time, and as you said shear. I was just curous as to what historical temps were, I will dig around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Air finally drying out down here...feels nice. Good to have this kind of air in place for a while. Last few days were a bit much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Air finally drying out down here...feels nice. Good to have this kind of air in place for a while. Last few days were a bit much. Wow--it took all day? Topped out here at 74.2, currently 72/56. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Thats not why I was asking, sst's are not that big of a factor up this way, they are usually moving so quickly anyways. Its all about the trough axis........ssts are always way over used as a reason why cyclones develop and intensity, use last year as a good example. ITs about the upper levels most of the time, and as you said shear. I was just curous as to what historical temps were, I will dig around. That info is not the easiest to find. I wasn't directing that at you, but I think Kevin was implying that it could aid in surviving hurricanes. Like you and Forky said..it's all about the upper levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 I'm up in the Poconos, 73/55 right now. Beautiful afternoon, forecast low of 54F tonight at 1500' elevation. Can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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