Baroclinic Zone Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Looks like we open the month with some at or above normal heat and humidity. Latest 12z Euro brings the heat next week. I think by the time we round out the first 2 weeks, the major climo stations will be +1.5 or above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Looks like we open the month with some at or above normal heat and humidity. Latest 12z Euro brings the heat next week. I think by the time we round out the first 2 weeks, the major climo stations will be +1.5 or above. Yeah we will be solidly above normal up here. Looking at the forecast, this may be this area's warmest period relative to average of the summer when you combine highs and lows. We were always getting the warm days in June/July but were saved with cool overnight temps in the 43-53F range, but now with humidity we are struggling to get to the 50s with most forecast lows the next 7 days at 60+. Average at this location is listed as 80/55 today, so if we are doing a 80-85F high and 60-65F low, that's a solid above normal pattern of +3 to +5F each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 1st half of Aug will be warm no doubt. That's been in the cards. I do think the second half will cool off. Doesn't mean below normal everyday, but relative to 1st half.....it will probably be cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 I do think the second half will cool off. Doesn't mean below normal everyday, but relative to 1st half.....it will probably be cooler. This is not a bold prediction. I usually dislike late August because there is often that first soul-deadening chilly snap. 2009 had a particularly brutal one with a high that didn't get out of the upper 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 This is not a bold prediction. I usually dislike late August because there is often that first soul-deadening chilly snap. 2009 had a particularly brutal one with a high that didn't get out of the upper 50's. I meant cooler and not just because of climo..lol. The overall pattern I think features more troughing in the east, but we are over two weeks out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 This is not a bold prediction. I usually dislike late August because there is often that first soul-deadening chilly snap. 2009 had a particularly brutal one with a high that didn't get out of the upper 50's. http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KCON/2007/8/22/DailyHistory.htmlThat was a nice cool night. If you're afraid of early cold don't look at 8/31/65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Starting off at a 62 here.... A pretty muggy 68 at KALB so it's good to be out in the hills in these dog days type patterns. Looking at KALB Climo, the normal min/max continues to plateau at 61/82 through the 9th. It finally starts the slow slip down on 8/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Looks like we'll dry out and slightly cool next week, but still rather warm. My guess is that +2 is too high again LL...but no bets this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 74/70 Very humid this morning, as the smell of the marsh is thick in the August air............the dog days are here, that makes me happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Looks like we'll dry out and slightly cool next week, but still rather warm. My guess is that +2 is too high again LL...but no bets this time. lol Perhaps in the doom and gloom capital of new england, orh bdl and bdr will have no problem reaching that number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 1, 2012 Author Share Posted August 1, 2012 lol Perhaps in the doom and gloom capital of new england, orh bdl and bdr will have no problem reaching that number. July numbers PVD +1.8 BOS +1.9 BDL +2.6 ORH +3.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Man next week looks brutal on the Euro as it sends the pig ridge east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 First shark attack in Mass since 1936. Warm waters plus seals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Man next week looks brutal on the Euro as it sends the pig ridge east Luckily ensembles aren't bad, and the op cooled off from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 lol Perhaps in the doom and gloom capital of new england, orh bdl and bdr will have no problem reaching that number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Then in October-December while orh and bdl cool and see there first dendrites bos will bake, thanks to the well above normal sst's the worst of both worlds:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 1, 2012 Author Share Posted August 1, 2012 It's the new norm. We are re-writing history every month now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 First shark attack in Mass since 1936. Warm waters plus seals liink? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 1, 2012 Author Share Posted August 1, 2012 liink? http://www.capecodonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20120801/NEWS/208010312 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Luckily ensembles aren't bad, and the op cooled off from 12z. I think it may be correct. No reason why it should cool next week hemisphericaly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 It's the new norm. We are re-writing history every month now. It will change probably in the Fall at some point, and then maybe a winter month or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 It will change probably in the Fall at some point, and then maybe a winter month or two. September might be the warmest month compared to average for the entire year, really liking a possible nw flow regime, and the well above normal ssts, combined with an historic drought to our west and the ridge breaking off and sliding east at times. Friends For FIre FFGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 September might be the warmest month compared to average for the entire year, really liking a possible nw flow regime, and the well above normal ssts, combined with an historic drought to our west and the ridge breaking off and sliding east at times. Friends For FIre FFGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 September might be the warmest month compared to average for the entire year, really liking a possible nw flow regime, and the well above normal ssts, combined with an historic drought to our west and the ridge breaking off and sliding east at times. Friends For FIre FFGW I think the opposite. We'll slowly see the drought weaken late August and September (climo), SST's won't have that great an impact even though everyone always says that, and Nino usually means we see a little more troughing in the east. I'm 50/50 in seeing above normal, but I think I'd lean warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 I think the opposite. We'll slowly see the drought weaken late August and September (climo), SST's won't have that great an impact even though everyone always says that, and Nino usually means we see a little more troughing in the east. I'm 50/50 in seeing above normal, but I think I'd lean warm. ssts will have an impact on nighttime temps.....and also on any easterly component wind days. I think I can change my sig to 18 months in a row?? How many in a row, does it ever end? warmanistasarepeopletoo.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Chances of a strong cane coming up the coast are high this year. Get that trough to setup in the Midwest with ever present Bermuda High and blocking. Nowhere to go but due north into our BY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Luckily ensembles aren't bad, and the op cooled off from 12z. Ens are really nice. I'm trying to find where the longwave ridge axis moves our way and I can't see it. Looks like alternating shots of warm/hot to cool downs near normal for the next week and then a more sustained stretch of cooler weather for week 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 ssts will have an impact on nighttime temps.....and also on any easterly component wind days. I think I can change my sig to 18 months in a row?? How many in a row, does it ever end? warmanistasarepeopletoo.com Eh, I think people overrate SSTs to be honest. We always hear about that. Everyone said that after summer 2010, and I had one of the best winters ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Have a great day folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Chances of a strong cane coming up the coast are high this year. Get that trough to setup in the Midwest with ever present Bermuda High and blocking. Nowhere to go but due north into our BY SnowNH's twin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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