CT Rain Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Or CT_Downslope Downslopes from almost every direction other than S and SE. Rough for a snow lover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 great idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 CT_Fail would be more appropriate. lol CT Pingers could work or S of R/S line Kev i like Ct blizz for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Is this a banter thread now? Severe threat looks rather low today, although an isolated storm or two could be strong to severe in western CT, in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Zero instability out there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Zero instability out there right now. Pretty much equals zero storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Pretty much equals zero storms They'll be some the perk up in ern NY state and probably into VT, but really meh for noon in August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 They'll be some the perk up in ern NY state and probably into VT, but really meh for noon in August. 30% chance this evening here, But not counting on any, Have the 20th annual Balloon Festival going on and would really like to see them go up tonight, Had several this am and some of the larger specialty ones will go tonight weather permitting............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Areas like wrn New England and even into SRN NH should pop some storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Areas like wrn New England and even into SRN NH should pop some storms. What time do you think we'll pop those storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 What time do you think we'll pop those storms? Western dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 What time do you think we'll pop those storms? Probably after 4-5 out there. For some reasons the meso models are a little more bullish...I don't know if I believe it quite yet., but I could see especially to your NW getting a round of storms moving in as temps aloft cool off. They may make it into your area very late today or early evening. I don't see big severe, but maybe a few are strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 A decent line of storms is forming along the front from north-central PA into central NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Western dude I am west central SNE..Not sure where the confusions comes from on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I am west central SNE..Not sure where the confusions comes from on Sounds like you live in an awful spot for this winter and late blooming miller bs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Sounds like you live in an awful spot for this winter and late blooming miller bs Up here we consider that south of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Tomorrow looks like the front moves thru early..there's leftover showers in the morning and we may even see brightening in the afternoon..esp down your way Euro agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Sounds like you live in an awful spot for this winter and late blooming miller bs I don't know about you..but if I lived in the CT valley ..I wouldn't ever expect snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Those storms seem to be intensifying as they move east..Looks like 2 hours to CT border..and then we'll see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I don't know about you..but if I lived in the CT valley ..I wouldn't ever expect snow I think Ryan got more snow than you in the October storm. Probably like 14-15" vs 12" there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I think Ryan got more snow than you in the October storm. Probably like 14-15" vs 12" there. Yup..I mean BDL had 20..so he probably had 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 HRRR run was doing pretty good last I checked with the band of heavy showers just west of the Catskills. It has precip hitting my area around 6:00-7:00 but like Scott said the instability isn't really there. If things stay organized I wouldn't be surprised to hear a rumble or two. SREF has eastern MA in like the 30% prob range but I didn't check the model run. Lapse rates look decent in central MA though so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Nice CU going up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 some of the 12z meso models bring through quite a slug of showers/storms tonight...especially CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 some of the 12z meso models bring through quite a slug of showers/storms tonight...especially CT Yeah Scooter pie was discoeing that earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Zero instability out there right now. Satellite's been interesting with milk haze, while no other cloud obstruction overhead. There are some poppers now though over western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I think Ryan got more snow than you in the October storm. Probably like 14-15" vs 12" there. Hard to believe his 1000 ft advantage during October wasn't enough to break the 12" mark. Must be depressing to live up there with down sloping and mesoscale subsidence as deformation snows rip the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Looks like a nice line really congealing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Earlier HRRR runs were on crack. I'm glad I didn't believe it when I wrote my TAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Hard to believe his 1000 ft advantage during October wasn't enough to break the 12" mark. Must be depressing to live up there with down sloping and mesoscale subsidence as deformation snows rip the valley. Same elevation, same latitude and i got almost double haha. I'd bet our "storms" tonight will breezes with a couple rumbles at most. Lacking anything to get em going around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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