CT Rain Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I am interested to see the 12z OKX sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I could see 30% wind probs if it becomes more clear there will be an area of stronger instability and where this area of stronger instability will be. Maybe 5% TOR probs too? SPC was already discussing possibility of upgrading us from slight risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Tornado threat will be low today down here... Best LLJ holds off until later today (nearly 00z) and the best instability will be right before storms arrive 15z-18z. A little disjointed. Watch for any boundaries that back low level flow to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 SPC was already discussing possibility of upgrading us from slight risk No, upgrading probs to high end slight...not upgrade to moderate...this isn't a setup which warrants a mod risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I am interested to see the 12z OKX sounding Same here. Can you post it here when it's out? I'm at work and it will be easier for me to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Same here. Can you post it here when it's out? I'm at work and it will be easier for me to see it You wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 You wish Problem with that is we wouldn't heat up enough to break the cap today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I'm sort of torn on today's threat. Some things look pretty good while others looks meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I'm sort of torn on today's threat. Some things look pretty good while others looks meh. It's just one of those where you have to watch just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I'm sort of torn on today's threat. Some things look pretty good while others looks meh. I feel like it will be heavy rain with embedded cells...maybe a few get robust...one of those deals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I feel like it will be heavy rain with embedded cells...maybe a few get robust...one of those deals. Yeah agreed. I feel like some areas could actually get hit pretty hard. dew is 75 in HVN... that's yielding some pretty impressive (for this setup) instability in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Problem with that is we wouldn't heat up enough to break the cap today lol Cloudy here in SECT 76/71 good luck in the far interior. No drought worries for anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Cloudy here in SECT 76/71 good luck in the far interior. No drought worries for anyone. lol yeah. Only Kevin was really worried about drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Yeah agreed. I feel like some areas could actually get hit pretty hard. dew is 75 in HVN... that's yielding some pretty impressive (for this setup) instability in some areas. Yeah dews are really high. Maybe a few wet micros later as wind increase. Book end vortices over Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 OKX had -6 LI. WAL is pretty nice looking. SW at H5 at almost 50kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 That OKX sounding is pretty nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Even the hodograph on the 12z OKX sounding looks decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Tor near Moosup today ?Seems possibe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Tor near Moosup today ?Seems possibe Blurry cell phone pics of damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Tor near Moosup today ?Seems possibe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Blurry cell phone pics of damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Warm front ended up near Canadian border..not south of SNE..what a bust by the models from earlier in the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Blurry cell phone pics of damage? Has Dorchester had any thing besides smog alerts in the last 18 months? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Has Dorchester had any thing besides smog alerts in the last 18 months? Yes, and I missed all severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Warm front ended up near Canadian border..not south of SNE..what a bust by the models from earlier in the week Actually winds will turn more east tonight ahead of an almost secondary warm front, but I think the trough in the Midwest dug so seeply that it forced the primary well west. So Maine will end up getting some of the weather that was possible here, 3-4 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Winds are kind of backed across CT wit decent ML CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Actually winds will turn more east tonight ahead of an almost secondary warm front, but I think the trough in the Midwest dug so seeply that it forced the primary well west. So Maine will end up getting some of the weather that was possible here, 3-4 days ago. Well that is kind of what we were saying earlier this week. Everything ends up north of progs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 What are we looking at for timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Actually winds will turn more east tonight ahead of an almost secondary warm front, but I think the trough in the Midwest dug so seeply that it forced the primary well west. So Maine will end up getting some of the weather that was possible here, 3-4 days ago. yeah that feature should be the trigger for some good rains overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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