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New England Severe weather thread number ...I think XI ?


OSUmetstud

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That's not true this time of year. It may mean times like tomorrow or into Saturday where fronts stall and waves try to move up the coast. Next week is one of them. So while it may be humid at times, temps for the most part won't be ridiculous.

To me that is deceptive then..onshore flow still gives temps in the 80's and dews in the 70's with chances of severe..

Onshore flow really should be relegated to east and NE winds..keeping it cool

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To me that is deceptive then..onshore flow still gives temps in the 80's and dews in the 70's with chances of severe..

Onshore flow really should be relegated to east and NE winds..keeping it cool

Not necessarily.....at least in these parts. I don't mean south winds. Anyways, this is a dumb convo.

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A slight north trend for the low over the Lakes on Saturday is resulting in a clockwise shift in the wind fields and a decrease in moisture. I'd like to see that continue... if so we might actually be able to destabilize. Surface winds are still weak and mid-levels mainly unidirectional, but a strongly forced line may be in play here.

-Edit, or at least training storms forming into an apparent linear segment, despite little longitudinal motion

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No big heat dome either. Aside from maybe a few days of upper 80s to near 90...I don't see big heat at all. Again, looks like rain chances over the east as the trough remains with times of swampy air...but also maybe onshore flow like we've seen. August pretty much going as planned.

yea the op euro seemed like an outlier to the ensembles by days 8-10 (end of next work week) in terms of how cut off that system is in the northeast, but the general theme of the ensembles keeps a weakness there...still, next week by and large looks solidly above normal for the northeast. The mean trough is well supported by MJO phase 1 to be situated across the northern plains through that time period.

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yea the op euro seemed like an outlier to the ensembles by days 8-10 (end of next work week) in terms of how cut off that system is in the northeast, but the general theme of the ensembles keeps a weakness there...still, next week by and large looks solidly above normal for the northeast. The mean trough is well supported by MJO phase 1 to be situated across the northern plains through that time period.

Sounds like pretty much non sop humidity perpetuated by a fropa or 2

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You can tell today may get active with the CU..There's no cap either..They look like rain towers

It's still pretty dry aloft. I think better storms pop in NW NJ into ern NY/Berks and into srn NH. Maybe down into NRN CT, but probably because they happen to meander there.

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