Mad River Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 If anyone says the word "lock" one more time, they should be banned. LOCKS don't happen this far out. Please calm yourselves down. Really. You're just afraid they'll jinx it! (me too) And the board comes alive. I have missed winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Yeah there are still some runs to go. GFS ensembles are a about 60-70 miles east of the BM. I think I'll still take that right now...that's not really that extreme, especially given how it's still 12z Thursday...seems like even the ensembles have overall been shifting westward...weren't the ensembles over 100 mi east of the BM at one point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Yea 60mm or 2.36 QPF would be a weenie chucked to the moon, nice runs so far today, hoping for the best, you guys do realize that the GFS has sustained 35 plus with 925 winds over 60 on the coast, that is the big boy depicted. Astronomical high tides FTW?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 No i didn't bail. In fact if you recall. i said 12z runs today would determine the final outcome. You though..bailed after the 18z GFS yesterday No I didn't!!! I said before the 00z GFS SNE would see warning criteria.. I was saying that all day yesterday. I thought you voted no in that poll (that the euro wouldn't eat crow). Did you mean to vote yes? Whatever though, I think we agree. I love your optimism - definitely better than all the naysaying over each and every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Feet of snow are locked ..LOCKED Hope it hols there for you. Start the snowpack on Mt. Tolland. There was talk the other day about a pice of engery in the Ca. area that had to be injested in the 12z runs today. I wonder if that made the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I just wish we'd had that gtg this weekend. What a fookin' party that'd have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 After this debacle you've just had..think they'd better remove your pro forecaster tag and give it to me you are out of control right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Who cares who bailed and who didn't bail...it really doesn't matter. Everyone is acting like this storm is occurring tonight and has a 100% chance of verifying, the recent trends have been nice but nothing is really close to being set in stone, still some work needs to be done. It's becoming a bit more likely that at lest E SNE will see some sort of impact but we still need to see some more run to run and model to model consistency here. This is still 4 days out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I need to remember it's Thursday, not Sat morning. But still, how long have many like me been waiting for a true Nor Easter? 2 years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Who cares who bailed and who didn't bail...it really doesn't matter. Everyone is acting like this storm is occurring tonight and has a 100% chance of verifying, the recent trends have been nice but nothing is really close to being set in stone, still some work needs to be done. It's becoming a bit more likely that at lest E SNE will see some sort of impact but we still need to see some more run to run and model to model consistency here. This is still 4 days out here. LOL..who are you trying to impress? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Who cares who bailed and who didn't bail...it really doesn't matter. Everyone is acting like this storm is occurring tonight and has a 100% chance of verifying, the recent trends have been nice but nothing is really close to being set in stone, still some work needs to be done. It's becoming a bit more likely that at lest E SNE will see some sort of impact but we still need to see some more run to run and model to model consistency here. This is still 4 days out here. I think I am back to be more worried about it raining than a whiff. It could still whiff of course.. but the Euro is pretty close to mixing me. So is the 12z GGEM. GFS is typical SE bias at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 LOL, c'mon guys.Footlong weenies getting shoved into fannies right now. Lets gets this solution for another 24 hrs at least. It does look good for snow, but the details are yet to be determined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I've got my entire office in a frenzy/panic. Spreading the weenieness on facebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 After this debacle you've just had..think they'd better remove your pro forecaster tag and give it to me I'm sure they're discussing the matter right now We'll see what the 12z Euro does. The 12z guidance is very encouraging. If the euro stays steady, then I'll have some decent confidence in warning criteria out to ORH-CON. Otherwise, I've been an unwavering advocate of a big SE MA hit for a while. The only question is the western extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The weenies on the bus go round and round round and round round and round..the weenies on the bus go round and round all thru the town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I'm sure they're discussing the matter right now We'll see what the 12z Euro does. The 12z guidance is very encouraging. If the euro stays steady, then I'll have some decent confidence in warning criteria out to ORH-CON. Otherwise, I've been an unwavering advocate of a big SE MA hit for a while. The only question is the western extent. The ggem and ukie both are west.. that's often a sign of what the euro will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 LOL, c'mon guys.Footlong weenies getting shoved into fannies right now. Lets gets this solution for another 24 hrs at least. It does look good for snow, but the details are yet to be determined. Let us high five total strangers for just one more hour. Then, the Doc will come in and give us his diagnosis of terminal cancer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I've got my entire office in a frenzy/panic. Spreading the weenieness on facebook. LOL me too... Of course the questions fly..." how much and when".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 LOL..who are you trying to impress? who are the people back patting trying to impress? Anyways just realized this may impact more on Monday than it will Sunday...beginning sometime late Sunday afternoon or perhaps during the late evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I'm sure they're discussing the matter right now We'll see what the 12z Euro does. The 12z guidance is very encouraging. If the euro stays steady, then I'll have some decent confidence in warning criteria out to ORH-CON. Otherwise, I've been an unwavering advocate of a big SE MA hit for a while. The only question is the western extent. well the GEM brings plenty of precipitation to all of new england, in fact it clears 4 inches straight back as far west as ottawa. of course, we know the final solutions are yet TBD and most likely the highest impacts will be near the coast but IMO all of new england stands a good chance of seeing accumulating snow out of this if a closed low can get into that position and slow.....my rudimentary assessment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 When does the EURO come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Blizzard You left, Now it gon snow.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 When does the EURO come out? 1pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Just goes to show why you should never give up on a threat when far from the correct solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 LOL me too... Of course the questions fly..." how much and when".. One guy banged in sick on Monday already. My controller is doing his payroll a day early. Sorry last OT post from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mad River Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 When does the EURO come out? In another hour or so. At that point people will either hang themselves or be euphoric. Fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Here is the animated GEM with Ptype: http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 You left, Now it gon snow.....lol Told you.. But, looks like Its more down here. How Ironic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Here is the animated GEM with Ptype: http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html That would paralyze the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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