dryslot Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Man, what I would do to verify the 18z DGEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Man, what I would do to verify the 18z DGEX. I really don't even want to know what some of the worst weenie sickos would do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2010 Author Share Posted December 15, 2010 That's why I chose you to be the post leader in that OT thread. Scooter has surprised me. He's really weenied out They'll be some blowing by me over the next few days, as I'm working dayshift. I definitely earned a few weenies chucked in my direction..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Snow is on the way for most....I'm feeling this one. I feel there is still a chance this morphs into a fun one for just about everyone. But, I feel that way about a lot of them.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 OT, 14.4F, I think we will hit single digits tonight if the winds drop off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Man, what I would do to verify the 18z DGEX. Total opposite of last winter's fortunes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 They'll be some blowing by me over the next few days, as I'm working dayshift. I definitely earned a few weenies chucked in my direction..lol. Really could have had a field day with this one but,,,, it's Christmas time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 This storm has taken over the last 4 days of my life, and the GFS certainly isn't helping matters. I will give it two more runs to get it's act together. Taunton is pretty optimistic though. Anyone know if the block has any signs of breaking down? Seems that is a big player in altering our storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 They'll be some blowing by me over the next few days, as I'm working dayshift. I definitely earned a few weenies chucked in my direction..lol. Good ol wiz leading the way, You can bump those post up in the sports forums, But i don't get in there often i frequent like 3 other boards....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 This storm has taken over the last 4 days of my life, and the GFS certainly isn't helping matters. I will give it two more runs to get it's act together. Taunton is pretty optimistic though. Anyone know if the block has any signs of breaking down? Seems that is a big player in altering our storms. Yeah it looks like the block weakens and dies, and then perhaps we may see more gradient developing, but that's down the road a piece. I don't see it looking horrible for us, as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Total opposite of last winter's fortunes GYX went pretty gun ho for sun-mon, But they based it off the 12z gfs pretty heavy......... THINGS GET INTERESTING SATURDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE CAROLINAS AND HEADS NORTHEAST. LATEST GFS HAS BEEN TRENDING FARTHER WEST WITH THIS STORM AND NOW BRINGS IT NORTHEAST OFF THE COAST OF CAPE COD ON SUNDAY BEFORE STALLING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. BOTTOM LINE IS A CHANCE FOR THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE YEAR FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. STILL A LONG WAYS OUT AND A LOT CAN HAPPEN BETWEEN NOW AND THEN. WOULD LIKE TO SEE SOME AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS BEFORE GETTING TOO CARRIED AWAY. 00Z ECMWF WAS STILL A LONG WAYS OFFSHORE SO WOULD HAVE MORE CONFIDENCE IN SNOW IF THIS FOLLOWS THE TREND OF THE GFS. AS HAS BEEN THE TRADITION THIS SEASON UPPER TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW CLOSES OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS INTO THE GULF OF MAINE AND MEANDERS THROUGH MIDWEEK KEEPING CONDITIONS UNSETTLED AT BEST WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 GYX went pretty gun ho for sun-mon, But they based it off the 12z gfs pretty heavy......... THINGS GET INTERESTING SATURDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE CAROLINAS AND HEADS NORTHEAST. LATEST GFS HAS BEEN TRENDING FARTHER WEST WITH THIS STORM AND NOW BRINGS IT NORTHEAST OFF THE COAST OF CAPE COD ON SUNDAY BEFORE STALLING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. BOTTOM LINE IS A CHANCE FOR THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE YEAR FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE. STILL A LONG WAYS OUT AND A LOT CAN HAPPEN BETWEEN NOW AND THEN. WOULD LIKE TO SEE SOME AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS BEFORE GETTING TOO CARRIED AWAY. 00Z ECMWF WAS STILL A LONG WAYS OFFSHORE SO WOULD HAVE MORE CONFIDENCE IN SNOW IF THIS FOLLOWS THE TREND OF THE GFS. AS HAS BEEN THE TRADITION THIS SEASON UPPER TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW CLOSES OFF OVER THE NORTHEAST AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS INTO THE GULF OF MAINE AND MEANDERS THROUGH MIDWEEK KEEPING CONDITIONS UNSETTLED AT BEST WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. && Dayshift are snow weenies. Night shift is comprised of total Grinches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Dayshift are snow weenies. Night shift is comprised of total Grinches. I take them with a grain of salt, I see what they see and know better for the most part.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Not a huge fan of GYX for the most part. There are a few major weenies there when it comes to snow totals, and also extreme temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 okx.. Long term /Saturday night through Tuesday/... there are two camps in the extended...the La-Nina/fast Pacific flow dominated ECMWF/UKMET...and the negative nao dominated GFS/CMC/gefs mean. Noting that the negative nao has been a dominate player so far...and there is no clear signal that it will abate...have used the gefs mean as the basis for the extended forecast...as it is not the extreme of either the operational GFS or CMC global. This also fits in with the idea that when you are in an aclimatological pattern...as we are...that you go with the aclimatological solution - which the GFS/CMC/gefs mean are for a La Nina pattern. Ultimately either one of the two solutions will play out...there is no middle ground...as if the nao yields...then the fast Pacific flow will win out...with a flatter less amplified solution bearing out. However...this is not the most likely solution at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I take them with a grain of salt, I see what they see and know better for the most part.......... Guaranteeed the snow chances for the GYX peeps here go down overnight for the weekend if the status remains quo.. Book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 We're going offline in a couple minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 <br /><br />Snow is on the way for most....I'm feeling this one.<br /> <br /><br /><br />This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 We're going offline in a couple minutes. ..... but understandable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 ..... but understandable. No models coming out, its fine Imagine if they did that during an 18z weenie run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 ..... but understandable. Shouldnt take long. We'll be back up in a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Shouldnt take long. We'll be back up in a few minutes. it's cool. better now than 1PM. thanks for keeping us in the loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 it's cool. better now than 1PM. thanks for keeping us in the loop. And we are back.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 late hook for a scrape? This is how we would get a storm without help from the CA s/w Guess whose back guess whose back rum dadada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Guess whose back guess whose back rum dadada. Just in time for the nam, Perfect timing.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 21z SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 s/w in the SW coming in stronger on 00z NAM compared to 18z thru 18h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Nam has a very strong southern s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patfan1987 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Nam has a very strong southern s/w And from what I have been reading this is a good sign correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 And from what I have been reading this is a good sign correct? Yes, that is what I have gleaned from lurking today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.