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12/19-12/20 threat


CoastalWx

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I only got 9" in that one :(

Will can agree to this since 2/2006 the CT River valley has been screwed relative to normal worse than anyone in SNE.

Yes. But lets face it, since January of 09 we've been screwed. At least you pulled some decent snow in Dec 09 right? I did too but not about 1/3 as much as areas getting jackpotted. It's been frustrating and I want it to end.

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Man that southern stream gets put into a meat grinder...it looks very Euro-esque by 72 hours....another thing I noted...that rockies s/w seems to be coming in later than the 12z run...I'll have to check and see if the Euro was doing that too. If that comes in later, it would also favor an eastern solution.

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I agree.. I don't think this is related to SW bias.. it's data assimilation. 4DVAR should win.

There is still room/time for the euro to trend though.. but it's becoming less and less likely especially away from the immediate coast

ECM is going to win. Looks like the GFS crap initialization just picked up on the fact that there is actually no southern shortwave...OOPS!

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Man that southern stream gets put into a meat grinder...it looks very Euro-esque by 72 hours....another thing I noted...that rockies s/w seems to be coming in later than the 12z run...I'll have to check and see if the Euro was doing that too. If that comes in later, it would also favor an eastern solution.

Yes the gfs has been trending slower with the rockies s/w since yesterday.. which is what the euro has been showing.

CA s/w trending faster = more distance between the two

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