SACRUS Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Today's highs: TEB: 86 NYC: 82 EWR: 86 LGA: 79 JFK: 83 ISP: 80 NBNSWK: 89 TTN: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 JFK and LGA only received about .50" of rain. While areas in the middle of them received over 4". Crazy weather today. Picked up just over an inch here just west of jfk with much more just to my nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Just a picture perfect day today. Its nice to see full sunshine 12PM ROundup TEB: 81 NYC: 80 EWR: 82 LGA: 80 JFK: 82 ISP: 80 NBNSWK: 82 TTN: 80 BLM: 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 whats the long range look like, heard some chatter on my local weather station that perhaps the pattern is looking good for some heat to return the last week in August into early September Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Today's highs; TEB: 87 NYC: 85 EWR: 88 LGA: 86 JFK: 88 ISP: 84 NBNSWK: 87 TTN: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Departures thru 8/16: EWR: +2.8 NYC: +2.2 TTN: +2.0 LGA: +3.1 JFK: +2.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I think tomorrow will be the last 90F opportunity for the rest of August in the Northeast. Next week looks near normal (avg highs now low to mid 80s) with potentially another shot of cooling in the NWLY flow aloft for late August. Much like July, the last 10 days of August should bring down the monthly departure, but it'll still finish above normal for August. September has the highest correlation w/ the AMO of any month in our area, so there is a fairly high probability of the warmer than normal pattern continuing. The blocking pattern should persist into at least early September, but that does not mean a change to cool. Often times the late summer -NAO yields a positive height field from the north atlantic SW to the East Coast, connecting w/ the SE ridge. My thinking is we'll see the mean trough position in the Great Lakes or Upper MW for September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 whats the long range look like, heard some chatter on my local weather station that perhaps the pattern is looking good for some heat to return the last week in August into early September Not sure about sustained 'heat' yet but after the cool down 8/19 - 8/23, we should see above normal temps return by the 25th. I wouldnt doubt another heat spike within the last week of the month. Guidance does show the heat building back east into the plains and Mid west by the middle of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I think tomorrow will be the last 90F opportunity for the rest of August in the Northeast. Next week looks near normal (avg highs now low to mid 80s) with potentially another shot of cooling in the NWLY flow aloft for late August. Much like July, the last 10 days of August should bring down the monthly departure, but it'll still finish above normal for August. September has the highest correlation w/ the AMO of any month in our area, so there is a fairly high probability of the warmer than normal pattern continuing. The blocking pattern should persist into at least early September, but that does not mean a change to cool. Often times the late summer -NAO yields a positive height field from the north atlantic SW to the East Coast, connecting w/ the SE ridge. My thinking is we'll see the mean trough position in the Great Lakes or Upper MW for September. Im not sure about the 25th to 31st period, I wouldnt doubt another heat spike in that timeframe. Not sure yet but you can see guidance hinting at heights rising and some heat building back from the Rockies/Plains into the MW next week. More flat flow with elevated heights may usher some of that east to close August. I still think we see above normal precip. 8/19 - 8/23 should drop most sites to within the +1 to +1.5 range for the month then the last 7 days may build positives back toards +2 range for most sites. It'll be interesting to track. Today was just perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 59.8* here.. Feels great!! Bring on fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 What's up with the nam.?..quite wet now late Saturday into Sunday despite forecasts of drier comfortable conditions by Saturday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 81 at LGA while almost everyone else is in the 60s... Oh LGA you're too funny lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 The Euro has that more than the GFS. The GFS doesn't allow heat to build in and keeps the NE cool. We are in the middle. We could see some above normal, but maybe not 90. My favorite part is that heat iis rarely sustained by the end of August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 81 at LGA while almost everyone else is in the 60s... Oh LGA you're too funny lol. 76 F @ LGA @ 4:00 AM....Westhampton reports 58 F @ the same time...temp has a hard time going down after dark in northern Queens for as long as I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 76 F @ LGA @ 4:00 AM....Westhampton reports 58 F @ the same time...temp has a hard time going down after dark in northern Queens for as long as I can remember. The problem is I was 75 when LGA recorded that 81...no 60s obviously but I am in fact only 3 miles due east of the airport. The part of Queens west of the airport was probably much closer to that a LGA reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 we could be dealing with some clouds between 1 and 2. Before then it will be close if temps can reach 90. We'll have to see how high we get by noon. still think tomorrow the brunt of the rains and storms are done by early afternoon with just lingering clouds. Not the bext day but not a wash out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Was in the low 60's this morning, felt pretty chilly. Up to 85 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 12z euro and GGEM both like the Monday into Tuesday timeframe for a developing coastal off the Delmarva and then off our coast. GFS is much less enthused with the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 88 for a high here today but again humidity made it feel much warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 12z euro and GGEM both like the Monday into Tuesday timeframe for a developing coastal off the Delmarva and then off our coast. GFS is much less enthused with the idea. Good to see coastals developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 88 for a high here today but again humidity made it feel much warmer Got to 92 here. Could be the last 90s for quite a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Good to see coastals developing. They are very rare May through September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Evening storms once again dissipated to my west and reformed to my east. It seems my area has been screwed with almost every storm event this month; this actually reflects in the month to date precip as the area near far NE NJ and extreme SE NY has one of the lowest rain totals in the tri-state area. After the current event there doesn't seem to be anything widespread upcoming this week depending on what happens on Monday with the potential coastal low the CMC is likely exaggerating. It's no drought and certainly not a "bust" given that it's happening on a very localized scale, but for once it'd be nice to see some decent rainfall around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Evening storms once again dissipated to my west and reformed to my east. It seems my area has been screwed with almost every storm event this month; this actually reflects in the month to date precip as the area near far NE NJ and extreme SE NY has one of the lowest rain totals in the tri-state area. After the current event there doesn't seem to be anything widespread upcoming this week depending on what happens on Monday with the potential coastal low the CMC is likely exaggerating. It's no drought and certainly not a "bust" given that it's happening on a very localized scale, but for once it'd be nice to see some decent rainfall around here. Fwiw...at my station anyway the maps on the low side... 3.50 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Fwiw...at my station anyway the maps on the low side... 3.50 here. The map does seem to be on the low side occasionally from what I've noticed. Considering that I've been missed by most storm outbreaks this month, it's a bit closer to reality for my area though. I don't have my own rainfall measurements, although local stations on Wunderground have monthly totals between 1.25" and 1.5". The total sharply increases just to the west in areas that received much more rain on 8/10 and 8/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Today's highs TEB: 94 NYC: 88 EWR: 91 LGA: 92 JFK: 85 ISP: 84 NBNSWK: 89 TTN: 87 PHL:90 ACY: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Got to 92 here. Could be the last 90s for quite a while. I still think we may capture some more late 90s readings (maybe not the park) between 8/25 and 9/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 I still think we may capture some more late 90s readings (maybe not the park) between 8/25 and 9/3 There seems to be a decent chance of at least a few more 90s IMO also around this time frame, maybe a bit after 8/25, as the persistent area of lower heights above the NE since about 8/6 weakens, with the 6z GFS fully closing the gap between the eastern ridge and the western ridge, which is less amplified by this point. I'm not sure if it would be any heat wave (3+ consecutive days) or just occasional 90s, but I don't think we've seen the last 90s readings this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 I would wager we will see at least 4-5 more 90s this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Where's the rain for today? It's sunny now =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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