Mogget Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Gracious! Raining heavily and nearly continuous lightening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 31, 2012 Author Share Posted July 31, 2012 The storms are finally within 30 miles now I believe. Continuous lightning with storms still a ways away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Looks like that line of storms is centered squarely on Ozaukee county right now ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 And so it begins.... The line is intensifying and heading this way.... BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 110 AM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... BAY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... MIDLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 215 AM EDT * AT 104 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BEAVERTON TO OIL CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... EDENVILLE AROUND 115 AM EDT. HOPE AND SANFORD AROUND 120 AM EDT. AVERILL AROUND 125 AM EDT. BOMBAY AROUND 130 AM EDT. BENTLEY AND MOUNT FOREST AROUND 135 AM EDT. WILLARD AND CRUMP AROUND 145 AM EDT. THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS... SANFORD... PINCONNING... OIL CITY... MIDLAND... LINWOOD... KAWKAWLIN... ESSEXVILLE... EDENVILLE... COLEMAN... BENTLEY... BAY CITY... AUBURN... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. Edit to add... Interesting to note that DTX has not updated their HWO since 3:04PM on Monday. It reads: 304 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TRACKS THROUGH THE AREA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE...BUT WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. STORM MOTION WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 fail here.. screwed again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 And so it begins.... The line is intensifying and heading this way.... It's really running on nothing right now... Shouldn't last much longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 And so it begins.... The line is intensifying and heading this way.... Edit to add... Interesting to note that DTX has not updated their HWO since 3:04PM on Monday. It reads: Looks like the line is really starting to bow out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 The line is moving into a less favourable environment across northern Illinois (and northern Indiana/lower Michigan for that matter). CAPE values are low, and the atmosphere is fairly capped. However, 850-mb moisture is good; dewpoint depressions are low. I've noticed in the last scan or two that they are starting to weaken slowly, and they seem slated to continue doing so. Nonetheless, dryness present at around 700 mb is always a plus for some good lightning in the meantime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 31, 2012 Author Share Posted July 31, 2012 The line is moving into a less favourable environment across northern Illinois (and northern Indiana/lower Michigan for that matter). CAPE values are low, and the atmosphere is fairly capped. However, 850-mb moisture is good; dewpoint depressions are low. I've noticed in the last scan or two that they are starting to weaken slowly, and they seem slated to continue doing so. Nonetheless, dryness present at around 700 mb is always a plus for some good lightning in the meantime. You have to remember thunderstorms go to Milwaukee to die. That's just the way it works. Show me storms that were intense near Madison or Fon du Lac that maintained their intensity and you have a point. Thus, Chicago's best chances for good storms come from ones moving in from the west, not the north or northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I hope they do weaken.... we can use the rain but we really don't need the wind and hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 You can clearly see the outflow developing around Grand Rapids, that usually an indicator that the storms will be weakening shortly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 You have to remember thunderstorms go to Milwaukee to die. That's just the way it works. Show me storms that were intense near Madison or Fon du Lac that maintained their intensity and you have a point. Thus, Chicago's best chances for good storms come from ones moving in from the west, not the north or northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 31, 2012 Author Share Posted July 31, 2012 Come on, just because it sounds like bitter grapes doesn't mean it doesn't have some truth to it. It looked like a sure half inch 30-40 minute thunderstorm turns into a quick 10 minute thundershower in less than 20-30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I was just out on the deck... Moon is now behind heavy haze and you can faintly see a dull flash of lightning in the sky to the north. Nothing like the line that moved through here a few days back, when you could see the sky flashing nonstop for like two hours prior to the line arriving. And I was out on the deck when that line came through and a bolt of lightning hit the ground wire at the back of my property, maybe 70 feet directly in front of me. I felt the shock wave and smelled the ozone. I left the deck rather quickly at that point Is that Paul Goodloe finding out he has to cohost with Stephanie Abrahms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Come on, just because it sounds like bitter grapes doesn't mean it doesn't have some truth to it. It looked like a sure half inch 30-40 minute thunderstorm turns into a quick 10 minute thundershower in less than 20-30 minutes. I can so relate to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 31, 2012 Author Share Posted July 31, 2012 I can so relate to that. Yeah, by no means is this a rare thing, but at the same time, there are certain areas it happens more than others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Yeah, by no means is this a rare thing, but at the same time, there are certain areas it happens more than others. Yes, it's quite common to see here too. I've seen so many storms literally fall off of radar five miles away it's not even funny. It's like I live under a permanent cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 lol at some of the posts and the evolution of this convection. Sometimes convection just does what it wants to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 It's really running on nothing right now... Shouldn't last much longer The atmosphere isn't perfect for organized convection, but I wouldn't say the storms are running on "nothing." There's still some modest jet inflow and some reasonably steep mid-level lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 SPS issued from DTX: GENESEE-LAPEER-OAKLAND-SHIAWASSEE- 219 AM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... AT 214 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A GUST FRONT SOUTH OF A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORTH BRANCH TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEW LOTHROP TO 21 MILES WEST OF LAINGSBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS LINE AS IT DROPS SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOLLOW IN BEHIND THE GUST FRONT...BRINGING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... HENDERSON BY 225 AM EDT... OWOSSO AND LAINGSBURG BY 230 AM EDT... OTTER LAKE AND NEW LOTHROP BY 235 AM EDT... OTISVILLE BY 240 AM EDT... PERRY AND NORTH BRANCH BY 245 AM EDT... DURAND AND BANCROFT BY 250 AM EDT... SWARTZ CREEK AND FLINT BY 255 AM EDT... GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. So, about a half an hour or so... I'm right between Swartz Creek and Flint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 And here it comes... BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 241 AM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... GENESEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... SAGINAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... SHIAWASSEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 345 AM EDT * AT 239 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRIDGEPORT TO HENDERSON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... LAYTON CORNERS AND BURT AROUND 250 AM EDT. BIRCH RUN AND BENNINGTON AROUND 255 AM EDT. JUDDVILLE AND CORUNNA AROUND 300 AM EDT. CLIO AROUND 305 AM EDT. VERNON AND LENNON AROUND 310 AM EDT. THETFORD TOWNSHIP AND MOUNT MORRIS AROUND 315 AM EDT. THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS... SWARTZ CREEK... ST. CHARLES... SAGINAW... OWOSSO... OTISVILLE... OAKLEY... NEW LOTHROP... MOUNT MORRIS... MONTROSE... MARION SPRINGS... LINDEN... LENNON... HENDERSON... GRAND BLANC... GOODRICH... GAINES... FLUSHING... FLINT... FENTON... DURAND... DAVISON... CORUNNA... CLIO... CHESANING... BYRON... BURTON... BRIDGEPORT... BIRCH RUN... BANCROFT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 The line just passed through here, had about 15min of gusty winds but nothing particularly strong. Edit: Airport reported a 50mph gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Decent amount of lightning with the warned line moving in from the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 It's been blowing like crazy here for the last 20 minutes and the storms are just now arriving. Plenty of lightning and I see another large area of moderate rain has developed behind the first line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 You have to remember thunderstorms go to Milwaukee to die. That's just the way it works. Show me storms that were intense near Madison or Fon du Lac that maintained their intensity and you have a point. Thus, Chicago's best chances for good storms come from ones moving in from the west, not the north or northwest. I'm getting a pretty nice solid svr-warned storm here and its coming from the North and Northwest :thumbsup: Maybe they like to die once they hit MKE and then explode/redevelop once they hit the border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Decent amount of lightning with the warned line moving in from the NW. Had a nice shelf cloud, but winds only maxed out around 25mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Had a nice shelf cloud, but winds only maxed out around 25mph. Yeah the wind was definitely a big old meh.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 In SW Michigan. Severe storms forecast FAIL!! Fail! Better not quit my day job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 That line of storms, despite my prognostication earlier in this thread, did indeed make it into northern Illinois without weakening much. The storms affected my location at around 08z. Lightning was moderate, and rainfall was light to moderate for about ten minutes, dropping 0.09". Stronger storms affected a line along Illinois Hwy. 38 from around DeKalb to LaFox and areas north and south from that line, where there was some hail and strong winds as well as more substantial rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 That line of storms, despite my prognostication earlier in this thread, did indeed make it into northern Illinois without weakening much. The storms affected my location at around 08z. Lightning was moderate, and rainfall was light to moderate for about ten minutes, dropping 0.09". Stronger storms affected a line along Illinois Hwy. 38 from around DeKalb to LaFox and areas north and south from that line, where there was some hail and strong winds as well as more substantial rainfall. Yeah, I awoke to some small hail in the middle of the night. Cant give you a rainfall total as my wife knocked the gauge clean off of its post while attempting to move the garden hose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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