forkyfork Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 Lmao have you seen the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 They need the rain far more than we do i think isaac is more likely to rot over the midwest/plains somewhere while we get heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 22, 2012 Share Posted August 22, 2012 have you seen the euro? Yeah. Dont buy it. Last night it has Isaac on the Yucatan Peninsula. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Nam has been consistent with this storm also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Landfall on the panhandle of Florida at 144 hours. It's also stronger this run on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Isaac picked up by the trough at 174 hours. This should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 The rain starts to get in here just before truncation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 The Euro and GFS both have a track into the Eastern Gulf . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 The storm gains strength as it approaches the gulf. Looks like we might see the remnants of Isaac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Overall, the pattern, still looks different the Euro and GFS guidance, later next. The GFS and GEFS, have deeper trough that would bring Issac's remnants up the coast. While the Euro and it's ensemble mean favor more ridging over the East Coast, that would keep Issac away from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted August 23, 2012 Author Share Posted August 23, 2012 12z Nam has Isaac just off southeast FLA at 84 which is low probability and out of the NAM accu range http://raleighwx.ame...6_county084.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 either way we have a ton a land in the way and the storm should get trapped in the SE, any impact in our area looks unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 The 12z GFS track is about as bad as it gets if you were hoping for a large impact in this region. 1) The system crosses the heart of Cuba 2) The system begins to organize in the far eastern GOM, very slowly, meanwhile possible land interaction, dry air and upwelling could all be problems. 3) The system misses the trough and basically stalls out over the southeast until it rots away over the course of about a week. Drops a ton of rain in the SE but nothing for us at all. (Which I guess is better than getting the 5-10" of rain that some of the other runs have shown.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 25, 2012 Share Posted August 25, 2012 Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 25, 2012 Share Posted August 25, 2012 Are we really going to miss ALL the precip from Issac? Getting dry again here on the South Shore. Some tropical juice would be welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 25, 2012 Share Posted August 25, 2012 Are we really going to miss ALL the precip from Issac? Getting dry again here on the South Shore. Some tropical juice would be welcome. Whatever is left of Issac over the South/Midwest, may merge with another frontal system moving through here, Labor Day weekend. Edit: The 12z Euro today has shifted much farther east. It makes landfall as a strong hurricane near Apalachicola, FL. Then it slowly moves up through Georgia and Carolinas later this week. Before rottening over the Mid-Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Posted just for entertainment purposes. The GFS has once again been hinting at east coast impacts with the next African wave, behind Invest 97L. Several GFS members are targeting areas between the Carolina and New England. However, the majority continue to suggest fish. There are similarities to Isaac; each run is gradually coming further west so it will be interesting to see where this one goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Yeah. Dont buy it. Last night it has Isaac on the Yucatan Peninsula. lol still laughing? this thread is a waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 still laughing? this thread is a waste. ^^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 still laughing? this thread is a waste. So we can't talk about a tropical system in our subforum? Give me a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 still laughing? this thread is a waste. Step up your geography forky. isaac is not on the yucatan. And keep coming back to this thread when you dont like it. Makes sense. go back to OT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Posted just for entertainment purposes. The GFS has once again been hinting at east coast impacts with the next African wave, behind Invest 97L. Several GFS members are targeting areas between the Carolina and New England. However, the majority continue to suggest fish. There are similarities to Isaac; each run is gradually coming further west so it will be interesting to see where this one goes. NHC now has that wave at 10% chance of development. Should be interesting to watch. Obviously it's way out in fantasy land and is mainly just for entertainment, but here's what the 12z GFS does with it in the long range: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 With a developing persistent NE trough, prospects for a tropical impact for the Northeast look very small for the foreseeable future into the end of August. The general pattern remains the same with the westerlies over the area for the foreseeable future, any tropical impact for the Northeast remains remote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 The general pattern remains the same with the westerlies over the area for the foreseeable future, any tropical impact for the Northeast remains remote. The northeast will miss the remnants of Isaac.Kirk is going to be a fish storm and by the looks of the models right now, 98L will stay in the ocean and not hit the U.S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwarn Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Looks like a low just off the FL panhandle. Most of the convection is off to the center's south. Still needs to be monitored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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