Stormlover74 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 None so far but very impressive lightning. Curious whether any hail over western Union County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 I've been getting pounded here the last 15 minutes. Rain coming down in buckets and lots of close lightning strikes. Maybe the best storm of the summer here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Papa Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Video taken of the hailer from the severe storm which passed through central Queens around 4pm today. I was in Maspeth, with quarter sized hail (although, I would estimate some larger stones; car alarms went off rampantly around the neighborhood). Winds were very impressive as well, and veered with direction as the storm passed through. Pardon the language used in this video… sheer excitement; I don’t see many hail storms in my neck of the woods. Hailstones at the end of the video. http://youtu.be/Oc91defA-wQ That was awesome!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 545 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... PASSAIC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... HUDSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 745 PM EDT... * AT 541 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN ONE HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES...AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 just rain in edison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Awesome video Shades! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 just rain in edison Got .02" in piscataway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJStorms Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 This whole day, the storms just danced around us. Awesome thunder, cool clouds... then nothing. Not a drop. It just now started raining... and not even hard at that. Mild thunder. Seems like this comes from all sides of us and forms something nice a little too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Hard hit areas of Queens where 3"-4" of rain has already fallen, are about to get another good dosing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 TS cell approaching Astoria, NY and ag3 neighborhood. Watch out for the torrential rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Just some heavy rain with a little thunder under the cell in Astoria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Okay good. We don't want one of our best, active posters to get hurt while taking his wx observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Finally got some rain in NE NJ today... most of it still stayed to the west/east/south, but at least there was a brief soaking. Today's storms at least finally pushed my month to date rainfall above 1 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Got .02" in piscataway What a difference a few miles makes, I got 1.63 where I am in Piscataway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 What a difference a few miles makes, I got 1.63 where I am in Piscataway. Holy crap. Are you by arbor school area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Holy crap. Are you by arbor school area? Yep, arbor school is just down the road from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 How do you guys think Fridays storms look?? Is it goimg to be another repeat of today or cause there coming thru at night are they just going to be normal storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Some photos form the earlier flooding in Mineola: http://mineola.patch.com/articles/mineola-residents-cleaning-up-after-thunderstorms-pass#photo-11028842 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 My station missed the first batch this afternoon but got the second one with 0.75 in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 The last clap of thunder sounded like a bomb went off . It was really loud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 15, 2012 Share Posted August 15, 2012 Yep, arbor school is just down the road from me. Amazing. I took a pic, the dark black clouds literally stopped over my house, then went the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Sorry I was out all day but I was in Lynbrook and the thunder was so loud I could hear inside the building and then when I went back to the city big flash of lightning followed a huge clap thunder came out of nowhere but overall just some heavy rains from both storms in the city and Lynbrook. Missed the good storms at home because I was busy away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 SPC only has 5% risk of damaging winds of hail for entire today. While Upton seems to be more concerned for more severe wx, N&W of NYC. I think I agree more with Upton's reasoning. Both latest runs of the SPC WRF and HRRR have line of showers and t-storms coming through this evening. Upton AFD: THE BULK OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL TONIGHT...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH IF CONVECTION MATURES INTO AN ORGANIZED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL NY/PA. THIS TYPE OF LINE WOULD LIKELY TRACK EAST TOWARDS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. IT WOULD MOVE INTO AN UNSTABLE ENOUGH AIR MASS ACROSS FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TO SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. FURTHER EAST...INCLUDING NYC...THE LATER THE TIMING OF AN ORGANIZED LINE...WANING INSTABILITY AND/OR THE MARINE LAYER SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING CONVECTION. THE DAYSHIFT WILL BE ABLE TO MONITOR...AND ADJUST SEVERE THREAT AS NEEDED. NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 719 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AN ORGANIZED LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT IS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 SPC only has 5% risk of damaging winds of hail for entire today. While Upton seems to be more concerned for more severe wx, N&W of NYC. I think I agree more with Upton's reasoning. Both latest runs of the SPC WRF and HRRR have line of showers and t-storms coming through this evening.Upton AFD: THE BULK OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL TONIGHT...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH IF CONVECTION MATURES INTO AN ORGANIZED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL NY/PA. THIS TYPE OF LINE WOULD LIKELY TRACK EAST TOWARDS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. IT WOULD MOVE INTO AN UNSTABLE ENOUGH AIR MASS ACROSS FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TO SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. FURTHER EAST...INCLUDING NYC...THE LATER THE TIMING OF AN ORGANIZED LINE...WANING INSTABILITY AND/OR THE MARINE LAYER SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING CONVECTION. THE DAYSHIFT WILL BE ABLE TO MONITOR...AND ADJUST SEVERE THREAT AS NEEDED. NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN- EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 719 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AN ORGANIZED LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT IS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. There's nothing wrong with SPC's forecast, today/tonight is extremely marginal. Instability is somewhat decent, but everything else is junk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 There's nothing wrong with SPC's forecast, today/tonight is extremely marginal. Instability is somewhat decent, but everything else is junk. All the high res models seem to agree best forcing is over the I-87 corridor upstate and from central PA north...the line will probably be solid from W MA into ERN and CNTRL NY through NRN PA all afternoon but whether or not it can maintain itself into NJ and then into the metro area is a big question mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Guess its gonna be one of those days where were gonna have to keep an eye on all the instability and other factors to see if these storms can hold strength as they reach the NYC vicinity. Anybody got soundings from areas close to the city for later today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Its amazing, the NAM/GFS and Euro are all putting out about the same amount of precip but the timing is completely different. The NAM has the bulk overnight and out of here by mid morning. The Euro has it linger through early afternoon and the GFS basically says we see nothing until tomorrow and it lasts until evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Its amazing, the NAM/GFS and Euro are all putting out about the same amount of precip but the timing is completely different. The NAM has the bulk overnight and out of here by mid morning. The Euro has it linger through early afternoon and the GFS basically says we see nothing until tomorrow and it lasts until evening. Each model has a slightly different handling of the weak frontal wave that would focus the convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Its amazing, the NAM/GFS and Euro are all putting out about the same amount of precip but the timing is completely different. The NAM has the bulk overnight and out of here by mid morning. The Euro has it linger through early afternoon and the GFS basically says we see nothing until tomorrow and it lasts until evening. Euro has a similar start time as the NAM. 2-3 hours later on the euro; around 1am tonight and like you said, lasting until noonish from NYC west and longer into the afternoon for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Some of the parameters are in place...for example, the Lifted Index is expected to be quite high and we should obviously have good daytime heating. The big question is the timing of the cold front, which is a bit slower than ideal. Also, wind shear values are not very impressive at all, although once you get west of the Hudson and into the Catskills, the threat goes up. I would like to think that the areas NW of NYC are on the SE edge of the severe weather potential. I could see an isolated storm or two bring some strong winds and small hail to northern NJ or the lower/mid-Hudson Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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