earthlight Posted August 10, 2012 Author Share Posted August 10, 2012 This looks to be quickly becoming a heavy rain threat with isolated embedded super cells that may produce a few isolated wind gusts and maybe a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 I don't like the crapvection near AC for New Jersey...there is not enough time for that to organize and become discrete supercells. CT, on the other hand, might benefit. But it is near the best instability parameters and already has mesocyclones in the storms. And it is moving slowly northward which gives it plenty of time to organize more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 a moist environment with no cap and plenty of synoptic lift...a recipe for junk firing up everywhere... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 a moist environment with no cap and plenty of synoptic lift...a recipe for junk firing up everywhere... You mean "junk" as in non-exciting and watered-down storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 10, 2012 Author Share Posted August 10, 2012 a moist environment with no cap and plenty of synoptic lift...a recipe for junk firing up everywhere... Writing was on the wall for this several days ago when the models started showing huge moisture and a shortwave stuck between the ULL and the WAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 The storm around Ocean County is better organized based on increasing base velocities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Writing was on the wall for this several days ago when the models started showing huge moisture and a shortwave stuck between the ULL and the WAR. These closed low set ups are usually remembered for their heavy rainfall around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 You can see the radar over the past 30 minutes just morph into a heavy shield of rain These closed low set ups are usually remembered for their heavy rainfall around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Looks like a good dump of rain for most--back edge seems to be around DE/MD area so maybe a break late today this evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Coming down in buckets at work in Peapack NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Extremely impressive rainfall rates advecting into the area. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=okx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN... EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... HUDSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... PASSAIC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... WESTERN NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 1245 PM EDT... * AT 1044 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND A CLUSTER OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTH ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST TOWARD NEW YORK CITY. MAXIMUM HOURLY RADAR RAINFALL RATES WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES PER HOUR AND CAUSE RAPID PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS PRODUCING MINOR URBAN FLOODING. THESE HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH 12:45 PM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MINOR FLOODING MEANS THAT ALTHOUGH STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY RISE OUT OF THEIR BANKS...PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL BE MINIMAL. INCONVENIENCES CAN BE EXPECTED BUT THE FLOODING WILL NOT BE IMMEDIATELY LIFE THREATENING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. MOST FLOODING DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF THE FLOODING THREAT INCREASES...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Let's get this junk out of here and get a little instability for later...looking bleak though. Just rain and a rumble of thunder now in Parsippany Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 The whole area looks to be weakening over NJ. The rain was impressive at work near Bedminster. Looks like back home in Piscataway it hasn't been much once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Yeah it does appear that way. The NAM basically has around a half inch and ending by late this afternoon and by the looks of it it might not be too far off of course now the radar is looking better again.... The whole area looks to be weakening over NJ. The rain was impressive at work near Bedminster. Looks like back home in Piscataway it hasn't been much once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN SANDY HOOK AND LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT TO 20 NM... THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN SANDY HOOK NJ AND FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 TO 40 NM... INCLUDING MONMOUTH BEACH...SANDY HOOK REEF...SEA BRIGHT...SEA GIRT REEF AND SHARK RIVER REEF... * UNTIL 145 PM EDT * AT 1137 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF BARNEGAT INLET AND MANASQUAN INLET. SOME OF THE STORMS WERE PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER. THEY WERE MOVING NORTH AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 The whole area looks to be weakening over NJ. The rain was impressive at work near Bedminster. Looks like back home in Piscataway it hasn't been much once again. Pouring here....windy also...radar look a bit more impressive also....grass will love this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Pouring here....windy also...radar look a bit more impressive also....grass will love this Just noticed that is blew up a bit by us. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Just noticed that is blew up a bit by us. Nice. Looks impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 a pair of embedded supercells in central NJ showing some rotation now..especially the one entering Middlesex county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Getting tremendously heavy rain at the moment but not even a rumble of thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Seeing some rotation and strong winds south of the Rockways and east of Higlands: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 10, 2012 Author Share Posted August 10, 2012 Absolutely ridiculous rainfall rates here right now. This is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 It's going to rain hard isn't it. 1-3" of rain seems likely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Thunder and heavy rain here...still upset i missed the storm yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Winds picking up as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Absolutely ridiculous rainfall rates here right now. This is insane. Same here sheets of rain. Although it looks like I may be near the end in the next hour. Some breaks in the clouds pushing into the Philly area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Lightning now in Western Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Just had a lightning flash followed by a long loud rumble of thunder. This rain looks light though. Edit: Now it's raining heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 10, 2012 Share Posted August 10, 2012 Raining heavy right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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