Hoar_Frost Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Recent runs of the Euro build the heat back into at least parts of our region by middle of next week, continuing a familiar pattern of this summer. Discuss. Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 Last night's Euro shows some very intense heat returning early next week, in the MON-TUE time frame. Large expansion to the northeast of 25+ 850 temps. With the charred soil over most of the Midwest it would certainly seem like another 100+ episode could be in the cards. Up until then the heat will be pretty moderate, with generally only low to mid 90s for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 ORD is up to 90...35th 90+ day of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 The 12z ECMWF continues the trend for the late week roaster in the toaster before the main heat event next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Topped out at 93 at ORD and 93 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 CPC disagrees with the EURO somewhat, especially for the Lakes proper. Keeps the most highest anomalies in the Ohio Valley and mid Mississippi River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Saturday actually looks pretty hot as well. Euro shows a quick shot of intense heat knifing in from the west out ahead of a weak cool front. Could push temps close to 100 in some of the more favored dry areas if trends continue. 12z Euro delayed the heat next week by a day or so. Shows Wed-Thu as the hottest now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 The 00z NAM has us hitting 100 on Thursday. Tim will like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 The 00z NAM has us hitting 100 on Thursday. Tim will like that. Oh yeah, I'm sure he'll be jumping for joy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 The 00z NAM has us hitting 100 on Thursday. Tim will like that. Just like today, right? 18z NAM gets us to 100 on Tuesday. You have to find a new model to hug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Just like today, right? You have to find a new model to hug. I report, you decide. I sorta doubt 100 but IND's call of 94 seems too cool. Soundings look quite dry in the low levels which should promote efficient warming, although models are hinting at some clouds which could prevent the full potential from being realized. I'll go 98. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 MET MOS has a low of 56 and high of 100 here on Thursday. That would be quite a feat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I report, you decide. I sorta doubt 100 but IND's call of 94 seems too cool. Soundings look quite dry in the low levels which should promote efficient warming, although models are hinting at some clouds which could prevent the full potential from being realized. I'll go 98. More like you report, I'll mock. Question is, will the NAM clown maps get the same reverence this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 More like you report, I'll mock. Question is, will the NAM clown maps get the same reverence this winter? Time will tell. Winter seems so far off. Made it to 94 today with 850 mb temps around 18C (or supposed to be around 18C). 850 mb temps on Thursday look to be several degrees warmer. Might have to reconsider the possibility of triple digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 We'll have a legitimate shot at 100 here as well on Thursday as long as clouds/precip hold off. The latest runs have sped up the timing of the weak front, so it's looking a bit iffy now. NAM has us over 100 tomorrow too, but it won't be that hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 If we do hit 100 on Thursday or some other day in August, then 2012 would join a select list of years with 100 degree days in 3 consecutive months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 My computer screen just burst into flames when I checked the 12z ECMWF. Next week could be downright insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 The NAM raw output has 103/48 here at 21z Thursday. At least it will be comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 That will be good for the grain crops and any other vegetation...on top of extreme heat, you have extremely dry air...at least with high dew points, evaporation is less (or so it seems...every time i try to dry clothes in the humidity they take forever)... maybe add some wind in and some lightning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 The NAM raw output has 103/48 here at 21z Thursday. At least it will be comfortable. NAM has back to back 100s here Thu/Fri. Mercy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 NAM has back to back 100s here Thu/Fri. Mercy! 0z MET has 100/97. My condolences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Next 3 days from the 00z NAM for us is 101/107/106. Toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 0z MET has 100/97. My condolences. Friday has at least one advantage - should be a much warmer start than Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Friday has at least one advantage - should be a much warmer start than Thursday. Well, your (and others) model was only off by 6 degrees today. So close. Better luck Thursday and Friday I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Well, your (and others) model was only off by 6 degrees today. So close. Better luck Thursday and Friday I guess. I think that was 3 days out. Thursday is only 2 days out. A NAM/ECMWF blend has been deadly accurate most of the time this summer from my observation so we'll see what the 00z Euro offers up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Big difference in the forecast up this way compared to areas south and west. Only 1 90° in the 7 day on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 I think that was 3 days out. Thursday is only 2 days out. A NAM/ECMWF blend has been deadly accurate most of the time this summer from my observation so we'll see what the 00z Euro offers up. With 2m temps? Uh huh. Good luck though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 With 2m temps? Uh huh. Good luck though. Yeah...certainly light years better than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Yeah...certainly light years better than the GFS. Did I say the GFS was better? Don't be silly. Noted though. Don't question the NAM 2m temps in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Did I say the GFS was better? Don't be silly. Noted though. Don't question the NAM 2m temps in this forum. sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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