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July 26, 2012 Severe Weather Potential


earthlight

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50 kts of effective shear over NYC now. And 3000 joules of surface based cape over New Jersey ahead of the MCS.

Radar looks like a classic LEWP.

NYC on east is gonna wacked with some wicked winds and maybe even some hail in like an hour or two. this line is just getting stronger by the minute earthlight! WOW!

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ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY

540 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  SULLIVAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT.

* AT 536 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO ALONG A

  LINE EXTENDING FROM ROSCOE TO HORTONVILLE TO LAVA TO ELDRED...

  MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

  WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...WHITE LAKE AND MONGAUP VALLEY BY 545 PM

  EDT...

  SWAN LAKE...PARKSVILLE AND MONTICELLO BY 550 PM EDT...

  WILLOWEMOC...THOMPSONVILLE AND SOUTH FALLSBURG BY 555 PM EDT...

  WOODRIDGE...WOODBOURNE AND GRAHAMSVILLE BY 600 PM EDT...

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ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY

540 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SULLIVAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT.

* AT 536 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO ALONG A

LINE EXTENDING FROM ROSCOE TO HORTONVILLE TO LAVA TO ELDRED...

MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...WHITE LAKE AND MONGAUP VALLEY BY 545 PM

EDT...

SWAN LAKE...PARKSVILLE AND MONTICELLO BY 550 PM EDT...

WILLOWEMOC...THOMPSONVILLE AND SOUTH FALLSBURG BY 555 PM EDT...

WOODRIDGE...WOODBOURNE AND GRAHAMSVILLE BY 600 PM EDT...

Take cover man! My future in laws are in bungalow colony in woodbourne, ive been frantically telling them to find a basement.

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This, this is going to be fun, rolling thunder, and everything is still, except for the car or two that drive past, do peaceful. For now. I'll get video of it moving through for you all, I just hope I don't lose power so I can upload it and show you what is headed torward you guys.

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not gonna lie, im a little scared

As i have said repeatedly, i am going to stay in my sturdy office building until it passes...my second floor walkup with only windows is not where i want to be when that line hits.

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I would expect this segment to go to town in the next half hour. It's now running into 45 kts of effective shear and surface based instability out ahead of it is over 3000 j/kg. Insane...

For Long Island im concerned that the shear might be too much, because we have less sbcape compared to NJ. The storms updraft might lean towards the cold pool and weaken when they get to the island. Not being a downer, but ive seen it happen before.

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For Long Island im concerned that the shear might be too much, because we have less sbcape compared to NJ. The storms might lean upshear towards the cold pool and weaken when they get to the island. Not being a downer, but ive seen it happen before.

even if the storms weaken, there will still be wind.

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