OSUmetstud Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 the synoptic warm front stretches from Northern NY se into SW NE. The best instability is farther south due to the outflow boundaries and the cloud debris from the overnight/morning convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 To me this argues that the warm front will push up to the MA/NH&VT border. Winds look to be southerly all the way up into Southern VT and NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 BUST Torcon lowered to 3. https://www.facebook.com/#!/twcdrforbes/posts/10150966671618201 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Interesting tongue of cooler dews hanging on in the NE. Can someone help locate the warm front here? I see DPs in 70s in southern PA - southern NJ - wrapping up to southern Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 BUST you're probably being sarcastic / half serious, but way too early to call bust imo the next 5 hours will be critical as we continue to clear, DPs and instability increase showtime was never forecast to be as early as 6/1/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Wonder if we will get more firewood out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Torcon lowered to 3. https://www.facebook...150966671618201 Stop worrying about tornadoes. This is morphing away from a tornado threat and turning into a very dangerous wind threat. Some form of MCC is going to come a rolling through SNE this evening and into the overnight. (with embedded spin ups and damaging winds.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Screw TORCON, what's the TOLCON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Stop worrying about tornadoes. This is morphing away from a tornado threat and turning into a very dangerous wind threat. Some form of MCC is going to come a rolling through SNE this evening and into the overnight. (with embedded spin ups and damaging winds.) I was never really that worried about tornadoes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Thx . Visible shows some small breaks trying to tickle boston. Its pretty comfy day out so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eire015 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Looking at satellite and surface data suggests a small mesolow which formed behind that area of precip earlier this morning is moving through W. Ma at this time. I wonder how this will affect things later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 flash flood watch put up for much of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 BUST We never had a prayer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 you people give up to early its sunny in ny and big sever weather is coming to sne area . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Let's try to keep this thread clean and not start going back and forth about busts etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 you people give up to early its sunny in ny and big sever weather is coming to sne area . Blizzy's in the house!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Tons and tons of sun coming out now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 The 13z hrrr is further north with strong cells developing around 22z in western mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiWxWatcher Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 It's sunny and humid in the N. Berkshires...oh boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Did wiz go chasing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloudsncontrails Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 The 13z hrrr is further north with strong cells developing around 22z in western mass. HRR has had this as a late bloomer for a bit now. Could be a lot of people getting very little sleep tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Did wiz go chasing? He is working til 4:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Looking at satellite and surface data suggests a small mesolow which formed behind that area of precip earlier this morning is moving through W. Ma at this time. I wonder how this will affect things later. Its a pretty neat little feature but totally disassociated with anything coming later, good catch though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 We never had a prayer No, And others that do don't like to have there potential taken away from them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 HRR has had this as a late bloomer for a bit now. Could be a lot of people getting very little sleep tonight. Yesterday was an awesome clouds and contrails day around 6 pm, pretty neat looking sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 5% tor probs expanded with new outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 5% tor probs expanded with new outlook. Don't stop there....tell me more...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Huge bust! There's no way Anchorage sees a tornado today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Don't stop there....tell me more...lol All they did is expand Tor chances west a bit. Almost exactly the same as early morning uodate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 ...INDIANA NEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND... STRONG HEATING WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY TO INITIATE FROM WRN PA SWWD ACROSS OH AND IND BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON. INITIATION WILL FURTHER BE ENHANCED BY SEVERAL VORTICITY MAXIMA MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW. MUCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG...ALONG WITH 40+ KT LOW TO MIDLEVEL MEAN WINDS...SHOULD ALLOW FOR RAPID UPSCALE GROWTH OF AND MERGING OF DEVELOPING STORM CELLS INTO LINES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. AS THESE STORMS CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE PA/NEW ENGLAND SFC BOUNDARIES...THEY MAY EXHIBIT ROTATION WITH PARTICULARLY DAMAGING SWATHS OF WINDS ESPECIALLY WITH ANY BOWHEAD/MESO-LOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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