cyclone77 Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Don't know...those storms look like they are dying on radar...maybe we'll get wet...not sure yet. Yeah the storms to your west have really crapped out in the last hour or so. Maybe their outflow will fire off a few new storms in the next hour or so. That may be your best hope lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 High here today was 91, the 40th day this year AOA 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 You get the feeling this will be one of those years where we will be getting bouts of high heat into September. Most of the high heat/drought summers had that. I remember September 2005 (my freshman year of high school), following the last drought summer up this way, being in the 90's quite frequently. It definitely wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Looks like El-Nino is developing steadily http://www.cpc.ncep....s-fcsts-web.pdf I dug up this MKX news story from 2009 about what to expect, basically an early start to winter followed by a milder deep winter. Maybe has something to do with the enhanced Pacific ridge driving colder air out of the Arctic early on, which can leave less of a cold dome for arctic outbreaks later in the winter. Might have something to do with the Pacific STJ getting stronger towards deep winter too as the gradient between continental and tropical temperatures increases. A strong STJ would drive warm air masses across the country and cause cyclones which will evacuate cold air out of northern tier states. Good for winter weather in the south but not up here once that's underway. http://www.crh.noaa....=29317&source=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 I remember September 2005 (my freshman year of high school), following the last drought summer up this way, being in the 90's quite frequently. It definitely wouldn't surprise me. I was thinking about September heat and I remember in high school having gym when it was in the 90's outside and it went on for days. I think it was September 2000 when I was a freshman, and it was ridiculous having to run in the field house. That heat sticks in my mind more then any other late season heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 I figured tonight that the average last 90° high here is September 1st. September 2005, there was a 4 day stretch of 90s, which is impressive for September. September 2000 was quite hot right in the beginning and then it calmed down afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 If we just do the last 5 years, October 2007 and September 2011 are the memorable late season heat waves for me. October 2007 had 90/91/90 on the 6th/7th/8th and September 2011 had 97/98/97 on the 1st/2nd/3rd. Hard to say which one is more impressive. Maybe the October one gets the edge for rarity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 October might have to get the edge just because that is such a rare feat. Usually by then there has been some cold days, and low 90's would feel really warm after a few early mornings in the uppers 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 I was thinking about September heat and I remember in high school having gym when it was in the 90's outside and it went on for days. I think it was September 2000 when I was a freshman, and it was ridiculous having to run in the field house. That heat sticks in my mind more then any other late season heat wave. It was probably September 2000, yes. It was early in the month, around Labor Day. I remember it being near 100 near Decatur, Illinois, because my uncle had a wedding outdoors in that. The funny thing about that heat wave was that it followed a summer that was rather devoid of extreme heat. In fact, at some locations, those September 90's were the only ones that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 For Chicago... Below is a list of years that finished with 35+ 90F+ days on the year, and the Sept-Oct 90F+ total. 1988: 1 1955: 6 1983: 6 1953: 8 (2 100+ days in Sept and 1 90+ day in Oct) 1959: 8 1952: 6 1954: 4 (1 90+ day in Oct) 1964: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 It appears Detroit's on track for yet another top 10 hottest summer. Detroit would have to record an August departure greater than -2.5*F to knock this summer out of the top 10 ranking, which is unlikely. A top 5 summer is still safely in reach too. Even if August's average was exactly normal (72*F), Detroit's average temperature for the summer would still be 74.4*F, which would tie the average Summer temp of 2012 with 2010 and 2011 (lol), both of which are tied for the 4th hottest summer on record. That would be 3 top 5 summers in a row, which is absolutely impressive, if not unprecedented (3 top 10 summers in a row alone is impressive). EDIT: Furthermore, all Detroit needs is to record a +1.4*F departure this August for 2012 to be the hottest summer (average of 74.9*F) on record (surpassing 2005 with 74.8*F). I will call it now, we will end up with the hottest summer on record for Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Deliciousness in the roaster is on the euro's menu starting Sunday. Maybe start out the menu on Sunday utilizing Tropical's shredded Banana plant leaves from Saturday for banana leaf wrapped tamales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Weak line of showers moving in from the north. Might be an outflow boundary but I'm not sure. The storms approaching La Crosse are getting better organized. CAPE gets lower towards the east though so I'm not getting my hopes up, I'm expecting a weakening stratiform complex if this system reaches Madison. Well here it is, the morning stratiform rain complex. Rattled my windows enough to wake me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Well here it is, the morning stratiform rain complex. Rattled my windows enough to wake me up. I'm seeing the higher clouds from this complex overhead. Is there a gusty outflow boundary heading south? Low 69° this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Picked up about 1/10 an inch or so... I'll take it. Euro doesn't look nearly as warm next week. Sun/Mon look great....another cool shot comes after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Made it down to 56 this morning. Could potentially have a 40+ degree swing today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 I was looking into the short term forecast for Toledo. I saw that the NAM numbers are 95/54 for 21z today, and the GFS has 83/73. Now, the NWS has 92 as the high. What in the world is going on? The NAM is 12 degrees warmer, with a dew point of 19 degrees less?? It would generally appear that Toledo could be 92/60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 nws shows 77F and sunny for Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Little bit warm today in the upper 80s. Clouds taking the edge off right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Oh baby...keep these shots coming... Lets tap into some of that good stuff way up north... Daddy wants to see some record cold in August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 I'd be happy with just average temps at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 ^pretty good summary of the euro^ GFS has been all summer and should just be put out of its useless misery once and for all..can take the NAM with it and start over to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 Oh baby...keep these shots coming... Lets tap into some of that good stuff way up north... Daddy wants to see some record cold in August Don't count on that..just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 High here today was 94, the 41st day this year AOA 90. The sky was partly sunny to mostly cloudy, overall, which only suggests that it would have been in the upper 90's had sky conditions been more favorable, all else equal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 Touched 90° today before the lake breeze kicked in. 16th day of AOA 90°. DLL - those cool shots can keep on coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 3, 2012 Author Share Posted August 3, 2012 Could of daily records broken for Evansville yesterday. One much needed you could say. Daily max temperature: 99º (old record 98º in 1942 and 1964) Daily highest precipitation: 2.31" (old record 2.01" in 1954) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 Nice to see a cyclone approaching on water vapor this morning. Tomorrow is going to be interesting and then some legitimate cool air the day after tomorrow. Currently in the 50s behind the front in most of Montana, temps in the 40s wedged up against the Rockies. Coldest spot attm is near the border where it's a crisp 41 °F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 80/73 right now. Hopefully that front brings in some drier air too, I am sick of doing something outside for 5 min and pouring sweat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 NWS raised temps for Sunday to 80F (from 77F earlier)...blah... Give me 65F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 NWS raised temps for Sunday to 80F (from 77F earlier)...blah... Give me 65F You can have all the 65*F highs you can ask for in late September/early October. The average high for this time of year is nearly 20*F warmer than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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