Jonger Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 This 2 day warm-spell ahead of the cool snap was nothing. Underperformed actually. Have we finally turned the corner? Though todays 83/63 just barely qualified as a +1F departure, it was the first above normal day since the 9th (yesterdays 81/61 was a departure of -1F). Now headed for a nice stretch of mid-late September weather with Fall-like low temps. LOVE IT!!! My high was 78 today and 79.6 yesterday, that makes 8 straight days below 80 degrees. With the going forecast, I might go 15 days straight with high temps below 80 in the middle of august! Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 7th straight day with a negative daily departure at lolLAF. Have to go all the way back to September 22-28, 2011 for the last time that has happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Down to 9 °C at 850 hPa, projected to bottom out in 2-3 °. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Temp falling steadily here. Down to 62°. Predicted low of 54° tonight. Tomorrow's high and low should knock the monthly mean below normal (1st - 17th). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Should stay below average through the 23rd at least.... Possibly right through August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 2.33" has fallen at HUF today, the biggest calendar day rain event since... wait for it... April 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Should stay below average through the 23rd at least.... Possibly right through August. Looks like a warmer but not a hot pattern around the 24th. Mid 80's temps which is not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 what a morning and what a great weekend on tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 55 degrees this morning, picked up 0.56" from the storms yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Looks like a warmer but not a hot pattern around the 24th. Mid 80's temps which is not bad Yea most def. It looks like that western ridge attempts to scoot east mid next week. This would most likey plant some low 80s over the lakes region mid/late next week. We shall see. FWIW. This August is straight out of 1988 play book. Hot summer followed by a relatively "cool" mid August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 FWIW. This August is straight out of 1988 play book. Hot summer followed by a relatively "cool" mid August. It hit 100º at DTW on August 17, 1988. Matter of fact, the first 17 days of August 1988 were well above normal...13 days of 90º+. The last 14 days of that month were below normal...only two days with high temps of 80º, the rest were in the 70's (with a 69º on 8/23). Effectively, the high heat of summer 1988 ended on August 17 for Detroit, as September was exactly normal in 1988. August 1988 at DTW: http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS-7DC5D1E5-4DCB-46CF-A096-BC17F24A7956.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 17, 2012 Author Share Posted August 17, 2012 Even the mighty Euro (OP and ensembles) isn't always correct. Granted it's fantasy land, but a cautionary example of taking any model at face value past 6-7 days. 0z Euro from August 9 for today (ensemble mean on the left, OP on the right). And reality. Just a bit outside. Though to be fair, the ensemble mean for the Aug 9 run was a little closer to reality at 240 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Nice morning! Low 55°, dew on the grass - feeling like fall today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 mmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Kind of kooky, the temp has dropped a tad since I woke up almost 3 hours ago, from 63 to 62.6F despite a decent amount of sun. Guess we may not get up to 70 today, although it seems to be warmer near the lake today, with Milwaukee's current temp of 67F leading the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Yea most def. It looks like that western ridge attempts to scoot east mid next week. This would most likey plant some low 80s over the lakes region mid/late next week. We shall see. FWIW. This August is straight out of 1988 play book. Hot summer followed by a relatively "cool" mid August. Looks like Wed-Friday will flirt with 80. Then back into the mid to low 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Coldest spot I found was in Minnesota at 33 degrees. Anyone find a cooler spot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Picture perfect day today, 73°, mostly sunny skies and low dewpoints! Temperatures should fall off quickly once the sun sets ready to set. 87 minutes of daylight lost now since the solstice. -0.71° for August 1-17th. Edit: 10:30pm - already at 55°. Upper 40s easily within reach tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Cooling off nicely. Down to 55 now. Should dip into the 40s later in the night. Found a pretty sweet current observation map. Has CWOP, APRS, AWOS, and ASOS all clickable on a regional scale. http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mso/fwxmaps/ncus.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 second half of yesterday and today were perfect, played tons of golf. Already down to 52 here and fcst to get down to 47. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 That is a crazy UHI effect, Thundersnow, when O'Hare, which isn't even that close to the lake, reported 63F around the same time and Batavia, not far away, was more than 10F lower. It's 55.8F here, 59F at the airport, and 46F in Waukesha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 That is a crazy UHI effect, Thundersnow, when O'Hare, which isn't even that close to the lake, reported 63F around the same time and Batavia, not far away, was more than 10F lower. It's 55.8F here, 59F at the airport, and 46F in Waukesha. Yeah some nice gradients in these situations from ARR/my house to back near ORD and the city. Plus my neighborhood kinda sits down in a small valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 44F at my house right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 The GL area could see some isolated t-storms tomorrow, maybe even a few hailers. Nice 40°C+ temp differential between the surface and 500 being depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 18, 2012 Author Share Posted August 18, 2012 Min temps below 50º in Indiana this morning. Goshen: 45º Muncie: 47º Zionsville: 47º South Bend: 47º Fort Wayne: 48º Peru/Grissom: 49º Lafayette: 49º Valparaiso: 49º Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 DTW was 52F this morning but everyone away from the water and the UHI was well into the 40s, including 45F at FNT and 44F at DTX. This mornings record low was missed by 6F, it hit 46F in 1977 and 1981, but interestingly, those were both in the days when DTW was a radiating magnet and now its a UHI magnet...so Id venture to guess the general airmass over SE MI was similar in all 3 years. (1977-78 and 1981-82 were also two excellent winters ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Was one of the warmer spots this morning, only dropped down to 54. Plenty of 30s in northern Wisconsin, including 34 in both Land O Lakes and Tomahawk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Low 52° this morning. Up to 70° at 11am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 Min temps below 50º in Indiana this morning. Goshen: 45º Muncie: 47º Zionsville: 47º South Bend: 47º Fort Wayne: 48º Peru/Grissom: 49º Lafayette: 49º Valparaiso: 49º Felt kinda chilly in my place this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 18, 2012 Share Posted August 18, 2012 46 °F in Madison this morning, awesome weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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