TimChgo9 Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 Well, all the rain didn't help my lawn too much..... It grew like a maniac, and I had to mow it.... and then I realized... it was the first time I mowed the lawn in about a month. However, the lawn is still dead, or soemthing... The grass feels very coarse, and dry-ish, and while it did turn green, the color was actually pretty weak. Probably did more damage mowing it. Anyway, I am looking at the GFS, and warm returns. The 11th through the 14th looks to get very hot in fact. Which is something that has been pretty constant that last couple of runs. I am hoping that it moderates... but I get the feeling mid 90's for the start of the school year (Aug 22nd here) is not out of the realm of possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 I'm going against the grain. By the end of the first week of August the heat ridge will build further east and bring the hottest temps into the eastern cornbelt, OV, Lakes and Apps. I think the worst is yet to come for those areas. "Worse"??? How much worse could it get??? Officially, we have gotten, what? 8 days over 100 this summer? aI have recorded at least 10 days over 100 on the back yard, and local WeatherBug station. (If my back yard, and the weather station at the Junior High are within .5 to 1 degree of one another, I figure it's correct, if it's more than that, either way... I go with the WB readings. One day the WB was showing 97 and my backyard 100, I figured the WB was right, it's less than 1/2 of a mile to the school. The heat has really put a damper on the summer so far. The kids start school in 3 weeks, and its' looking the school year will get a hot start as well. I am holding out hope for at least a halfway decent winter..... but, I am not so sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 Not sure if anyone posted this, but this warrants attention for this board over the next several days... DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0359 AM CDT MON JUL 30 2012 VALID 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A STRONG SHORT WAVE IMPULSE WILL DIG SOUTHEAST OF THE CANADIAN ROCKIES BY THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...BEFORE ACCELERATING THROUGH THE STRONGER WESTERLIES NEAR THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. SPREAD AMONG THE MODEL DATA BEGINS TO INCREASE RAPIDLY BY FRIDAY/SATURDAY AS THE IMPULSE APPROACHES WHAT COULD STILL BE A STRONGLY CONFLUENT REGIME BETWEEN THE SOUTH CENTRAL U.S. SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...AND THE NORTHEASTERN CANADIAN POLAR VORTEX...WHICH MAY BE IN THE PROCESS OF REDEVELOPING EASTWARD. THIS ALSO GENERALLY COINCIDES WITH MODEL TIMING OF STRONGER SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS...WHICH COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...POSSIBLY INCLUDING THE RISK FOR TORNADOES...ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME...THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS HIGHEST ACROSS PARTS OF WISCONSIN AND MICHIGAN NEXT SATURDAY /AUGUST 4/...BUT UNCERTAINTIES ARE STILL TOO LARGE TO CONFIDENTLY DELINEATE A REGIONAL SEVERE THREAT AREA. ..KERR.. 07/30/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 Yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Yum Not again! ... I've had enough of this summer. I hope the switch in the MJO will in turn cause the ridge to stay west. Better yet, put a ridge in around Bermuda so the center part of the country can get a return flow out of the Gulf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Yum If this verifies, it looks like my last day living in Illinois will be a miserable one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 If this verifies, it looks like my last day living in Illinois will be a miserable one. You'll be leaving our subforum. Hope you'll stay in touch. Good luck at Penn State! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Not again! ... I've had enough of this summer. I hope the switch in the MJO will in turn cause the ridge to stay west. Better yet, put a ridge in around Bermuda so the center part of the country can get a return flow out of the Gulf! I'll pass on the return flow. The swampy air mass can stay over the swampy regions. It's been hot but the humidity this summer has been delightfully manageable as compared to other notable above norm summers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Yum Dream summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Dream summer. No doubt its one for the books. At this point it's safe to assume we will be torching well into October. Continuing the trend of warm Falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I'll pass on the return flow. The swampy air mass can stay over the swampy regions. It's been hot but the humidity this summer has been delightfully manageable as compared to other notable above norm summers. That's been the bright side to this summer is the lower humidity. Its the humidity that drains when your working construction. Dont get me wrong its been brutal but it could have been a lot worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Day 7 Euro brings the torch back here...looks like a nice little cool shot on Sun/Mon (highs around 80F) and then back to the broiler... This is crap and I'm sick of it. The heat better die by Sept...I really want fall weather.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 You'll be leaving our subforum. Hope you'll stay in touch. Good luck at Penn State! Yep. I will definitely be sure to keep in touch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Waking up to upper 60s, mid 60 dewpoints, and sunny skies for the first day of August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 According to my sneezing, i'd say that ragweed is in the air. I started noticing it maybe 2 or 3 days ago... Could be a very bad season if it doesn't rain and wash that pollen out every few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 We might miss out on 90 today unless it happened/happens after the climate report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 We got 91F or 92F here...clouds now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 95 here today. 94 at MLI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Looking at the 12z GFS today.... It looks like the heat ridge gets pushed way west, starting around the 12th. hopefully that sticks..... At one point the GFS was showing hot conditions for the Lakes from about the 11th to the 14th... Doesn't show that this run. If this sticks around for a few more runs... I could begin hoping the heat is done..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Hit 82° here today, which is just +2° for the date. Little humid, but not bad at all today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Looking at the 12z GFS today.... It looks like the heat ridge gets pushed way west, starting around the 12th. hopefully that sticks..... At one point the GFS was showing hot conditions for the Lakes from about the 11th to the 14th... Doesn't show that this run. If this sticks around for a few more runs... I could begin hoping the heat is done..... Gfs has done this several times this summer only to be wrong each time, so color me skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 93F...looks like a chance of storms later...maybe...we need rain bad here...missed out a lot lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 93F...looks like a chance of storms later...maybe...we need rain bad here...missed out a lot lately. Action not too far from La Crosse already. 100 mph jetstreak trekking from northern minnesota to the UP of Michigan now and intensifying, should provide the lift necessary for some good convection throughout the night. LLJ will be enhanced too as air surges towards the right entrance region of the jet streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Jetstream is a bit stronger than I said, actually at about 200 hPa since it is the STJ basically. Minnesota profiler detected 120 mph winds, probably higher wherever the absolute core is. http://www.profiler.noaa.gov/npn/servlet/TimeSeriesServlet?beam=1&bgndColor=-w&blpprofiler=0&endtimemdyhm=&mode=3&periods=12&product=WINDS&profiler=WDLM5&res=60&devdir=%2Fdata%2Fdataserver%2F&devdir=%2Fdata%2Fvaughn%2F&server=NETCDF&size=800%2C550&qc=0&momentscaler=1&windscaler=1&windunits=m%2Fs&quality=gif&rassmax=35&rassmin=-20&timedirection=right2left&minheight=-10000&maxheight=-10000&minheightagl=-10000&maxheightagl=-10000&htunits=m&rassunits=c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Weak line of showers moving in from the north. Might be an outflow boundary but I'm not sure. The storms approaching La Crosse are getting better organized. CAPE gets lower towards the east though so I'm not getting my hopes up, I'm expecting a weakening stratiform complex if this system reaches Madison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Ended up with a late high of 91. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Turtle- I see that a 20% chance of storms was introduced for southern WI tonight. Edit: Noticed another meteor streak across the sky at dusk tonight heading NNW. We must be getting close to the bi-annual meteor shower. Can't remember the name of it now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Gfs has done this several times this summer only to be wrong each time, so color me skeptical You get the feeling this will be one of those years where we will be getting bouts of high heat into September. Most of the high heat/drought summers had that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Don't know...those storms look like they are dying on radar...maybe we'll get wet...not sure yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 It appears Detroit's on track for yet another top 10 hottest summer. Detroit would have to record an August departure greater than -2.5*F to knock this summer out of the top 10 ranking, which is unlikely. A top 5 summer is still safely in reach too. Even if August's average was exactly normal (72*F), Detroit's average temperature for the summer would still be 74.4*F, which would tie the average Summer temp of 2012 with 2010 and 2011 (lol), both of which are tied for the 4th hottest summer on record. That would be 3 top 5 summers in a row, which is absolutely impressive, if not unprecedented (3 top 10 summers in a row alone is impressive). EDIT: Furthermore, all Detroit needs is to record a +1.4*F departure this August for 2012 to be the hottest summer (average of 74.9*F) on record (surpassing 2005 with 74.8*F). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.