nwburbschaser Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 What are you seeing Andy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Already down to 45, the meteors have been putting on a good show tonight!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 What are you seeing Andy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 I was just about to say something about the middle and latter part of next week. Wed looks interesting for upper Midwest/Great Lakes and then maybe Ohio Valley on Thursday/Thursday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 I was outside for 5 minutes and saw 5 meteors and that was in town. Putting on a good show, One was very bright. Beautiful late summer night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Had a storm total of 1.68" from this storm (assuming nothing falls tomorrow in the backwash). Over 5 3/4 inches since July 22. Amazing 180 this summer has done. And add me to those amazed by the totals in the Saginaw Valley. I was watching DTX radar frequently during this storm to gauge upstream returns. From what I recall, there was very little convection involved up that way. Seemed to be just a persistent deluge of deformation zone driven heavy rain. Aside from tropical/extra-tropical systems, I don't think I've ever seen such impressive totals in the Lakes region that didn't rely heavily on training convection. Yeah this really was incredible in the sense that it wasn't convective in nature. Even the rain bands I drove through from home to toronto on Friday were all heavy but steady and no thunder at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Past 7 day ECMWF maps had major heatwave last week. The ensembles want to develope a major heatwave by the last 3rd of the month. Careful what you ask for. Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Check out this station on wunderground ... http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=MD9250&day=12&year=2012&month=8&graphspan=month The big winner from the heavy rain event! It won't take much more rain for this to be the wettest summer on record for the Saginaw Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 The forecast for some sun in the morning was a bust. 100% overcast. Low 56° this morning. Looks like you members in MI will have some sun today! Enjoy Edit: It is funny how the GFS and NAM orientate the rain band tomorrow two different directions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 GFS and NAM going big time with rain amounts around here. GFS with a 3" 6hr bullseye overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Was driving this morning and saw a waterspout. Luckily I had my camera in my car and was able to snap these. By the time I got to the lakeshore a few minutes later it had dissipated, but there must have been 10-15 people with cameras lined up along the beach cliff taking pictures. MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 133 PM EDT SUN AUG 12 2012 LEZ146-166-121830- 133 PM EDT SUN AUG 12 2012 ...WATER SPOUTS POSSIBLE NEAR CLEVELAND... AT 130 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SOME WEAK SHOWERS JUST OFFSHORE OF CLEVELAND. THERE HAS BEEN A RECENT REPORT OF A FUNNEL. THIS AREA OF TOWERING CUMULUS AND VERY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY AND HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO CAPSIZE SMALL BOATS. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COAST GUARD. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. LAT...LON 4151 8201 4163 8200 4177 8151 4165 8146 4158 8155 4155 8156 4154 8162 4147 8174 4149 8177 4147 8184 $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Ragweed is terrible today... Rain in the area so hopefully it washes some of it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Made it down to 53 last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Not a chance in #ell we see sun today... Also doesn't look like much rain...too bad because this area has really missed out lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 I ended up with 3.25" off the last low that stalled over detroit, the weird thing is the GFS has been consistent being the most NW model (including ensembles) for this storm coming monday afternoon / night. very weird the GFS being the most NW model usually it suppresses everything south and east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Been cloudy here all day. 74 for the high so far. The thick overcast and low to mid 70s makes it look and feel like October after the blazing summer. No rain here yet, but it looks like a very rainy night on tap. Hoping to get a good inch out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 CR maxed at 67 a couple hours ago, falling to the current 63. It has been cloudy, dead calm, and sprinkly all day. It is the coolest day since May 31st and I'm loving it. I'm just sitting at the window with one eye on the PGA Championship and the other on the hummers chasing back and forth across the backyard. Hummingbirds love this kind of weather. I'm also hoping for a good 0.50-1.00" rain tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Ended up with 13 meteors during a 30min period last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted August 12, 2012 Share Posted August 12, 2012 Ended up with 13 meteors during a 30min period last night. Excellent meteor watching, peak night for the perseid shower is tonight, but the "peak" is usually a bit off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 loving the weather, you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Over 250 Perseids an hour right now, but it's cloudy. At least we're going to get rainshowers soon, I love rainy weekend evenings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 High 76° this afternoon, under almost completely cloudy skies. Wet looking day tomorrow - thinking it might struggle to get to 70° here after reading it didn't get out of the 60s in eastern Iowa! GFS has 2"+ here and the NAM has ~1.25". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 High 76° this afternoon, under almost completely cloudy skies. Wet looking day tomorrow - thinking it might struggle to get to 70° here after reading it didn't get out of the 60s in eastern Iowa! GFS has 2"+ here and the NAM has ~1.25". GFS has been absolute garbage with precip locations and amounts recently, it has had this system progged well north for several runs of what it will absolute be, so what a horrible tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 GFS has been absolute garbage with precip locations and amounts recently, it has had this system progged well north for several runs of what it will absolute be, so what a horrible tease. Yeah the GFS is having a hard time with these systems. Not sure what to think about the higher rainfall amounts. Last system did bring very generous amounts to MI. NAM and EURO probably the models to follow at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 High 76° this afternoon, under almost completely cloudy skies. Wet looking day tomorrow - thinking it might struggle to get to 70° here after reading it didn't get out of the 60s in eastern Iowa! GFS has 2"+ here and the NAM has ~1.25". GFS has been absolute garbage with precip locations and amounts recently, it has had this system progged well north for several runs of what it will absolute be, so what a horrible tease. Yeah the GFS is having a hard time with these systems. Not sure what to think about the higher rainfall amounts. Last system did bring very generous amounts to MI. NAM and EURO probably the models to follow at this point. Some of you will never learn... Other than showing if models have development, talking about/posting maps of QPF during the summer months is fairly pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 It's true, making QPF forecasts with a model of 27 km horizontal resolution during convection season is a convective feedback disaster. Instead of getting convective updrafts on the scale of square km you get updrafts with a minimum area of 729 km^2, and often you will end up with many grid cells simultaneously convecting along any given boundary since thermal profiles are juicy this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 It's true, making QPF forecasts with a model of 27 km horizontal resolution during convection season is a convective feedback disaster. Instead of getting convective updrafts on the scale of square km you get updrafts with a minimum area of 729 km^2, and often you will end up with many grid cells simultaneously convecting along any given boundary since thermal profiles are juicy this time of year. What's the resolution of the EURO and NAM? Was making a point more so on the position of the rain on GFS, not really the QPF. I know not everyone is going to see 2" amounts. Can't wait for the non-convective rains of fall so widespread areas can benefit as a whole! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Some of you will never learn... You forgot one more post there bud GFS and NAM going big time with rain amounts around here. GFS with a 3" 6hr bullseye overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted August 13, 2012 Share Posted August 13, 2012 Back from up north. Despite the overcast today we made it to 76, looks like most of the heavier rain with this next system will stay south of the state line. I think we will be lucky if we get a quarter of an inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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