turtlehurricane Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 Remnants of an MCV seem to be creeping towards Madison, looks like some decent stratiform but no lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 Clouds thickening up. 78 may be the high for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 78 here aswell definitely can't see the temp rising that much with the clouds and showers moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 The approaching area of rain is starting to look decent, should begin in Madison soon. http://tempest.aos.w...icompflash.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 glad i flooded the lawn all night in prep for another disappointing event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 Getting a nice soaking rain in Madison and it looks like this could last awhile, area of precip is intensifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 97 @ IND might be a close call for 100 due to increase in cloud cover.. Bad day for the AC to break in my car.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 glad i flooded the lawn all night in prep for another disappointing event. I think this event will be a good soaker, especially near the lake. Edit: Starting to rain here at 3:10. System looks pretty cool from satellite. http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/wisc/images/wisgif32.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 0.16" of rain so far and the temperature has been steadily declining to about 70 °F. We're expected to get down into the low 60s which should be nice, and so begins the cool spell. Cold air advection should kick in sometime overnight with the coldest low level temps occurring Friday across Wisconsin. Cooler air stays in place until Sunday, at which point a weaker cool air mass is going to move in. This is so much better than Florida in the summer. Dropped to 68 °F at the airport as I was typing this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 0.02" of rain so far today. Been in thick clouds all day, so the temp right now (78) is the high for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 Only a very light rain atm, praying for it to pick up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 Only a very light rain atm, praying for it to pick up. Move to chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 The high temperature here today was 85. There was some intermittent light rain/sprinkles this afternoon from around 2:30 until 5 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 High was 79° today. Thick clouds and light showers have ruled since about 3:15pm. WRF NMM showing heavier pockets of rain over the next 48 hours for most of the subforum area. Northern IN kinda misses out. The delta T's predicted over Lake Michigan tomorrow are really impressive! THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY...SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS EAST INTO NORTHERN OHIO WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION TAKING HOLD OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS. H85 TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO FALL IN THE 7-8C RANGE OVER THE REGION CREATING UNSEASONABLY STRONG INSTABILITY OVER LAKE MICHIGAN. SFC-H7 DELTA T`S IN EXCESS OF 25C AT TIMES CREATING LAKE INDUCED CAPE VALUES OF NEAR 1500 J/KG WILL LEAD TO LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER LAKE MICHIGAN. VERY CLASSIC SETUP FOR WATERSPOUTS SHOULD BE IN PLACE. UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE CWA FRIDAY...WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 Looks like SeMi might be in the jackpot for heavy rain as we progress forward. Yuck week in a awesome summer so far. 12z ECMWF turns the heat on early/mid next week or so it tries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Well, that wasn't much. A line with red was moving in so I moved plants into the garage and took down my hummingbird feeders, but there was little wind and not much rain, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 9, 2012 Author Share Posted August 9, 2012 0.94" of rainfall at IND tonight through 10:00pm. Up to 2.45" now for August...3.37" for summer. Also this from Hendricks County. Impressive. 0953 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 WSW CLERMONT 39.80N 86.39W 08/08/2012 M2.33 INCH HENDRICKS IN AMATEUR RADIO 2.33 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 30 MINUTES NEAR 10TH STREET AND COUNTRY CLUB ROAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Latest NAM run shows lower MI getting the bullseye for rain ~especially around Grand Rapids. Pretty good rains along the western shoreline of LM as well with lake effect. Skilling showed 1-2" of rain for NW IN to Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Latest NAM run shows lower MI getting the bullseye for rain ~especially around Grand Rapids. Pretty good rains along the western shoreline of LM as well with lake effect. Skilling showed 1-2" of rain for NW IN to Milwaukee. Other than showing if models have development, talking about/posting maps of QPF during the summer months is fairly pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Looks like SeMi might be in the jackpot for heavy rain as we progress forward. Yuck week in a awesome summer so far. 12z ECMWF turns the heat on early/mid next week or so it tries. Its amazing how far from this sentiment I'm at. Its too hot to golf (enjoyably), garden, mow, run, jog, be outside. Great summer we are having. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Brave man. I'd be worried about some moron walking down the street with a machete with them so close to the sidewalk lol. Exactly, there are Richard-heads everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Made it to 94. Meanwhile another 100 at Terre Haute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Other than showing if models have development, talking about/posting maps of QPF during the summer months is fairly pointless. This isn't your typical summer system though. It resembles something from spring or fall with its wrapped up nature. Looking at simulated radar, there looks to be a clear deformation band forming as the storm passes south of Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 This isn't your typical summer system though. It resembles something from spring or fall with its wrapped up nature. Looking at simulated radar, there looks to be a clear deformation band forming as the storm passes south of Chicago. Yeah, but I understand his point. These short term hi-res models are convectively driven and probably (hopefully not, though) overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 78 was the high here today, but MLI managed to hit 83 with a bit more late day sun. Looks like our 0.02" will be it for the day since the storms out west crapped the bed. More rain chances tomorrow though. Severe weather will stay well south and east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Well, here's a switch: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL VERMILLION COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHERN PARKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHERN FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 900 AM EDT * AT 347 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT OVER 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AT SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA. WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN ELSEWHERE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... NORTHEASTERN HENDRICKS COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHERN MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 800 AM EDT * AT 426 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING INTO THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN PARTS OF THE AREA DURING THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN THAT FELL YESTERDAY EVENING. * RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE...BROWNSBURG...CARMEL...FISHERS AND SPEEDWAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 69 right now and we've picked up a measly 0.01" since yesterday THE MOST INTERESTING ASPECT OF THIS EVENT WILL BE THE INFLUENCE OF LAKE MICHIGAN. THE AIRMASS WITH THIS UPPER LOW IS COLD ENOUGH TO BRING DELTA T VALUES OF 13-15C THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH A FAVORABLE FETCH AND CYCLONIC FLOW...WE SHOULD SEE SOME IMPRESSIVE LAKE ENHANCEMENT. THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FIELDS CRANK UP BY EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WITH THE ARRIVAL OF FRONT...THEN REMAIN IMPRESSIVE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE SHORELINE. MOST OF THE MODELS REALLY FOCUS SOME IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR OUR LAKE SHORE COUNTIES. IF ONLY THIS WAS DECEMBER... IT STILL LOOKS LIKE A SLAM DUNK FOR WATERSPOUTS THIS AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING OVER LAKE MICHIGAN. THE TWO MAIN PARAMETERS...NEAR 15C DELTA T/S AND DEEP CONVECTIVE CLOUD LAYER /TO 20-25KFT/...WILL BE MET...COUPLED WITH A TIGHT AND VIGOROUS UPPER LOW. AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER IS OUR CLIMATIC MAX FOR WATERSPOUTS. THE SZILAGYI WATERSPOUT INDEX /SWI/...A GOOD AND EASY TO UNDERSTAND PAPER AND NOMOGRAM IS OUT THERE ON THE INTERNET...IS AT THE TOP OF THE CHART FOR THIS EVENT. WE NEED AN SWI OF GREATER THAN ZERO TO GET WATERSPOUTS. THE INDEX GOES TO 10 AND WE ARE GETTING VALUES OF 8-10. IMPRESSIVE. NOW WE WAIT AND SEE. I hope you guys can get some sweet pics later tonight into tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Had 1.36" IMBY when I left for work this morning and it was still raining. A very much welcome change from the last few months! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 9, 2012 Author Share Posted August 9, 2012 Updated through 8:00am: 1.54" at IND since last night, through 8:00am this morning. Getting closer (3.05" total at the moment) to the "normal" amount of rainfall for the month of August there, which is 3.13". The last month to have average or above average precipitation at IND was March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 9, 2012 Share Posted August 9, 2012 Picked up another 0.01" early this morning. That brings the 2 day total to 0.03". Storms blew up all around us earlier. Can't complain though after the 2.21" that fell last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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