Geos Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 New Severe Thunderstorm watch for all of southern WI. Looks like a line forming from Sheboygan to just north of Dubuque, IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 We finally have some good widespread action to follow. It beats reporting 100° temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Wow, can't remember the last time I was under a moderate risk. As Sparty said though it just feels unstable out there, hoping we can get in on the action tonight down here if just for the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 PWO issued for moderate risk area in MI tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 The Ames cluster wants to bow out...but the cells to its east may disrupt it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aurora Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Anyone know why the SPC skipped watch #521? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Derecho composite and MCS maintenance parameters are healthy for WI, northern IL, IN, and MI. And it has been a long time since I have seen a squall line developing from sw Kansas to the northern part of MI's lower peninsula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 New cell going up west of Albert Lea, MN. More cells going up along the front in WI. http://tempest.aos.w...icompflash.html Nice radar - you can really make out the boundaries on that loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 new blue box for eastern IA/northwest IL this is encouraging SUSTENANCE/ORGANIZATION OF TSTMS WILL BE AIDED BY A STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET AND AN EASTWARD-SPREADING/POTENTIALLY EXPANDING COLD POOL/POTENTIAL MCV CURRENTLY ACROSS IA. DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE HROUGH MID/LATE EVENING...AND PERHAPS INTO THE OVERNIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 Derecho composite and MCS maintenance parameters are healthy for WI, northern IL, IN, and MI. And it has been a long time since I have seen a squall line developing from sw Kansas to the northern part of MI's lower peninsula. Nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 PWO issued for moderate risk area in MI tonight. ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL WOUS40 KWNS 260120 MIZ000-261200- PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0820 PM CDT WED JUL 25 2012 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT... THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF DAMAGING WINDS OVER A PORTION OF CNTRL AND LOWER MI TONIGHT. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE CNTRL AND NRN LOWER MICHIGAN STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS TONIGHT. ..DIAL.. 07/26/2012 $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Ames getting owned by long duration, high winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Nice... Beautiful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 new blue box for eastern IA/northwest IL this is encouraging SUSTENANCE/ORGANIZATION OF TSTMS WILL BE AIDED BY A STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET AND AN EASTWARD-SPREADING/POTENTIALLY EXPANDING COLD POOL/POTENTIAL MCV CURRENTLY ACROSS IA. DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE HROUGH MID/LATE EVENING...AND PERHAPS INTO THE OVERNIGHT. we should get wet but hard to ignore every model killing the line off as we get into the overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Derecho composite and MCS maintenance parameters are healthy for WI, northern IL, IN, and MI. And it has been a long time since I have seen a squall line developing from sw Kansas to the northern part of MI's lower peninsula. Octobomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 The line in N MI is taking on some bowing characteristics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Looks like this line is going to fire right over Turtle's place! Cells popping up over Dane County. Gap is closing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 LOT has bumped pops up, especially north of 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 that's an impressive storm running east along 20 in northeast IA...tops to nearly 60kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 that's an impressive storm running east along 20 in northeast IA...tops to nearly 60kft. cells are even firing in front of that cell now....which is in front of the other larger bowing line...pretty intense night setting up for eastern iowa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 nice. . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 LOT has bumped pops up, especially north of 88 Went from 40% to 70% on the update. Warm SW inflow should help these storms along. GFS has 0.97" for UGN tonight. RPM fires convection over northern IL a good chunk of the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 can't tell if a larger bowing structure is trying to form from just south of decorah to just east of des moines.... also, possible flash flood event for the 20 corridor right into IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 First cell came through and sent me running for cover, was a mile away getting a burger. Big cell moving in from the west, hail being detected by dual pol. Nice OFB shooting out of that one too, might be high winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Iowa storms are looking OK but having a hard time organizing...low shear isn't helping. Moisture transport over N IL and into MI is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 nice outflow about to roll into Ottumwa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Iowa storms are looking OK but having a hard time organizing...low shear isn't helping. Moisture transport over N IL and into MI is awesome. I'm hoping that the bowing segment approaching the western WI border will plow through south WI. Problem is it might get cutoff by outflow pools from preceding storms, but for now it's steaming ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Not a thing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 LOT bumped my pops again...added heavy rain wording. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aurora Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 The Michigan storms are looking pretty lame as of right now. I'm wondering if the problem could be that the storms are oriented parallel to the 0-6km flow. If that's the case, I wonder if the SW-NE oriented line segment from White Cloud to Big Rapids can strengthen. There's still plenty of shear and instability available... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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